
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
核心摘要
根据「Stanford vs. Virginia Tech」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 41.5 以压倒性的 9,255% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H 以 9,005% 位居第二,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 以 9,005% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $209.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 41.5 (9,255%):O/U 41.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,255¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $331 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H (9,005%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H 保持着 9,005% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,005¢。
- Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 (9,005%):以 9,005% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 37.5 (8,350%)、O/U 39.5 (8,300%),以及 O/U 43.5 (8,250%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 47.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 41.5 | 9255.0% | $331 | 9255¢ | -9155¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 9005.0% | — | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 9005.0% | — | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 4 | O/U 37.5 | 8350.0% | — | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 5 | O/U 39.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 6 | O/U 43.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 7 | O/U 47.5 | 8250.0% | $6.2K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 8 | Stanford vs. Virginia Tech | 8150.0% | $85.9K | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 9 | Spread -1.5 | 8100.0% | — | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 10 | O/U 45.5 | 8000.0% | — | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -2.5 | 7850.0% | $1.3K | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 12 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 7800.0% | — | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 13 | O/U 49.5 | 7750.0% | — | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 14 | O/U 51.5 | 7450.0% | — | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 15 | Spread -3.5 | 6950.0% | $2.2K | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 16 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 6950.0% | — | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 17 | Spread -4.5 | 6750.0% | $1.6K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 18 | Spread -5.5 | 6650.0% | $2.8K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 19 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 20 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 21 | O/U 55.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 22 | Spread -6.5 | 6150.0% | $1.7K | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 23 | O/U 53.5 | 6100.0% | $32 | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 24 | Spread -7.5 | 5610.0% | $16 | 5610¢ | -5510¢ |
| 25 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 26 | Virginia Tech O/U 23.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 27 | O/U 35.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 28 | Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 29 | Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 30 | Virginia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 31 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Stanford O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Stanford O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Stanford O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Virginia Tech O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Virginia Tech O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Virginia Tech O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Virginia Tech O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Stanford 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Stanford 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Stanford 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Virginia Tech 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Virginia Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Virginia Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Stanford Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Virginia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Virginia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Virginia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Stanford Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Virginia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Virginia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Virginia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Stanford Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Virginia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Virginia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Virginia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Stanford Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Virginia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Virginia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Stanford 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Virginia Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Virginia Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Stanford Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Virginia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Virginia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Stanford Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Virginia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Stanford Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Virginia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Virginia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Spread -38.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | O/U 57.5 | 4950.0% | $13.2K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 108 | Virginia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 109 | Virginia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 110 | Virginia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 111 | Virginia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 112 | Spread -15.5 | 4950.0% | $2.1K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 113 | Spread -22.5 | 4950.0% | $500 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 114 | Spread -28.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 115 | Spread -26.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 116 | Spread -29.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 117 | Spread -25.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 118 | Spread -12.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 119 | Spread -18.5 | 4900.0% | $1.1K | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 120 | Spread -19.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 121 | Spread -31.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 122 | Spread -34.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 123 | Spread -32.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 124 | Spread -36.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 125 | Spread -35.5 | 4550.0% | $100 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 126 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 127 | Spread -10.5 | 4455.0% | $10 | 4455¢ | -4355¢ |
| 128 | Spread -33.5 | 4380.0% | — | 4380¢ | -4280¢ |
| 129 | Spread -8.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 130 | O/U 63.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 131 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 132 | O/U 59.5 | 3750.0% | $28.8K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 133 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 134 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 135 | O/U 67.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 136 | O/U 61.5 | 3250.0% | $6.7K | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 137 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 138 | Spread -14.5 | 3100.0% | $1.2K | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 139 | O/U 69.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 140 | Spread -17.5 | 2850.0% | $2.4K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 141 | Spread -13.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 142 | O/U 73.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 143 | Spread -20.5 | 2600.0% | $504 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 144 | O/U 75.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 145 | O/U 65.5 | 2250.0% | $22.2K | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 146 | Spread -8.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 147 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 148 | Spread -16.5 | 1900.0% | $27.2K | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 149 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 150 | Spread -1.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 151 | Spread -2.5 | 1400.0% | $1.3K | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 152 | Spread -3.5 | 1050.0% | $2.2K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 153 | O/U 71.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 154 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 155 | Spread -4.5 | 750.0% | $1.6K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 156 | Spread -5.5 | 600.0% | $2.8K | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 157 | Spread -6.5 | 500.0% | $1.7K | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 158 | Spread -7.5 | 350.0% | $16 | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 159 | Spread -9.5 | 350.0% | — | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 160 | Spread -11.5 | 300.0% | — | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 161 | Spread -24.5 | 300.0% | — | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 162 | Spread -14.5 | 265.0% | $1.2K | 265¢ | -165¢ |
| 163 | Spread -10.5 | 250.0% | $10 | 250¢ | -150¢ |
| 164 | Spread -13.5 | 200.0% | — | 200¢ | -100¢ |
| 165 | Spread -16.5 | 165.0% | $27.2K | 165¢ | -65¢ |
| 166 | Spread -17.5 | 105.0% | $2.4K | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 167 | Spread -27.5 | 100.0% | $60 | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 168 | Spread -21.5 | 95.0% | — | 95¢ | 5¢ |
| 169 | Spread -23.5 | 50.0% | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 170 | Spread -20.5 | 35.0% | $504 | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 171 | Spread -30.5 | 35.0% | $25 | 35¢ | 65¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Stanford and Virginia Tech, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Stanford" if Stanford win the game.
This market will resolve to "Virginia Tech" if Virginia Tech win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:05 PM——$2.00
Bought 3.636364 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-18.5) at 0.55
- 10:05 PM8484888$460.00
Bought 1000 Virginia Tech for Spread: Virginia Tech (-18.5) at 0.46
- 10:05 PM——$4.23
Bought 7.690908 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-18.5) at 0.55
- 10:03 PMPHphilk53$9.00
Bought 10.227266 Virginia Tech for Stanford vs. Virginia Tech at 0.88
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$622.28
Bought 1324 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$123.14
Bought 262 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$8.93
Bought 19 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$766.10
Bought 1630 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$42.77
Bought 91 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$2.35
Bought 5 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$11.28
Bought 24 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
- 09:58 PMNInigiri99$565.88
Bought 1204 Stanford for Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) at 0.47
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Stanford vs. Virginia Tech」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 41.5 以 9,255% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H(9,005%),以及 Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2(9,005%)。该市场总成交量已达 $209.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
