New Mexico vs. Nevada

$105.4K Vol
2026年11月7日
Active
概率趋势
New Mexico 78.5%
Nevada 21.5%

核心摘要

根据「New Mexico vs. Nevada」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,New Mexico vs. Nevada 以压倒性的 7,850% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -0.5 以 7,800% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 7,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $105.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • New Mexico vs. Nevada (7,850%):New Mexico vs. Nevada 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $45.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -0.5 (7,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -0.5 保持着 7,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,800¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (7,650%):以 7,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -2.5 (7,450%)、1H Moneyline (7,450%),以及 1Q Moneyline (6,950%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1New Mexico vs. Nevada7850.0%$45.6K7850¢-7750¢
2Spread -0.57800.0%$67800¢-7700¢
3Spread -1.57650.0%$107650¢-7550¢
4Spread -2.57450.0%$2067450¢-7350¢
51H Moneyline7450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
61Q Moneyline6950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
7Spread -3.56850.0%$4756850¢-6750¢
8Spread -4.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
91H Spread -2.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
10New Mexico O/U 20.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
11Spread -5.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
12Spread -6.56200.0%$7086200¢-6100¢
13O/U 35.56100.0%$1.1K6100¢-6000¢
14Spread -7.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
15O/U 37.55450.0%$16.6K5450¢-5350¢
16New Mexico O/U 23.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
17Spread -8.55350.0%$55350¢-5250¢
181H Spread -4.55350.0%$715350¢-5250¢
19Spread -9.55250.0%$6.0K5250¢-5150¢
204Q Spread -2.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
211H Spread -5.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
221H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
231H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
24New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
25New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
26New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
27Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Nevada 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
29New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
32Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
33Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
34Nevada Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40Nevada Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
421Q Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
431Q Spread -1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44New Mexico O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Nevada O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
583Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
593Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
603Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
624Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
634Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
644Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66New Mexico 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67New Mexico 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68New Mexico 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Nevada 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Nevada 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Nevada 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72New Mexico 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73New Mexico 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74New Mexico 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Nevada 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Nevada 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Nevada 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Nevada Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Nevada Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Nevada Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125New Mexico vs. Nevada: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -0.55000.0%$35000¢-4900¢
1311Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1321Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1352Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1403Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1444Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1454Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1464Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1492H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1502Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1513Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153Spread -16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
154Spread -17.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
155Spread -20.54950.0%$2.8K4950¢-4850¢
1561Q O/U 13.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1571H Spread -6.54950.0%$2824950¢-4850¢
1581Q O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1591Q O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1601Q O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1613Q Spread -0.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
162Spread -10.54750.0%$28.1K4750¢-4650¢
163O/U 39.54750.0%$2.6K4750¢-4650¢
1642Q Spread -3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
165Spread -13.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
166O/U 41.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
167Nevada O/U 35.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
1681Q O/U 7.54000.0%$64000¢-3900¢
1691H Spread -7.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
170Spread -14.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
1711H Spread -9.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
172O/U 43.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
173Spread -16.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
1741H O/U 33.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
175Spread -17.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
176New Mexico O/U 26.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
177New Mexico O/U 29.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
178New Mexico O/U 32.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
179O/U 45.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1802H Spread -5.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
181O/U 47.52650.0%$5132650¢-2550¢
182O/U 71.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
183O/U 73.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
1843Q Spread -1.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
185Spread -20.52550.0%$2.8K2550¢-2450¢
186O/U 75.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
187Spread -14.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
1881H O/U 27.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
189Spread -0.52150.0%$62150¢-2050¢
190Spread -1.52050.0%$102050¢-1950¢
191O/U 51.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
192Spread -2.51850.0%$2061850¢-1750¢
193O/U 49.51850.0%$621850¢-1750¢
194Nevada O/U 23.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
195Spread -3.51550.0%$4751550¢-1450¢
196O/U 53.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
1971H O/U 30.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
198Spread -4.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
199O/U 55.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
200O/U 57.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
201Spread -5.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
202Nevada O/U 29.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
203Spread -6.51150.0%$7081150¢-1050¢
204Nevada O/U 26.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
205Nevada O/U 32.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
206O/U 67.51065.0%—1065¢-965¢
207O/U 69.51065.0%—1065¢-965¢
208Spread -8.5950.0%$5950¢-850¢
209Spread -7.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
210O/U 61.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
211O/U 63.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
212O/U 59.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
213Spread -10.5590.0%$28.1K590¢-490¢
214Spread -13.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
215O/U 65.5400.0%—400¢-300¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Nevada, scheduled for November 6 at 9:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 6, 2026

  • 10:56 PM
    KAkanardmd
    $39.75

    Bought 75 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:52 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $47.70

    Bought 90 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:48 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.31

    Bought 27 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:41 PM
    0X0x9674de4A6Cf9988c629CafaC79C6803984E11302-1764965311959
    $580.79

    Bought 1095.836982 Under for New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 39.5 at 0.53

  • 10:39 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.12

    Bought 4 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:37 PM
    MAMalosi
    $4.90

    Bought 5 New Mexico for Spread: Nevada (-8.5) at 0.98

  • 10:36 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $311.11

    Bought 587 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:31 PM
    A5a5us80t
    $65.08

    Bought 122.8 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:31 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.38

    Bought 46 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:28 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $30.21

    Bought 57 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $210.41

    Bought 397 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 10:26 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.54

    Bought 18 Nevada for Spread: New Mexico (-10.5) at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$84.21
成交量
$24,383.00
持仓数
New MexicoUnderOver
SI2
sinasinner
事件盈亏
+$81.26
成交量
$16,225.10
持仓数
Over
FO3
Forecastication2
事件盈亏
-$96.50
成交量
$16,185.99
持仓数
New MexicoNew Mexico
PR4
primm
事件盈亏
+$71.37
成交量
$13,875.39
持仓数
NevadaOver
LI5
lightotunnel35
事件盈亏
-$60.85
成交量
$12,171.61
持仓数
Nevada
JU6
justwins
事件盈亏
+$51.84
成交量
$11,420.87
持仓数
New Mexico
HO7
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$34.54
成交量
$10,820.08
持仓数
UnderNew MexicoOver+2
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$51.41
成交量
$10,726.97
持仓数
NevadaNew MexicoUnder+2

常见问题

当前市场对「New Mexico vs. Nevada」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,New Mexico vs. Nevada 以 7,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -0.5(7,800%),以及 Spread -1.5(7,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $105.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易