
Haiti vs. United States - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Haiti vs. United States - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,United States (-1.5) 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;United States (-2.5) 以 9,995% 位居第二,United States (-3.5) 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $210.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- United States (-1.5) (9,995%):United States (-1.5) 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.5K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- United States (-2.5) (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,United States (-2.5) 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- United States (-3.5) (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 United States (-3.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 United States (-4.5) (9,995%)、United States (-5.5) (9,995%),以及 O/U 0.5 (9,995%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States (-1.5) | 9995.0% | $2.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | United States (-2.5) | 9995.0% | $4.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | United States (-3.5) | 9995.0% | $84 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | United States (-4.5) | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | United States (-5.5) | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | O/U 0.5 | 9995.0% | $594 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | O/U 1.5 | 9995.0% | $5.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $39.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | O/U 3.5 | 9995.0% | $39.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 10 | O/U 4.5 | 9995.0% | $18.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 11 | O/U 5.5 | 9995.0% | $35.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 12 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 9995.0% | $2.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 13 | United States O/U 0.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 14 | United States O/U 1.5 | 9995.0% | $366 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 15 | United States O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $227 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 16 | United States O/U 3.5 | 9995.0% | $5 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 17 | United States O/U 4.5 | 9995.0% | $28 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 18 | United States O/U 5.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 19 | United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 20 | Haiti (-1.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 21 | Haiti (-2.5) | 5.0% | $152 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 22 | Haiti (-3.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 23 | Haiti (-4.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 24 | Haiti (-5.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 25 | O/U 6.5 | 5.0% | $27.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 26 | O/U 7.5 | 5.0% | $9.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 27 | O/U 8.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams to Score | 5.0% | $4.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 5.0% | $41 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 30 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5.0% | $8.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 31 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 5.0% | $808 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 32 | 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 33 | 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 34 | Haiti O/U 0.5 | 5.0% | $11.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 35 | Haiti O/U 1.5 | 5.0% | $90 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 36 | Haiti O/U 2.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 37 | Haiti O/U 3.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 38 | Haiti O/U 4.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 39 | Haiti O/U 5.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 40 | Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5.0% | $142 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 41 | Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 42 | Haiti 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 43 | Haiti 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 44 | United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 45 | United States 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 46 | United States 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Haiti and United States, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:21 PM0X0x77cD7B9513D4C8AF0A6Bf779b5D900e86304C3cD-1774238302710$2.89
Bought 28.909091 Under for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 1.5 at 0.1
- 10:21 PMNANathan007avelar$4.51
Bought 41 Under for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 1.5 at 0.11
- 10:20 PMNANathan007avelar$0.49
Bought 5.49 Under for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 1.5 at 0.09
- 10:19 PM——$1.94
Bought 2.694442 Over for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 at 0.72
- 10:19 PM0X0x8394058388D8E23944E75cfCc83Bb217032a57dd-1766826885334$50.14
Bought 78.35 Under for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 3.5 at 0.64
- 10:19 PMSLslager009$126.00
Bought 200 Under for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 3.5 at 0.63
- 10:18 PMZZZzmndms$41.61
Bought 57 Under for Haiti vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.73
- 10:18 PMGUGustavo10$137.20
Bought 187.95 Under for Haiti vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.73
- 10:18 PM0X0x5974813b27CdE970e736AE3b55EC9afC64635c32-1779893717945$54.06
Bought 74.05 Under for Haiti vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.73
- 10:18 PMHUhuguebas$17.45
Bought 18.177075 Under for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 5.5 at 0.96
- 10:18 PMTETelepath-One$349.55
Bought 364.114475 Under for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 5.5 at 0.96
- 10:17 PM0X0x77cD7B9513D4C8AF0A6Bf779b5D900e86304C3cD-1774238302710$1.00
Bought 1.449274 Over for Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 at 0.69
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Haiti vs. United States - More Markets」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,United States (-1.5) 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 United States (-2.5)(9,995%),以及 United States (-3.5)(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $210.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
