Wisconsin vs. Maryland

$141.2K Vol
2026年11月14日
Active
概率趋势
Wisconsin 74.5%
Maryland 25.5%

核心摘要

根据「Wisconsin vs. Maryland」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Wisconsin vs. Maryland 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $141.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Wisconsin vs. Maryland (9,050%):Wisconsin vs. Maryland 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $26.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (8,900%):以 8,900% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (8,450%)、Spread -4.5 (8,250%),以及 Spread -5.5 (8,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Wisconsin vs. Maryland9050.0%$26.3K9050¢-8950¢
2Spread -1.59000.0%$279000¢-8900¢
3Spread -2.58900.0%$68900¢-8800¢
4Spread -3.58450.0%$7608450¢-8350¢
5Spread -4.58250.0%$2.3K8250¢-8150¢
6Spread -5.58150.0%$1.4K8150¢-8050¢
7Spread -6.57950.0%$3.1K7950¢-7850¢
8Spread -8.57550.0%$42.7K7550¢-7450¢
9Spread -7.57350.0%$20.3K7350¢-7250¢
10Wisconsin O/U 20.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
11Spread -10.56550.0%$686550¢-6450¢
12Wisconsin O/U 23.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
13Spread -0.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
14Spread -13.55950.0%$605950¢-5850¢
152Q O/U 7.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
161H Moneyline5700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
174Q O/U 7.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
18Spread -14.55450.0%$1.3K5450¢-5350¢
19Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 14.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
20Spread -16.55050.0%$2.8K5050¢-4950¢
21O/U 35.55050.0%$3035050¢-4950¢
22Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
232H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
242H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Wisconsin O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Wisconsin 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Wisconsin 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Wisconsin 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Wisconsin 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Maryland 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Maryland 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Maryland 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
942H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
952Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
963Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
974Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Spread -16.54995.0%$2.8K4995¢-4895¢
99O/U 73.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
100O/U 75.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
101O/U 71.54985.0%—4985¢-4885¢
102O/U 67.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
103Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
104Wisconsin vs. Maryland: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
105Spread -8.54900.0%$42.7K4900¢-4800¢
1061H O/U 33.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
107Wisconsin 1H O/U 13.54900.0%$124900¢-4800¢
108Maryland 1H O/U 12.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
109Spread -17.54850.0%$1.6K4850¢-4750¢
110Wisconsin O/U 26.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1113Q O/U 7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
112Spread -17.54550.0%$1.6K4550¢-4450¢
113O/U 69.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
114Maryland O/U 32.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
115Maryland O/U 29.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
116O/U 37.54250.0%$234250¢-4150¢
1174Q O/U 10.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
118Maryland 1H O/U 16.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
119O/U 39.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
120Wisconsin O/U 32.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
121Wisconsin 1H O/U 15.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
1222H O/U 21.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
123Spread -20.53550.0%$53550¢-3450¢
1242Q O/U 10.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1254Q O/U 13.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
126Maryland O/U 26.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
127Spread -20.53350.0%$53350¢-3250¢
1281H O/U 24.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
1293Q O/U 10.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
130O/U 41.52950.0%$23.9K2950¢-2850¢
1313Q O/U 13.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
132O/U 43.52650.0%$10.2K2650¢-2550¢
1332Q O/U 13.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
134Maryland O/U 35.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
135O/U 45.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
136O/U 55.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
137O/U 57.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
138O/U 61.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
1392H O/U 27.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
1404Q O/U 16.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
141O/U 63.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
1421H O/U 21.51750.0%$1471750¢-1650¢
143O/U 47.51650.0%$11650¢-1550¢
1442Q O/U 16.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
145O/U 51.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
1463Q O/U 16.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
147O/U 49.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
1482H O/U 30.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
1493Q O/U 19.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
150O/U 53.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
1514Q O/U 19.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
152Spread -1.5750.0%$27750¢-650¢
153Spread -2.5750.0%$6750¢-650¢
1542Q O/U 19.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
155Maryland O/U 23.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
1561H O/U 27.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
157Spread -3.5495.0%$760495¢-395¢
158O/U 59.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
159Spread -4.5360.0%$2.3K360¢-260¢
160Maryland 1H O/U 14.5345.0%—345¢-245¢
161Spread -5.5325.0%$1.4K325¢-225¢
162Spread -6.5290.0%$3.1K290¢-190¢
1631H O/U 30.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
164Spread -7.5100.0%$20.3K100¢0¢
165O/U 65.5100.0%$2.1K100¢0¢
166Spread -10.590.0%$6890¢10¢
167Spread -13.545.0%$6045¢55¢
168Spread -14.545.0%$1.3K45¢55¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and Maryland, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game.

This market will resolve to "Maryland" if Maryland win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 06:14 AM
    IMImaTakova
    $1.01

    Bought 1.346667 Wisconsin for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.75

  • 12:46 AM
    GOGolftango
    $50.00

    Bought 192.307693 Maryland for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.26

  • 12:46 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.00

    Bought 200 Maryland for Spread: Wisconsin (-8.5) at 0.5

Nov 13, 2026

  • 09:28 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $5.63

    Bought 11.03 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51

  • 09:28 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $7.57

    Bought 10.09 Wisconsin for Wisconsin vs. Maryland at 0.75

  • 08:41 PM
    ELeliteelite
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51

  • 07:25 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $2.65

    Bought 5.196079 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51

  • 07:25 PM
    ——
    $15.21

    Bought 29.82353 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51

  • 07:25 PM
    ——
    $1.78

    Bought 3.490197 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51

  • 07:25 PM
    ——
    $1.80

    Bought 3.529412 Over for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.51

  • 07:25 PM
    NInigiri99
    $228.50

    Bought 457 Under for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.5

  • 07:25 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1,996.00

    Bought 3992 Under for Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 at 0.5

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MA1
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
-$57.69
成交量
$11,538.00
持仓数
Maryland
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$50.31
成交量
$6,788.15
持仓数
WisconsinOverUnder
HI3
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$24.47
成交量
$4,893.29
持仓数
Wisconsin
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$19.15
成交量
$4,863.00
持仓数
Under
385
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$7.77
成交量
$4,445.13
持仓数
MarylandMarylandWisconsin+5
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$37.03
成交量
$3,655.64
持仓数
WisconsinOverMaryland+1
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$62.71
成交量
$2,425.00
持仓数
UnderWisconsinWisconsin+1
LI8
Limousin
事件盈亏
+$2.34
成交量
$1,355.86
持仓数
WisconsinMaryland

常见问题

当前市场对「Wisconsin vs. Maryland」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Wisconsin vs. Maryland 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,000%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 $141.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易