
Wisconsin vs. Maryland
核心摘要
根据「Wisconsin vs. Maryland」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Wisconsin vs. Maryland 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $141.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Wisconsin vs. Maryland (9,050%):Wisconsin vs. Maryland 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $26.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -1.5 (9,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
- Spread -2.5 (8,900%):以 8,900% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (8,450%)、Spread -4.5 (8,250%),以及 Spread -5.5 (8,150%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland | 9050.0% | $26.3K | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | Spread -1.5 | 9000.0% | $27 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Spread -2.5 | 8900.0% | $6 | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 8450.0% | $760 | 8450¢ | -8350¢ |
| 5 | Spread -4.5 | 8250.0% | $2.3K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 8150.0% | $1.4K | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 7 | Spread -6.5 | 7950.0% | $3.1K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 8 | Spread -8.5 | 7550.0% | $42.7K | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 9 | Spread -7.5 | 7350.0% | $20.3K | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 10 | Wisconsin O/U 20.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 11 | Spread -10.5 | 6550.0% | $68 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 12 | Wisconsin O/U 23.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 13 | Spread -0.5 | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -13.5 | 5950.0% | $60 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 15 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 16 | 1H Moneyline | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 17 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 18 | Spread -14.5 | 5450.0% | $1.3K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 19 | Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 20 | Spread -16.5 | 5050.0% | $2.8K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 21 | O/U 35.5 | 5050.0% | $303 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 22 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Wisconsin O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Wisconsin 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Wisconsin 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Maryland 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Maryland 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Maryland 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Spread -16.5 | 4995.0% | $2.8K | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 99 | O/U 73.5 | 4995.0% | — | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 100 | O/U 75.5 | 4995.0% | — | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 101 | O/U 71.5 | 4985.0% | — | 4985¢ | -4885¢ |
| 102 | O/U 67.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 103 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 104 | Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 105 | Spread -8.5 | 4900.0% | $42.7K | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 106 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 107 | Wisconsin 1H O/U 13.5 | 4900.0% | $12 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 108 | Maryland 1H O/U 12.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 109 | Spread -17.5 | 4850.0% | $1.6K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 110 | Wisconsin O/U 26.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 111 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 112 | Spread -17.5 | 4550.0% | $1.6K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 113 | O/U 69.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 114 | Maryland O/U 32.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 115 | Maryland O/U 29.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 116 | O/U 37.5 | 4250.0% | $23 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 117 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 118 | Maryland 1H O/U 16.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 119 | O/U 39.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 120 | Wisconsin O/U 32.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 121 | Wisconsin 1H O/U 15.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 122 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 123 | Spread -20.5 | 3550.0% | $5 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 124 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 125 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 126 | Maryland O/U 26.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 127 | Spread -20.5 | 3350.0% | $5 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 128 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 129 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 130 | O/U 41.5 | 2950.0% | $23.9K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 131 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 132 | O/U 43.5 | 2650.0% | $10.2K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 133 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 134 | Maryland O/U 35.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 135 | O/U 45.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 136 | O/U 55.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 137 | O/U 57.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 138 | O/U 61.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 139 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 140 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 141 | O/U 63.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 142 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 1750.0% | $147 | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 143 | O/U 47.5 | 1650.0% | $1 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 144 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 145 | O/U 51.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 146 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 147 | O/U 49.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 148 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 149 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 150 | O/U 53.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 151 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 152 | Spread -1.5 | 750.0% | $27 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 153 | Spread -2.5 | 750.0% | $6 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 154 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 155 | Maryland O/U 23.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 156 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 157 | Spread -3.5 | 495.0% | $760 | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 158 | O/U 59.5 | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 159 | Spread -4.5 | 360.0% | $2.3K | 360¢ | -260¢ |
| 160 | Maryland 1H O/U 14.5 | 345.0% | — | 345¢ | -245¢ |
| 161 | Spread -5.5 | 325.0% | $1.4K | 325¢ | -225¢ |
| 162 | Spread -6.5 | 290.0% | $3.1K | 290¢ | -190¢ |
| 163 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 250.0% | — | 250¢ | -150¢ |
| 164 | Spread -7.5 | 100.0% | $20.3K | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 165 | O/U 65.5 | 100.0% | $2.1K | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 166 | Spread -10.5 | 90.0% | $68 | 90¢ | 10¢ |
| 167 | Spread -13.5 | 45.0% | $60 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 168 | Spread -14.5 | 45.0% | $1.3K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and Maryland, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game.
This market will resolve to "Maryland" if Maryland win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 06:14 AMIMImaTakova$1.01
Bought 1.346667 Wisconsin for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.75
- 12:46 AMGOGolftango$50.00
Bought 192.307693 Maryland for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.26
- 12:46 AMGOGolftango$100.00
Bought 200 Maryland for Spread: Wisconsin (-8.5) at 0.5
Nov 13, 2026
- 09:28 PMSMsmallniprick$5.63
Bought 11.03 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 09:28 PMSMsmallniprick$7.57
Bought 10.09 Wisconsin for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.75
- 08:41 PMELeliteelite$10.00
Bought 19.607844 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM0X0x0abdea0ECe95A$2.65
Bought 5.196079 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM——$15.21
Bought 29.82353 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM——$1.78
Bought 3.490197 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PM——$1.80
Bought 3.529412 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51
- 07:25 PMNInigiri99$228.50
Bought 457 Under for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.5
- 07:25 PMNInigiri99$1,996.00
Bought 3992 Under for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.5
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Wisconsin vs. Maryland」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Wisconsin vs. Maryland 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,000%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 $141.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
