
Washington vs. Michigan State
核心摘要
根据「Washington vs. Michigan State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,2Q O/U 7.5 以压倒性的 8,300% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 35.5 以 7,250% 位居第二,3Q O/U 7.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $224.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,300%):2Q O/U 7.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,300¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 35.5 (7,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 35.5 保持着 7,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,250¢。
- 3Q O/U 7.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 3Q O/U 7.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 37.5 (6,600%)、O/U 39.5 (6,250%),以及 Washington O/U 20.5 (5,850%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Washington vs. Michigan State 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 2 | O/U 35.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 3 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | O/U 37.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 5 | O/U 39.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 6 | Washington O/U 20.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 7 | Washington vs. Michigan State | 5750.0% | $177.0K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 8 | O/U 41.5 | 5750.0% | $5.1K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 9 | Spread -0.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 10 | Spread -1.5 | 5450.0% | $10 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 11 | 1H Moneyline | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 12 | 1Q Moneyline | 5300.0% | $30 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 13 | Spread -2.5 | 5150.0% | $1.4K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 14 | O/U 43.5 | 5150.0% | $133 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 15 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Washington 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Washington 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Washington 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Michigan State 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Michigan State 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Michigan State 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Washington 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Washington 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Michigan State 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Michigan State 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Michigan State 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Spread -20.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 122 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 123 | Washington O/U 23.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 124 | Michigan State O/U 35.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 125 | O/U 45.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 126 | Washington O/U 32.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 127 | Michigan State O/U 32.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 128 | Spread -3.5 | 4250.0% | $21.5K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 129 | Spread -0.5 | 4200.0% | — | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 130 | Spread -1.5 | 4150.0% | $10 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 131 | Spread -4.5 | 4050.0% | $1.4K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 132 | O/U 47.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 133 | Washington O/U 29.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 134 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 135 | Michigan State O/U 23.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 136 | Spread -2.5 | 3900.0% | $1.4K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 137 | O/U 63.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 138 | Spread -5.5 | 3850.0% | $5.9K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 139 | O/U 67.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 140 | O/U 69.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 141 | O/U 71.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 142 | Spread -6.5 | 3700.0% | $583 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 143 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 144 | O/U 75.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 145 | Spread -3.5 | 3350.0% | $21.5K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 146 | O/U 49.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 147 | O/U 55.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 148 | Spread -4.5 | 3050.0% | $1.4K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 149 | Spread -7.5 | 3000.0% | $10 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 150 | O/U 73.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 151 | Michigan State O/U 26.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 152 | Spread -5.5 | 2900.0% | $5.9K | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 153 | Spread -8.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 154 | Spread -6.5 | 2700.0% | $583 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 155 | O/U 51.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 156 | Washington O/U 26.5 | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 157 | O/U 53.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 158 | Spread -10.5 | 2350.0% | $263 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 159 | Michigan State O/U 29.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 160 | Spread -7.5 | 2200.0% | $10 | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 161 | Spread -8.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 162 | Spread -13.5 | 1950.0% | $33 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 163 | O/U 57.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 164 | Spread -10.5 | 1700.0% | $263 | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 165 | Spread -14.5 | 1650.0% | $10 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 166 | Spread -16.5 | 1450.0% | $4.4K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 167 | O/U 59.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 168 | Spread -13.5 | 1350.0% | $33 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 169 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 170 | Spread -17.5 | 1250.0% | $1.4K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 171 | O/U 61.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 172 | Spread -14.5 | 1100.0% | $10 | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 173 | Spread -20.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 174 | Spread -16.5 | 850.0% | $4.4K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 175 | O/U 65.5 | 800.0% | $1.3K | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 176 | Spread -17.5 | 750.0% | $1.4K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game.
This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 09:54 AMCACasebres$355.00
Bought 724.489796 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-2.5) at 0.49
- 09:03 AMP4P4UL92$1.00
Bought 1.11111 Under for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.9
- 07:06 AMIMImaTakova$1.04
Bought 1.793104 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 41.5 at 0.58
- 07:06 AMIMImaTakova$1.05
Bought 1.810345 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.58
- 01:33 AMBIbigish$41.34
Sold 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.06
- 01:33 AMBIbigish$147.53
Sold 2107.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.07
- 01:07 AMBIbigish$68.91
Bought 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.1
- 01:07 AMBIbigish$121.00
Bought 1100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.11
- 01:06 AMBIbigish$100.76
Bought 1007.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1
- 12:54 AMGOGolftango$100.00
Bought 175.438597 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.57
- 12:44 AMNAnaggingbets$10.00
Bought 100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1
- 12:34 AMLULuckyPunch99$17.33
Bought 157.53 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.11
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Washington vs. Michigan State」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,300% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(7,250%),以及 3Q O/U 7.5(7,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $224.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
