New Mexico State vs. Missouri State

$125.2K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
Missouri State 69.5%
New Mexico State 30.5%

核心摘要

根据「New Mexico State vs. Missouri State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -0.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $125.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -0.5 (9,995%):Spread -0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,995%)、Spread -4.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -5.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 43.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -0.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59995.0%$36.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Spread -2.59995.0%$2779995¢-9895¢
4Spread -3.59995.0%$969995¢-9895¢
5Spread -4.59995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
6Spread -5.59995.0%$799995¢-9895¢
7O/U 43.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
8O/U 45.59995.0%$6.0K9995¢-9895¢
9O/U 47.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
10Missouri State O/U 23.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
11Missouri State O/U 26.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
12Both Teams to Score a Touchdown9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
13Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q49050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
14Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
15Game Goes to Overtime9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
162H O/U 21.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
172H O/U 24.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
18Missouri State 2H O/U 12.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
19Both Teams to Score Points - Q49000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
20New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
21New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
22New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
23New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
24Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
25New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
26New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
27New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
28New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
29Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 14.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
30New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
31New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
322H Moneyline9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
33Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
364Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372H O/U 27.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
382H O/U 30.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
392H O/U 33.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
40New Mexico State 2H O/U 15.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
41Missouri State 2H O/U 14.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
42Missouri State 2H O/U 16.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
43New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
44New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
45Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
46Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
47New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
48New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
49New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
50Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
51Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
52Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
53Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
54Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
55Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
56New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
57New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
58Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
59Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
60Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
61New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
62New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
63Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
64Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
65New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
66New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
67New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
68Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
69Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
70Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
71New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
72New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
73New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
74Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 24.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
75New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
76New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
77New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
78Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 19.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
79Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 21.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
80Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 23.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
81New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
82Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown950.0%—950¢-850¢
834Q O/U 16.550.0%—50¢50¢
844Q O/U 19.550.0%—50¢50¢
85New Mexico State O/U 23.545.0%—45¢55¢
86New Mexico State O/U 26.545.0%—45¢55¢
87New Mexico State O/U 29.545.0%—45¢55¢
88New Mexico State O/U 32.545.0%—45¢55¢
89Missouri State O/U 29.545.0%—45¢55¢
90Missouri State O/U 32.545.0%—45¢55¢
91Missouri State O/U 35.545.0%—45¢55¢
92New Mexico State vs. Missouri State5.0%$68.5K5¢95¢
93Spread -20.55.0%—5¢95¢
94Spread -17.55.0%—5¢95¢
95Spread -16.55.0%$105¢95¢
96Spread -14.55.0%—5¢95¢
97Spread -13.55.0%$1.3K5¢95¢
98Spread -10.55.0%—5¢95¢
99Spread -8.55.0%—5¢95¢
100Spread -7.55.0%$3965¢95¢
101Spread -6.55.0%$4005¢95¢
102Spread -5.55.0%$795¢95¢
103Spread -4.55.0%$105¢95¢
104Spread -3.55.0%$965¢95¢
105Spread -2.55.0%$2775¢95¢
106Spread -1.55.0%$36.9K5¢95¢
107Spread -0.55.0%—5¢95¢
108Spread -6.55.0%$4005¢95¢
109Spread -7.55.0%$3965¢95¢
110Spread -8.55.0%—5¢95¢
111Spread -10.55.0%—5¢95¢
112Spread -13.55.0%$1.3K5¢95¢
113Spread -14.55.0%—5¢95¢
114Spread -16.55.0%$105¢95¢
115Spread -17.55.0%—5¢95¢
116Spread -20.55.0%—5¢95¢
117O/U 49.55.0%$2.0K5¢95¢
118O/U 51.55.0%$4235¢95¢
119O/U 53.55.0%$3475¢95¢
120O/U 55.55.0%—5¢95¢
121O/U 57.55.0%$3815¢95¢
122O/U 59.55.0%—5¢95¢
123O/U 61.55.0%—5¢95¢
124O/U 63.55.0%$1.3K5¢95¢
125O/U 65.55.0%$1.8K5¢95¢
126O/U 67.55.0%—5¢95¢
127O/U 69.55.0%—5¢95¢
128O/U 71.55.0%—5¢95¢
129O/U 73.55.0%—5¢95¢
130O/U 75.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico State and Missouri State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:30 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $0.14

    Sold 13.82 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.01

  • 10:29 PM
    TItinynarwhal
    $4.11

    Bought 68.494916 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.06

  • 10:29 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $4.48

    Bought 89.6 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.05

  • 10:29 PM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 20.6 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.05

  • 10:29 PM
    SEseeyouanymore
    $1.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 51.5 at 0.16

  • 10:29 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $16.91

    Bought 338.22 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.05

  • 10:29 PM
    TItinynarwhal
    $14.61

    Bought 243.559323 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 63.5 at 0.06

  • 10:29 PM
    CHChickTrading
    $231.84

    Bought 414 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $85.75

    Bought 285.833334 Over for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 45.5 at 0.3

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $149.45

    Bought 266.875 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $149.45

    Bought 266.875 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

  • 10:29 PM
    0X0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
    $149.45

    Bought 266.875 Under for New Mexico State vs. Missouri State: O/U 65.5 at 0.56

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

KE1
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
-$9,894.28
成交量
$43,504.00
持仓数
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
BO2
BoggsFromShawshank
事件盈亏
+$3,268.30
成交量
$14,210.00
持仓数
Missouri State
CU3
CUTJALENHURTS
事件盈亏
+$849.48
成交量
$10,540.98
持仓数
Missouri State
BO4
Bozos14
事件盈亏
+$2,200.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Missouri State
HE5
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$2,250.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Missouri State
HI6
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$2,299.24
成交量
$9,996.68
持仓数
Missouri State
657
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$1,329.05
成交量
$9,677.96
持仓数
New Mexico StateMissouri State
PA8
PacersThreeandahalf
事件盈亏
+$471.57
成交量
$7,254.99
持仓数
Missouri State

常见问题

当前市场对「New Mexico State vs. Missouri State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -0.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $125.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易