Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B

$162.5K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
概率趋势
Team Synapse 56.0%
Team Lynx 44.0%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $162.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $69.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Ends in Daytime 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%)、Match Winner (7,350%),以及 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Beat Roshan 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$69.7K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$649995¢-9895¢
3Ends in Daytime9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%$179000¢-8900¢
5Match Winner7350.0%$59.4K7350¢-7250¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$175000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
13Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
14Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)50.0%$6050¢50¢
15Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Team Synapse (+1.5)50.0%—50¢50¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Lynx and Team Synapse in the Asgard Championship Group B, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win the match against Team Synapse.

This market will resolve to "Team Synapse" if Team Synapse win the match against Team Lynx.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 12:27 PM
    0X0x08E3B589CA3F1E81F7D6fa1C6E01F62B71E5B53D-1782729005701
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.5

  • 12:27 PM
    0X0xe85Ec6cC3FD5f71aCF584e8Bfe88D6439fb9134b-1786974056243
    $3.50

    Bought 7 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.5

  • 12:10 PM
    0X0x9560B2753dFFA911dC79bE97a65D59DD9Fc9b831-1784869357945
    $1.53

    Bought 3 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.51

  • 12:10 PM
    MOmonkeyluffy1
    $99.29

    Bought 206.85 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.48

  • 11:32 AM
    0X0x9560B2753dFFA911dC79bE97a65D59DD9Fc9b831-1784869357945
    $3.85

    Bought 7 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.55

  • 11:31 AM
    TATabUUR
    $168.40

    Bought 350.833334 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.48

  • 09:44 AM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $28.80

    Bought 60 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.48

  • 08:30 AM
    0X0x9560B2753dFFA911dC79bE97a65D59DD9Fc9b831-1784869357945
    $3.78

    Bought 7 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.54

  • 08:30 AM
    AUAurasi
    $159.00

    Bought 331.25 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.48

  • 08:03 AM
    TRTreadwcaution
    $40.00

    Bought 83.333334 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.48

  • 06:56 AM
    LIlin001
    $18.80

    Bought 40 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.47

  • 06:43 AM
    HOhopemoney23
    $4.77

    Sold 10.14 Team Synapse for Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B at 0.47

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

JU1
JuiceFarm
事件盈亏
-$373.41
成交量
$1,529.03
持仓数
Team Lynx
MO2
monkeyluffy1
事件盈亏
+$9.31
成交量
$590.85
持仓数
Team Synapse
GA3
Gaditima
事件盈亏
-$97.19
成交量
$462.86
持仓数
Team Lynx
654
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$74.29
成交量
$443.12
持仓数
Team Lynx
JA5
jafacak3
事件盈亏
+$73.40
成交量
$400.00
持仓数
Team Synapse
TA6
TabUUR
事件盈亏
+$15.79
成交量
$350.83
持仓数
Team Synapse
AU7
Aurasi
事件盈亏
-$1.66
成交量
$331.25
持仓数
Team Synapse
458
0x4572…0599
事件盈亏
-$61.50
成交量
$300.00
持仓数
Team Lynx

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Synapse (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Ends in Daytime(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $162.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易