Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A

$113.3K Vol
2026年11月11日
Active
概率趋势
PlayTime 91.5%
Team Synapse 8.5%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Match Winner 以 9,150% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 9,005% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $113.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $69.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Match Winner (9,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Match Winner 保持着 9,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,150¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (9,005%):以 9,005% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Ends in Daytime 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Game 2 Winner (7,850%)、Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5) (7,850%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Ends in Daytime 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$69.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9150.0%$42.8K9150¢-9050¢
3Ends in Daytime9005.0%—9005¢-8905¢
4Game 2 Winner7850.0%$5.9K7850¢-7750¢
5Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5)7850.0%$1417850¢-7750¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 2.5 Games2150.0%$922150¢-2050¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
20Any Player Rampage50.0%—50¢50¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and Team Synapse in the DreamLeague Division 2 Group A, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Team Synapse.

This market will resolve to "Team Synapse" if Team Synapse win the match against PlayTime.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:22 AM
    SESETHEOS
    $5.00

    Bought 5.494506 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A at 0.91

  • 11:21 AM
    QZqz9
    $0.28

    Sold 3.15 Team Synapse for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A at 0.09

  • 11:20 AM
    OSoshioba
    $2.00

    Bought 20 Team Synapse for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A at 0.1

  • 11:20 AM
    JKJKYHJKHJKH
    $150.00

    Bought 200 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

  • 11:20 AM
    GRGrimFable
    $3,277.53

    Sold 3277.53 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    BIbig-bird1
    $0.05

    Sold 0.05 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A at 0.9

  • 11:20 AM
    OKokalright
    $92.61

    Sold 101.77 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A at 0.91

  • 11:20 AM
    TOtown_li
    $4.15

    Sold 4.15 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 11:19 AM
    JKJKYHJKHJKH
    $150.00

    Bought 200 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

  • 11:18 AM
    NENepasko
    $243.47

    Sold 243.47 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 11:18 AM
    SESETHEOS
    $5.01

    Bought 5.504611 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A at 0.91

  • 11:18 AM
    0X0x03D4F5202F954D40354e8F10116b9Dcbb9215164-1782232128687
    $31.42

    Sold 31.42 PlayTime for Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

F41
0xf483…9237
事件盈亏
-$471.15
成交量
$3,529.58
持仓数
Team Synapse
OK2
okalright
事件盈亏
+$441.08
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$2,529.04
持仓数
PlayTime
TA3
TakeMakeSell
事件盈亏
+$249.57
成交量
$1,573.92
持仓数
PlayTime
JU4
JuiceFarm
事件盈亏
+$247.50
成交量
$1,500.00
持仓数
PlayTime
AL5
alpheclabs2
事件盈亏
-$187.92
成交量
$1,400.59
持仓数
Team Synapse
CL6
claudesports
事件盈亏
+$16.49
成交量
$1,099.00
持仓数
Team Synapse
NE7
Neimuking
事件盈亏
+$175.00
成交量
$1,000.00
持仓数
PlayTime
TO8
topdogbigboi
事件盈亏
-$81.08
成交量
$756.15
持仓数
Team SynapsePlayTimeTeam Synapse

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Match Winner(9,150%),以及 Ends in Daytime(9,005%)。该市场总成交量已达 $113.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易