Ethereum ETF Flows on November 2?

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2026年11月3日
Active
概率趋势
Positive 50.0%
Negative 50.0%

核心摘要

根据「Ethereum ETF Flows on November 2?」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Positive 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Negative 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Positive (5,000%):Positive 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Negative (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Negative 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Positive5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Negative5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Monday, November 2, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0.

If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title.

The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.

常见问题

当前市场对「Ethereum ETF Flows on November 2?」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Positive 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Negative(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易