Louisville vs. North Carolina

$124K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
Louisville 62.5%
North Carolina 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以压倒性的 9,000% 获胜概率主导市场;2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,900% 位居第二,Louisville O/U 20.5 以 8,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $124K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%):Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,2Q O/U 7.5 保持着 8,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,900¢。
  • Louisville O/U 20.5 (8,450%):以 8,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Louisville O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,350%)、2Q O/U 10.5 (8,300%),以及 O/U 37.5 (8,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams to Score Points - Q19000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
22Q O/U 7.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
3Louisville O/U 20.58450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
4O/U 35.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
52Q O/U 10.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
6O/U 37.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
7O/U 39.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
8O/U 43.57950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
9O/U 41.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
104Q O/U 7.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
11O/U 49.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
12North Carolina O/U 23.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
13O/U 45.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
14O/U 47.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
153Q O/U 7.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
164Q O/U 10.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
172Q O/U 16.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
18Louisville vs. North Carolina6150.0%$37.4K6150¢-6050¢
19O/U 51.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
20Spread -1.55800.0%$105800¢-5700¢
211H O/U 27.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
22O/U 53.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
23Spread -2.55550.0%$3165550¢-5450¢
24O/U 55.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
253Q O/U 10.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
263Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
27Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
291H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
301H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
311H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Louisville O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Louisville O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Louisville O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Louisville O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39North Carolina O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40North Carolina O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41North Carolina O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42North Carolina O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Louisville 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Louisville 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Louisville 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46North Carolina 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47North Carolina 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48North Carolina 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Louisville 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Louisville 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Louisville 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52North Carolina 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53North Carolina 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54North Carolina 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1244Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1262H O/U 27.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
127Spread -3.54850.0%$31.1K4850¢-4750¢
128O/U 57.54800.0%$43.6K4800¢-4700¢
1292Q O/U 13.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
130Spread -4.54700.0%$4.6K4700¢-4600¢
131O/U 61.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
132O/U 59.54500.0%$4.2K4500¢-4400¢
1332Q O/U 19.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1341H O/U 30.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1352H O/U 30.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1364Q O/U 19.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
137O/U 63.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
138Spread -4.53900.0%$4.6K3900¢-3800¢
1394Q O/U 13.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1404Q O/U 16.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
141Spread -6.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
142Spread -5.53750.0%$893750¢-3650¢
143Spread -1.53550.0%$103550¢-3450¢
144Spread -7.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
145O/U 65.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
146Spread -2.53050.0%$3163050¢-2950¢
147Spread -3.53050.0%$31.1K3050¢-2950¢
148Spread -8.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
149Spread -8.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
150O/U 69.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1513Q O/U 16.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
152O/U 71.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
153Spread -5.52650.0%$892650¢-2550¢
154O/U 75.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
155Spread -10.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
156Spread -6.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
157Spread -10.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
158O/U 67.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
159Spread -16.52300.0%$1.4K2300¢-2200¢
160Spread -13.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
161Spread -13.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
1623Q O/U 19.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
163O/U 73.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
164Spread -14.51800.0%$6361800¢-1700¢
165Spread -7.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
166Spread -17.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
167Spread -20.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
168Spread -17.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
169Spread -14.5800.0%$636800¢-700¢
170Spread -16.5750.0%$1.4K750¢-650¢
1711Q Moneyline50.0%$16150¢50¢
1721Q O/U 10.55.0%$4625¢95¢
1731Q O/U 13.55.0%—5¢95¢
1741Q O/U 16.55.0%—5¢95¢
1751Q O/U 19.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:21 PM
    WAWASDqe
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921569 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    BBbb238957
    $6.15

    Bought 12.06 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    SUsuperaiapi
    $1.09

    Bought 2.137255 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    LIlightotunnel35
    $784.21

    Bought 1537.67 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:21 PM
    ——
    $2.48

    Bought 4.862746 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51

  • 10:08 PM
    LILimousin
    $1.29

    Bought 6.142858 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $9.84

    Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $9.80

    Bought 19.6 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5

  • 09:55 PM
    ——
    $2.94

    Bought 5.88 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5

  • 09:54 PM
    ——
    $2.95

    Bought 4.68254 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

  • 09:51 PM
    LILimousin
    $10.60

    Bought 50.476191 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21

  • 09:51 PM
    ——
    $9.84

    Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

KE1
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
-$416.08
成交量
$41,938.20
持仓数
OverLouisville
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
事件盈亏
+$197.86
成交量
$39,572.47
持仓数
Under
NI3
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$185.64
成交量
$19,318.00
持仓数
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina
JU4
justwins
事件盈亏
+$85.16
成交量
$17,104.31
持仓数
Louisville
KC5
Kch-Temp
事件盈亏
+$79.96
成交量
$15,989.17
持仓数
Louisville
IM6
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
-$51.69
成交量
$10,337.00
持仓数
North Carolina
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$76.89
成交量
$9,536.82
持仓数
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina
FL8
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
-$855.47
成交量
$7,777.00
持仓数
Louisville

常见问题

当前市场对「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以 9,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 2Q O/U 7.5(8,900%),以及 Louisville O/U 20.5(8,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $124K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易