Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B

$1M Vol
2026年11月4日
Active
概率趋势
Liquid 99.7%
TYLOO 0.4%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场;Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) 以 9,745% 位居第二,Map 2 Winner 以 9,740% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1M,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (9,955%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $552.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) (9,745%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) 保持着 9,745% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,745¢。
  • Map 2 Winner (9,740%):以 9,740% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) (7,700%)、Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9955.0%$552.5K9955¢-9855¢
2Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)9745.0%$38.6K9745¢-9645¢
3Map 2 Winner9740.0%$291.9K9740¢-9640¢
4Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)7700.0%$1567700¢-7600¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs TYLOO (+9.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-12.5) vs TYLOO (+12.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 2.5 Games250.0%$4.0K250¢-150¢
14Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)145.0%$2.9K145¢-45¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Liquid and TYLOO in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against TYLOO.

This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 4, 2026

  • 01:36 AM
    0X0xf2b43415f790c62f092822aA0A7Fe617edD4d45D-1774000455502
    $24.73

    Bought 37.469697 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:36 AM
    FAFateBlank
    $14.00

    Bought 21.21212 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:36 AM
    DAdabe341zz
    $12.58

    Bought 34 Liquid for Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 01:36 AM
    NEnessunren
    $25.00

    Bought 37.878788 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:35 AM
    NINiK0k0k0k
    $833.47

    Bought 2252.621622 Liquid for Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 01:34 AM
    NINiK0k0k0k
    $242.41

    Bought 655.162163 Liquid for Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 01:34 AM
    LULucasfla
    $99.63

    Bought 150.954544 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:34 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $8.20

    Sold 20 TYLOO for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 01:33 AM
    BLBl1zz3rd
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575758 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:33 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $19.04

    Bought 28.848485 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

  • 01:33 AM
    KIKizi123
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949153 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner at 0.59

  • 01:32 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $28.57

    Bought 43.287879 Liquid for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B at 0.66

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TH1
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
事件盈亏
+$30,010.57
成交量
$160,039.98
持仓数
LiquidLiquid
JA2
jakepaulthegoat2008
事件盈亏
-$41,398.51
成交量
$119,999.94
持仓数
TYLOO
HE3
heyjason
事件盈亏
+$20,215.86
成交量
$108,924.79
持仓数
Liquid
C94
0xC9BF…255F
事件盈亏
-$35,886.25
成交量
$101,054.13
持仓数
TYLOOTYLOO
ME5
MeiGuNiuBi
事件盈亏
-$7,930.24
成交量
$56,808.97
持仓数
TYLOOLiquid
ZY6
Zywoo123
事件盈亏
-$10,464.06
成交量
$51,809.99
持仓数
TYLOO
CA7
caishenbaoyoufadacai888
事件盈亏
+$2,905.42
成交量
$42,599.84
持仓数
LiquidTYLOO
428
4217893367451
事件盈亏
+$4,536.72
成交量
$40,644.29
持仓数
Liquid

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)(9,745%),以及 Map 2 Winner(9,740%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易