UMass vs. Toledo

$217.8K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
概率趋势
Toledo 90.5%
UMass 9.5%

核心摘要

根据「UMass vs. Toledo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -1.5 以压倒性的 8,700% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 35.5 以 8,650% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 8,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $217.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (8,700%):Spread -1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 35.5 保持着 8,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,650¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (8,400%):以 8,400% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (8,300%)、Toledo O/U 23.5 (8,300%),以及 Spread -4.5 (8,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 37.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
2O/U 35.58650.0%$628650¢-8550¢
3Spread -2.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
4Spread -3.58300.0%$428300¢-8200¢
5Toledo O/U 23.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
6Spread -4.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
7O/U 37.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
8Spread -5.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
9Spread -6.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
10O/U 39.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
11O/U 41.57450.0%$8037450¢-7350¢
12Spread -7.57200.0%$5147200¢-7100¢
13Spread -9.57000.0%$1047000¢-6900¢
14O/U 43.56900.0%$56900¢-6800¢
15Spread -10.56600.0%$1.1K6600¢-6500¢
16O/U 45.56550.0%$1436550¢-6450¢
17Spread -11.56350.0%$1.7K6350¢-6250¢
18Spread -8.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
19Spread -13.55850.0%$15.6K5850¢-5750¢
20Spread -12.55800.0%$2735800¢-5700¢
21O/U 47.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
22O/U 49.55650.0%$755650¢-5550¢
23Spread -14.55550.0%$109.6K5550¢-5450¢
24Spread -16.55250.0%$2905250¢-5150¢
25Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
26UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
27Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Spread -20.55000.0%$4065000¢-4900¢
29Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -16.55000.0%$2905000¢-4900¢
31Spread -14.55000.0%$109.6K5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
341H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
361H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
421Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
431Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
441Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
451Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
461Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
523Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
533Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
543Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
553Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62UMass O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63UMass O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64UMass O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Toledo O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Toledo O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Toledo O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Toledo O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69UMass 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UMass 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71UMass 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Toledo 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Toledo 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Toledo 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75UMass 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76UMass 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77UMass 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Toledo 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Toledo 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Toledo 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138UMass vs. Toledo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139UMass vs. Toledo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140UMass vs. Toledo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Spread -34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1431H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148O/U 51.54950.0%$68.9K4950¢-4850¢
149Both Teams to Score Points - Q14950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
150UMass vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
151UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
152Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
153Spread -17.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
154Spread -15.54800.0%$464800¢-4700¢
155Spread -18.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
156O/U 53.54400.0%$1.0K4400¢-4300¢
157Spread -19.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
158Spread -20.54250.0%$4064250¢-4150¢
1591H O/U 27.54150.0%$894150¢-4050¢
160O/U 57.53950.0%$33950¢-3850¢
161Spread -21.53900.0%$13900¢-3800¢
162O/U 55.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
163Spread -22.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
164UMass O/U 20.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1651H O/U 30.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
166Spread -24.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
167O/U 61.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
168O/U 63.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
169UMass O/U 23.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
170Spread -27.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
171O/U 67.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
172Spread -28.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
173O/U 59.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
174O/U 69.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
175Spread -31.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
176O/U 73.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
177O/U 75.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
178Spread -30.51950.0%$3841950¢-1850¢
179O/U 65.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
180UMass vs. Toledo1150.0%$16.7K1150¢-1050¢
181Spread -2.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
182Spread -1.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
183Spread -4.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
184O/U 71.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
185Spread -3.5750.0%$42750¢-650¢
186Spread -6.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
187Spread -5.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
188Spread -7.5515.0%$514515¢-415¢
189Spread -10.5260.0%$1.1K260¢-160¢
190Spread -13.5195.0%$15.6K195¢-95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Toledo, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game.

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:48 PM
    SOsoylentgoy
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-21.5) at 0.71

  • 11:20 PM
    ——
    $1.13

    Sold 2.82 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.4

  • 10:50 PM
    SIsionnach
    $2.38

    Bought 5.804879 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    MUmuhittinov
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439025 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    ——
    $1.16

    Bought 2.829269 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    SAsanten
    $5.00

    Bought 12.195122 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.41

  • 10:50 PM
    PRprimm
    $31.33

    Bought 78.32 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-9.5) at 0.4

  • 10:39 PM
    MAMadridTime
    $15.13

    Bought 252.24138 UMass for Spread: UMass (-7.5) at 0.06

  • 10:07 PM
    ——
    $25.30

    Bought 46 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-15.5) at 0.55

  • 09:49 PM
    JLjlangan
    $25.00

    Bought 48.076922 UMass for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 0.52

  • 09:38 PM
    BUBunter.Hiden
    $5.00

    Bought 29.411765 UMass for UMass vs. Toledo at 0.17

  • 09:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.62

    Bought 38 Over for UMass vs. Toledo: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PR1
primm
事件盈亏
-$199.33
成交量
$21,779.09
持仓数
UnderUMassUMass+1
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$74.50
成交量
$17,046.00
持仓数
UMassOverUMass
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$125.11
成交量
$16,373.19
持仓数
ToledoUnderUMass+2
LI4
lightotunnel35
事件盈亏
-$29.97
成交量
$15,150.95
持仓数
Over
PW5
Pwaddler
事件盈亏
+$74.45
成交量
$14,887.06
持仓数
Toledo
386
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$23.57
成交量
$7,187.52
持仓数
UnderToledoToledo+6
JA7
jaytee158
事件盈亏
-$30.25
成交量
$6,050.25
持仓数
Toledo
MA8
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
-$16.89
成交量
$5,681.73
持仓数
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「UMass vs. Toledo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 8,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(8,650%),以及 Spread -2.5(8,400%)。该市场总成交量已达 $217.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易