Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage

$280K Vol
2026年11月13日
Active
概率趋势
ex-Zero Tenacity 100.0%
BakS eSports 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $280K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $485 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 (9,995%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 (9,995%),以及 Match Winner (9,980%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs BakS eSports (+1.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$4859995¢-9895¢
2Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
6Match Winner9980.0%$187.0K9980¢-9880¢
7Map Handicap: ex-ZT (-1.5) vs BakS eSports (+1.5)5.0%$115¢95¢
8Map Handicap: BAKS (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)5.0%$625¢95¢
9Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-3.5) vs BakS eSports (+3.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
10Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-6.5) vs BakS eSports (+6.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-3.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+3.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
12Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-6.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+6.5)5.0%—5¢95¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.55.0%—5¢95¢
14Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between ex-Zero Tenacity and BakS eSports in the CCT Europe Group Stage, initially scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "ex-Zero Tenacity" if ex-Zero Tenacity win the match against BakS eSports.

This market will resolve to "BakS eSports" if BakS eSports win the match against ex-Zero Tenacity.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 13, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 13, 2026

  • 12:53 PM
    FUFuture-Tarot-Trader
    $30.07

    Bought 31 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.97

  • 12:53 PM
    0X0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
    $25.78

    Bought 429.697143 ex-Zero Tenacity for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.06

  • 12:53 PM
    0X0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
    $2.75

    Bought 55 ex-Zero Tenacity for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.05

  • 12:52 PM
    SUsunsin2
    $1,855.84

    Bought 1913.24 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.97

  • 12:52 PM
    444478951234
    $1.50

    Bought 1.57894 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.95

  • 12:52 PM
    LIlilblek1333
    $12.00

    Bought 200 ex-Zero Tenacity for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.06

  • 12:52 PM
    UQuqwoapsalxzya
    $2.59

    Bought 2.82 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.92

  • 12:52 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.173912 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.92

  • 12:52 PM
    NANata0926
    $46.00

    Bought 50 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.92

  • 12:51 PM
    444478951234
    $2.00

    Bought 2.1978 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.91

  • 12:51 PM
    FUFuture-Tarot-Trader
    $66.74

    Bought 73.340655 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.91

  • 12:51 PM
    CScsor
    $13.43

    Bought 14.92222 BakS eSports for Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner at 0.9

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

C91
0xC9BF…255F
事件盈亏
-$2,311.12
成交量
$6,482.07
持仓数
BakS eSports
RO2
rookiaski
事件盈亏
+$26.11
成交量
$5,369.87
持仓数
BakS eSports
NU3
0xNuttawut
事件盈亏
-$1,777.02
成交量
$4,119.82
持仓数
BakS eSports
D94
0xD9E0…05f2
事件盈亏
+$4,673.45
成交量
$3,825.43
持仓数
ex-Zero Tenacity
MR5
Mr.Ape
事件盈亏
+$1,219.01
成交量
$3,785.97
持仓数
ex-Zero Tenacity
TH6
ThinkAndGrowRich
事件盈亏
-$1,605.20
成交量
$3,628.23
持仓数
BakS eSports
AS7
astapzippo
事件盈亏
-$40.97
成交量
$3,484.97
持仓数
ex-Zero Tenacity
TH8
The-Joker
事件盈亏
-$1,086.23
成交量
$3,462.04
持仓数
BakS eSports

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,995%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $280K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易