Washington vs. Michigan State

$224.2K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
Washington 57.5%
Michigan State 42.5%

核心摘要

根据「Washington vs. Michigan State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,2Q O/U 7.5 以压倒性的 8,300% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 35.5 以 7,250% 位居第二,3Q O/U 7.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $224.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,300%):2Q O/U 7.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,300¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 35.5 保持着 7,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,250¢。
  • 3Q O/U 7.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 3Q O/U 7.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 37.5 (6,600%)、O/U 39.5 (6,250%),以及 Washington O/U 20.5 (5,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Washington vs. Michigan State 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
12Q O/U 7.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
2O/U 35.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
33Q O/U 7.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
4O/U 37.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
5O/U 39.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
6Washington O/U 20.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
7Washington vs. Michigan State5750.0%$177.0K5750¢-5650¢
8O/U 41.55750.0%$5.1K5750¢-5650¢
9Spread -0.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
10Spread -1.55450.0%$105450¢-5350¢
111H Moneyline5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
121Q Moneyline5300.0%$305300¢-5200¢
13Spread -2.55150.0%$1.4K5150¢-5050¢
14O/U 43.55150.0%$1335150¢-5050¢
151H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
172H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
182H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
221Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
231Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
241Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
251Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
272Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
303Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
313Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
323Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
333Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
344Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
354Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
364Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
374Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Washington 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Washington 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Washington 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Michigan State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Michigan State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Michigan State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Washington 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Washington 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Washington 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Michigan State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Michigan State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Michigan State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Washington vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Washington vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1173Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1184Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Spread -20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1201Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1211H O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
122Game Goes to Overtime4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
123Washington O/U 23.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
124Michigan State O/U 35.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
125O/U 45.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
126Washington O/U 32.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
127Michigan State O/U 32.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
128Spread -3.54250.0%$21.5K4250¢-4150¢
129Spread -0.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
130Spread -1.54150.0%$104150¢-4050¢
131Spread -4.54050.0%$1.4K4050¢-3950¢
132O/U 47.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
133Washington O/U 29.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1341H O/U 27.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
135Michigan State O/U 23.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
136Spread -2.53900.0%$1.4K3900¢-3800¢
137O/U 63.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
138Spread -5.53850.0%$5.9K3850¢-3750¢
139O/U 67.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
140O/U 69.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
141O/U 71.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
142Spread -6.53700.0%$5833700¢-3600¢
1434Q O/U 7.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
144O/U 75.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
145Spread -3.53350.0%$21.5K3350¢-3250¢
146O/U 49.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
147O/U 55.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
148Spread -4.53050.0%$1.4K3050¢-2950¢
149Spread -7.53000.0%$103000¢-2900¢
150O/U 73.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
151Michigan State O/U 26.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
152Spread -5.52900.0%$5.9K2900¢-2800¢
153Spread -8.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
154Spread -6.52700.0%$5832700¢-2600¢
155O/U 51.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
156Washington O/U 26.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
157O/U 53.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
158Spread -10.52350.0%$2632350¢-2250¢
159Michigan State O/U 29.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
160Spread -7.52200.0%$102200¢-2100¢
161Spread -8.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
162Spread -13.51950.0%$331950¢-1850¢
163O/U 57.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
164Spread -10.51700.0%$2631700¢-1600¢
165Spread -14.51650.0%$101650¢-1550¢
166Spread -16.51450.0%$4.4K1450¢-1350¢
167O/U 59.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
168Spread -13.51350.0%$331350¢-1250¢
1691H O/U 30.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
170Spread -17.51250.0%$1.4K1250¢-1150¢
171O/U 61.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
172Spread -14.51100.0%$101100¢-1000¢
173Spread -20.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
174Spread -16.5850.0%$4.4K850¢-750¢
175O/U 65.5800.0%$1.3K800¢-700¢
176Spread -17.5750.0%$1.4K750¢-650¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game.

This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 09:54 AM
    CACasebres
    $355.00

    Bought 724.489796 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-2.5) at 0.49

  • 09:03 AM
    P4P4UL92
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Under for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.9

  • 07:06 AM
    IMImaTakova
    $1.04

    Bought 1.793104 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 41.5 at 0.58

  • 07:06 AM
    IMImaTakova
    $1.05

    Bought 1.810345 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.58

  • 01:33 AM
    BIbigish
    $41.34

    Sold 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.06

  • 01:33 AM
    BIbigish
    $147.53

    Sold 2107.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.07

  • 01:07 AM
    BIbigish
    $68.91

    Bought 689.08 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-17.5) at 0.1

  • 01:07 AM
    BIbigish
    $121.00

    Bought 1100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.11

  • 01:06 AM
    BIbigish
    $100.76

    Bought 1007.62 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1

  • 12:54 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 Michigan State for Spread: Washington (-3.5) at 0.57

  • 12:44 AM
    NAnaggingbets
    $10.00

    Bought 100 Michigan State for Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) at 0.1

  • 12:34 AM
    LULuckyPunch99
    $17.33

    Bought 157.53 Over for Washington vs. Michigan State: O/U 65.5 at 0.11

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

KC1
Kch-Temp
事件盈亏
+$691.98
成交量
$90,181.34
持仓数
Washington
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$1.86
成交量
$53,180.60
持仓数
Michigan StateMichigan StateWashington+1
9F3
0x9f15…bdb3
事件盈亏
-$166.06
成交量
$33,211.14
持仓数
Michigan State
2C4
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$164.37
成交量
$32,851.64
持仓数
Washington
JO5
JokerTheClown
事件盈亏
+$100.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持仓数
Washington
IM6
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
-$192.61
成交量
$19,202.67
持仓数
Michigan StateUnder
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$716.31
成交量
$16,646.66
持仓数
WashingtonWashingtonWashington+2
828
0x82ff…6f16
事件盈亏
-$31.00
成交量
$16,500.70
持仓数
Michigan State

常见问题

当前市场对「Washington vs. Michigan State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,300% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(7,250%),以及 3Q O/U 7.5(7,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $224.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易