
Wake Forest vs. SMU
核心摘要
根据「Wake Forest vs. SMU」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,1Q Moneyline 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 41.5 以 9,350% 位居第二,Wake Forest O/U 20.5 以 8,945% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $373.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- 1Q Moneyline (9,950%):1Q Moneyline 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $30 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 41.5 (9,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 41.5 保持着 9,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,350¢。
- Wake Forest O/U 20.5 (8,945%):以 8,945% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Wake Forest O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 47.5 (8,900%)、Wake Forest vs. SMU (8,850%),以及 Spread -1.5 (8,800%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 35.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1Q Moneyline | 9950.0% | $30 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | O/U 41.5 | 9350.0% | — | 9350¢ | -9250¢ |
| 3 | Wake Forest O/U 20.5 | 8945.0% | — | 8945¢ | -8845¢ |
| 4 | O/U 47.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 5 | Wake Forest vs. SMU | 8850.0% | $296.1K | 8850¢ | -8750¢ |
| 6 | Spread -1.5 | 8800.0% | $7.3K | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 7 | O/U 35.5 | 8800.0% | — | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 8 | O/U 37.5 | 8650.0% | — | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 9 | O/U 39.5 | 8650.0% | — | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 10 | Spread -2.5 | 8450.0% | $22.5K | 8450¢ | -8350¢ |
| 11 | O/U 43.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 12 | O/U 45.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 13 | Wake Forest O/U 23.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 14 | Spread -3.5 | 8050.0% | $849 | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 15 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 8050.0% | — | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 16 | Spread -4.5 | 8000.0% | $833 | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 17 | Spread -5.5 | 7950.0% | $2.5K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 18 | O/U 53.5 | 7700.0% | — | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 19 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 7700.0% | — | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 20 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 7700.0% | — | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 21 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 7650.0% | — | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 22 | O/U 49.5 | 7600.0% | $2 | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 23 | Spread -6.5 | 7550.0% | $290 | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 24 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 7300.0% | — | 7300¢ | -7200¢ |
| 25 | Wake Forest 1H O/U 15.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 26 | O/U 51.5 | 7150.0% | — | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 27 | Spread -7.5 | 7100.0% | $4.3K | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 28 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 29 | O/U 55.5 | 6900.0% | $732 | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 30 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 31 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 32 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 6800.0% | $277 | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 33 | O/U 57.5 | 6650.0% | $110 | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 34 | Spread -10.5 | 6450.0% | $2.0K | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 35 | O/U 59.5 | 6050.0% | $22.9K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 36 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 37 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 38 | Spread -13.5 | 5800.0% | $182 | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 39 | O/U 61.5 | 5650.0% | $2.4K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 40 | SMU O/U 23.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 41 | Spread -14.5 | 5550.0% | $55 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 42 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 43 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 44 | Spread -8.5 | 5300.0% | $8 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 45 | Spread -16.5 | 5150.0% | $1.0K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 46 | Spread -0.5 | 5150.0% | $288 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 47 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 48 | Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 49 | Spread -8.5 | 5050.0% | $8 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 50 | SMU O/U 29.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 51 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Wake Forest O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Wake Forest O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Wake Forest O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | SMU O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | SMU O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | SMU 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | SMU 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Wake Forest 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Wake Forest 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Wake Forest 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | SMU 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | SMU 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | SMU 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Wake Forest vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Wake Forest vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Wake Forest vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Wake Forest 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Wake Forest 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | SMU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | SMU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | SMU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | SMU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | SMU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Wake Forest vs. SMU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Wake Forest vs. SMU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Wake Forest vs. SMU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | $140 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 138 | SMU O/U 26.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 139 | SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 140 | Spread -17.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 141 | Spread -0.5 | 4500.0% | $288 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 142 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 143 | Spread -20.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 144 | O/U 63.5 | 4200.0% | $47 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 145 | O/U 65.5 | 3950.0% | $2.0K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 146 | Game Goes to Overtime | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 147 | O/U 67.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 148 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 149 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 150 | O/U 69.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 151 | O/U 73.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 152 | O/U 71.5 | 2700.0% | $1.9K | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 153 | O/U 75.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 154 | SMU 1H O/U 12.5 | 2650.0% | $5 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 155 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 156 | Spread -1.5 | 1200.0% | $7.3K | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 157 | Spread -2.5 | 1050.0% | $22.5K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 158 | Spread -3.5 | 850.0% | $849 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 159 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 850.0% | — | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 160 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 161 | Spread -5.5 | 750.0% | $2.5K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 162 | Spread -4.5 | 700.0% | $833 | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 163 | Spread -6.5 | 550.0% | $290 | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 164 | Spread -7.5 | 400.0% | $4.3K | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 165 | Spread -13.5 | 325.0% | $182 | 325¢ | -225¢ |
| 166 | Spread -16.5 | 150.0% | $1.0K | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 167 | Spread -10.5 | 110.0% | $2.0K | 110¢ | -10¢ |
| 168 | Spread -17.5 | 100.0% | — | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 169 | Spread -14.5 | 55.0% | $55 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 170 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 171 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and SMU, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game.
This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:01 AMRNRNGLuck$3.00
Bought 6.25 Wake Forest for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.48
- 09:03 AM2626trpl$10.00
Bought 18.867925 SMU for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.53
- 09:02 AMFRfrenchflair14$5.88
Bought 12.25 Wake Forest for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.48
- 09:01 AMMAMAGIC23X$2.65
Bought 5 SMU for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.53
- 08:53 AMAKakosialex703$200.00
Bought 392.156863 Wake Forest for Spread: SMU (-1.5) at 0.51
- 08:50 AM0X0x5f13fc993d6a04e7FB801f9204cC3c26Eb6Cf926-1781987576884$2.65
Bought 5 SMU for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.53
- 08:48 AMPEPEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN$6,360.00
Bought 12000 SMU for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.53
- 07:41 AMPRProvvy$1.25
Bought 1.602563 Over for Wake Forest vs. SMU: O/U 49.5 at 0.78
- 07:35 AMIQiqcentury11$10.00
Bought 19.23077 Over for Wake Forest vs. SMU: O/U 59.5 at 0.52
- 07:10 AMBOboneywt17$1,460.17
Bought 2755.037736 SMU for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.53
- 07:09 AMBLBlitzmn2$5.03
Bought 10.265307 Wake Forest for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.49
- 07:07 AM——$49.00
Bought 100 Wake Forest for Wake Forest vs. SMU at 0.49
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Wake Forest vs. SMU」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,1Q Moneyline 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 41.5(9,350%),以及 Wake Forest O/U 20.5(8,945%)。该市场总成交量已达 $373.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
