UNLV vs. New Mexico

$160K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
New Mexico 95.5%
UNLV 4.5%

核心摘要

根据「UNLV vs. New Mexico」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,2Q O/U 7.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;2Q O/U 10.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,2Q O/U 13.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $160K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (9,950%):2Q O/U 7.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 2Q O/U 10.5 (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,2Q O/U 10.5 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
  • 2Q O/U 13.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 2Q O/U 13.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -1.5 (9,490%)、Spread -2.5 (9,410%),以及 Spread -3.5 (9,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -4.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
12Q O/U 7.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
22Q O/U 10.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
32Q O/U 13.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Spread -1.59490.0%—9490¢-9390¢
5Spread -2.59410.0%—9410¢-9310¢
6Spread -3.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
7Spread -4.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
8Spread -5.58800.0%$18800¢-8700¢
9Spread -6.58750.0%$2.6K8750¢-8650¢
10New Mexico O/U 23.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
11Spread -7.58100.0%$278100¢-8000¢
12Spread -9.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
13O/U 39.57350.0%$7157350¢-7250¢
14Spread -10.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
15Spread -8.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
16Spread -11.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
17O/U 35.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
18Spread -12.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
19Spread -13.56600.0%$4826600¢-6500¢
20O/U 37.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
21Spread -15.56350.0%$1.1K6350¢-6250¢
22Spread -14.55800.0%$5.1K5800¢-5700¢
23Spread -18.55500.0%$19.5K5500¢-5400¢
24Spread -16.55450.0%$17.4K5450¢-5350¢
25Spread -19.55400.0%$1.9K5400¢-5300¢
26Spread -20.55000.0%$6.6K5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -17.55000.0%$73.7K5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -16.55000.0%$17.4K5000¢-4900¢
29Spread -14.55000.0%$5.1K5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
361H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
371H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
442Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
453Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
463Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
483Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
493Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55UNLV O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56UNLV O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57New Mexico O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58New Mexico O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59New Mexico O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60New Mexico O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61UNLV 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62UNLV 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63UNLV 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64New Mexico 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65New Mexico 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66UNLV 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67UNLV 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68UNLV 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69New Mexico 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70New Mexico 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71New Mexico 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85UNLV vs. New Mexico: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93UNLV Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110UNLV 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127UNLV Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130UNLV vs. New Mexico: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132UNLV vs. New Mexico: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133UNLV vs. New Mexico: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1342H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1351H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1373Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1384Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Spread -38.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140O/U 71.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
141O/U 73.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
142UNLV O/U 32.54950.0%$74950¢-4850¢
143UNLV vs. New Mexico: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
144UNLV vs. New Mexico: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
145New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
146O/U 45.54850.0%$9.8K4850¢-4750¢
147Spread -17.54750.0%$73.7K4750¢-4650¢
148O/U 43.54700.0%$474700¢-4600¢
149O/U 47.54600.0%$954600¢-4500¢
150Spread -22.54300.0%$254300¢-4200¢
151Spread -20.54050.0%$6.6K4050¢-3950¢
152Spread -25.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
153Spread -26.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
154O/U 49.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
155Spread -21.53300.0%$5.7K3300¢-3200¢
156Spread -28.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
157Spread -23.53000.0%$2.6K3000¢-2900¢
158O/U 51.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
159O/U 53.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
160Spread -31.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
161O/U 55.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
162UNLV O/U 20.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
163Spread -32.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
164Spread -34.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
165O/U 59.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
166Spread -24.52500.0%$4.0K2500¢-2400¢
167O/U 61.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
168O/U 65.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
169O/U 67.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
1701H O/U 27.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
171Spread -35.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
172Spread -27.52000.0%$1.0K2000¢-1900¢
173O/U 57.51450.0%$2061450¢-1350¢
174UNLV O/U 23.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
175Spread -30.51300.0%$3331300¢-1200¢
1761H O/U 30.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
177O/U 63.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
178UNLV vs. New Mexico550.0%$7.2K550¢-450¢
179Spread -1.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
180Spread -2.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
181Spread -4.5355.0%—355¢-255¢
182Spread -3.5345.0%—345¢-245¢
183Spread -7.5285.0%$27285¢-185¢
184Spread -5.5195.0%$1195¢-95¢
185Spread -6.5190.0%$2.6K190¢-90¢
186O/U 69.5190.0%—190¢-90¢
187Spread -13.5140.0%$482140¢-40¢
188Spread -10.5135.0%—135¢-35¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and New Mexico, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game.

This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:24 PM
    SASam.Rothstein
    $451.12

    Bought 506.875727 New Mexico for UNLV vs. New Mexico at 0.89

  • 10:03 PM
    PHphilk53
    $9.00

    Bought 10.227266 New Mexico for UNLV vs. New Mexico at 0.88

  • 09:38 PM
    APApeir0n
    $19.55

    Bought 30.54 New Mexico for Spread: New Mexico (-13.5) at 0.64

  • 09:33 PM
    GUGuccci26
    $4.86

    Bought 5.0103 New Mexico for Spread: UNLV (-6.5) at 0.97

  • 09:00 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $21.08

    Bought 39.77 Over for UNLV vs. New Mexico: O/U 45.5 at 0.53

  • 08:58 PM
    WOWooll
    $2.00

    Bought 4 UNLV for Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) at 0.5

  • 08:28 PM
    DFDFY
    $9.30

    Bought 19.787235 Over for UNLV vs. New Mexico: O/U 47.5 at 0.47

  • 08:20 PM
    YEye-ye
    $1.00

    Bought 1.136358 New Mexico for UNLV vs. New Mexico at 0.88

  • 07:48 PM
    NInigiri99
    $42.93

    Bought 53 New Mexico for Spread: New Mexico (-6.5) at 0.81

  • 07:12 PM
    NEneyser
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 New Mexico for Spread: New Mexico (-5.5) at 0.82

  • 06:48 PM
    DIdiscoverilla
    $4.92

    Sold 5.66 New Mexico for UNLV vs. New Mexico at 0.87

  • 06:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $351.12

    Bought 399 New Mexico for UNLV vs. New Mexico at 0.88

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

KE1
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
+$2,176.16
成交量
$64,557.58
持仓数
New MexicoNew Mexico
DO2
Donkey14
事件盈亏
-$2,339.54
成交量
$45,117.29
持仓数
UNLVUNLV
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$179.36
成交量
$20,031.83
持仓数
OverNew MexicoNew Mexico+5
384
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$162.64
成交量
$14,026.15
持仓数
UNLVUNLVUNLV+7
MA5
MadridTime
事件盈亏
-$873.20
成交量
$10,911.26
持仓数
UNLVNew MexicoNew Mexico+2
BO6
Bozos14
事件盈亏
-$416.67
成交量
$10,416.66
持仓数
UNLV
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$24.46
成交量
$9,527.00
持仓数
UnderUNLVNew Mexico+1
IM8
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
-$48.89
成交量
$9,433.75
持仓数
UNLVUNLVUnder

常见问题

当前市场对「UNLV vs. New Mexico」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,2Q O/U 7.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 2Q O/U 10.5(9,950%),以及 2Q O/U 13.5(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $160K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易