Haiti elections delayed again?

根据「Haiti elections delayed again?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Yes 以压倒性的 6,550% 获胜概率主导市场；No 以 3,450% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $3，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Yes (6,550%)：Yes 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,550¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• No (3,450%)：作为最可行的替代选项，No 保持着 3,450% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,450¢。

After earlier delays, the first round of the Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on July 18, 2027, with a potential second round set for October 4, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after July 18, 2027, or otherwise does not take place by July 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.