Utah vs. Arizona

$164.4K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
Utah 53.5%
Arizona 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「Utah vs. Arizona」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 39.5 以压倒性的 8,600% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 43.5 以 8,350% 位居第二,O/U 37.5 以 8,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $164.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 39.5 (8,600%):O/U 39.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,600¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 43.5 (8,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 43.5 保持着 8,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,350¢。
  • O/U 37.5 (8,250%):以 8,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 37.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 41.5 (8,150%)、Utah O/U 20.5 (7,700%),以及 O/U 45.5 (7,400%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1H O/U 21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 39.58600.0%—8600¢-8500¢
2O/U 43.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
3O/U 37.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
4O/U 41.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
5Utah O/U 20.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
6O/U 45.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
71H O/U 21.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
8O/U 47.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
9Utah O/U 23.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
101Q O/U 7.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
11O/U 49.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
12Arizona O/U 23.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
13Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
141H O/U 24.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
152Q O/U 7.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
162Q O/U 10.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
17O/U 51.56150.0%$386150¢-6050¢
18Utah O/U 26.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
19O/U 53.55750.0%$3415750¢-5650¢
20Arizona 1H O/U 12.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
21Arizona O/U 26.55650.0%$805650¢-5550¢
22Utah 2H O/U 13.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
23Utah 1H O/U 11.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
24Spread -0.55400.0%$55400¢-5300¢
25Utah vs. Arizona5350.0%$110.8K5350¢-5250¢
26Utah 1H O/U 13.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
273Q O/U 10.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
281Q Moneyline5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
292Q Moneyline5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
30Spread -1.55150.0%$2.2K5150¢-5050¢
31O/U 55.55150.0%$6325150¢-5050¢
321H Moneyline5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
331H O/U 27.55100.0%$5235100¢-5000¢
341Q O/U 10.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
353Q O/U 7.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
36Utah 2H O/U 11.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
373Q Moneyline5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
384Q Moneyline5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
39O/U 35.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
402Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41Game Goes to Overtime5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
422H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
442H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
452H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
462H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
483Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
493Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Arizona 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Arizona 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Arizona 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Utah Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Utah Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Utah Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Utah Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Utah Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Utah Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Utah vs. Arizona: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Utah vs. Arizona: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Utah vs. Arizona: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Spread -2.54850.0%$6264850¢-4750¢
124Utah O/U 29.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
125Arizona 1H O/U 16.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
126Spread -0.54650.0%$54650¢-4550¢
127Utah 1H O/U 15.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1281Q O/U 13.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
129O/U 57.54550.0%$1.0K4550¢-4450¢
130Spread -1.54450.0%$2.2K4450¢-4350¢
1313Q O/U 13.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
132Utah 2H O/U 15.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
133Arizona 1H O/U 14.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
134Arizona O/U 29.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
135Spread -2.54250.0%$6264250¢-4150¢
136Spread -3.54050.0%$7884050¢-3950¢
137O/U 59.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
138Spread -4.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
139Spread -5.53750.0%$8523750¢-3650¢
1402Q O/U 19.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
141Spread -3.53600.0%$7883600¢-3500¢
142O/U 61.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
143Utah O/U 32.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
144Spread -6.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
145Spread -4.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
1461H O/U 30.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
1471Q O/U 16.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
148O/U 63.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
149Arizona O/U 32.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
150Spread -5.53150.0%$8523150¢-3050¢
151Spread -6.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
152Spread -7.52950.0%$52950¢-2850¢
1531Q O/U 19.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
1541H O/U 33.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
155Spread -8.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
156O/U 65.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
157Spread -7.52450.0%$52450¢-2350¢
158Spread -10.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
159O/U 67.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
160Spread -8.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
161Arizona O/U 35.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
162Spread -10.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
163Spread -13.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
164O/U 69.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
165Spread -17.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
166Spread -14.51750.0%$701750¢-1650¢
167O/U 73.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
168Spread -13.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
169Spread -20.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
170Spread -17.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
171Spread -20.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
172Spread -16.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
173O/U 71.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
174Spread -14.51350.0%$701350¢-1250¢
175Spread -16.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
176O/U 75.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Utah and Arizona, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Utah" if Utah win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:22 PM
    NInigiri99
    $197.60

    Bought 380 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 10:05 PM
    0X0xB06E1d5a08B3616B937b8d3dBa8a9373425C4423-1789692837446
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Utah for Utah vs. Arizona at 0.52

  • 10:03 PM
    KAkanardmd
    $49.50

    Bought 90 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-2.5) at 0.55

  • 10:03 PM
    FRfrenchflair14
    $6.16

    Bought 14.325582 Under for Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 53.5 at 0.43

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $1.02

    Bought 2.081633 Utah for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $24.44

    Bought 47 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 09:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $39.00

    Bought 75 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 09:52 PM
    NInigiri99
    $172.12

    Bought 331 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 09:52 PM
    NInigiri99
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 09:46 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1.04

    Bought 2 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 09:44 PM
    SUSubandiduuu
    $2.43

    Bought 4.959184 Utah for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 09:44 PM
    NInigiri99
    $11.96

    Bought 23 Arizona for Spread: Utah (-1.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MU1
Multicoloured-Serf
事件盈亏
+$2.41
成交量
$77,185.58
持仓数
UtahUtah
KE2
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
-$794.67
成交量
$67,101.49
持仓数
ArizonaUtah
BA3
bands1
事件盈亏
-$0.79
成交量
$39,842.86
持仓数
ArizonaArizona
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$134.24
成交量
$30,802.00
持仓数
UtahArizonaUtah+1
PE5
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
事件盈亏
-$120.00
成交量
$24,000.00
持仓数
Arizona
386
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$69.04
成交量
$7,351.33
持仓数
ArizonaArizonaArizona+3
FL7
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
-$25.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Arizona
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
+$18.75
成交量
$3,750.00
持仓数
Utah

常见问题

当前市场对「Utah vs. Arizona」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 39.5 以 8,600% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 43.5(8,350%),以及 O/U 37.5(8,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $164.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易