
Louisville vs. North Carolina
核心摘要
根据「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以压倒性的 9,000% 获胜概率主导市场;2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,900% 位居第二,Louisville O/U 20.5 以 8,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $124K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%):Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,2Q O/U 7.5 保持着 8,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,900¢。
- Louisville O/U 20.5 (8,450%):以 8,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Louisville O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,350%)、2Q O/U 10.5 (8,300%),以及 O/U 37.5 (8,150%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 3 | Louisville O/U 20.5 | 8450.0% | — | 8450¢ | -8350¢ |
| 4 | O/U 35.5 | 8350.0% | — | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 5 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 6 | O/U 37.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 7 | O/U 39.5 | 8050.0% | — | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 8 | O/U 43.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 9 | O/U 41.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 10 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 11 | O/U 49.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 12 | North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 7550.0% | — | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 13 | O/U 45.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 14 | O/U 47.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 15 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 16 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 17 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 18 | Louisville vs. North Carolina | 6150.0% | $37.4K | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 19 | O/U 51.5 | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -1.5 | 5800.0% | $10 | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 21 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 5800.0% | — | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 22 | O/U 53.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 23 | Spread -2.5 | 5550.0% | $316 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | O/U 55.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 25 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 26 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 27 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Louisville O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Louisville O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Louisville O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Louisville O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | North Carolina O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | North Carolina O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | North Carolina O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Louisville 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Louisville 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Louisville 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | North Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | North Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | North Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Louisville 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Louisville 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Louisville 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | North Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | North Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | North Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Louisville vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 126 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 127 | Spread -3.5 | 4850.0% | $31.1K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 128 | O/U 57.5 | 4800.0% | $43.6K | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 129 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 130 | Spread -4.5 | 4700.0% | $4.6K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 131 | O/U 61.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 132 | O/U 59.5 | 4500.0% | $4.2K | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 133 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 134 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 135 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 136 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 137 | O/U 63.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 138 | Spread -4.5 | 3900.0% | $4.6K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 139 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 140 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 141 | Spread -6.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 142 | Spread -5.5 | 3750.0% | $89 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 143 | Spread -1.5 | 3550.0% | $10 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 144 | Spread -7.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 145 | O/U 65.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 146 | Spread -2.5 | 3050.0% | $316 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 147 | Spread -3.5 | 3050.0% | $31.1K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 148 | Spread -8.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 149 | Spread -8.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 150 | O/U 69.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 151 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 152 | O/U 71.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 153 | Spread -5.5 | 2650.0% | $89 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 154 | O/U 75.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 155 | Spread -10.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 156 | Spread -6.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 157 | Spread -10.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 158 | O/U 67.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 159 | Spread -16.5 | 2300.0% | $1.4K | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 160 | Spread -13.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 161 | Spread -13.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 162 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 163 | O/U 73.5 | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 164 | Spread -14.5 | 1800.0% | $636 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 165 | Spread -7.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 166 | Spread -17.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 167 | Spread -20.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 168 | Spread -17.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 169 | Spread -14.5 | 800.0% | $636 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 170 | Spread -16.5 | 750.0% | $1.4K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 171 | 1Q Moneyline | 50.0% | $161 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 172 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 5.0% | $462 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 173 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 174 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 175 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and North Carolina, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.
This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 10:21 PMWAWASDqe$2.00
Bought 3.921569 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMBBbb238957$6.15
Bought 12.06 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMSUsuperaiapi$1.09
Bought 2.137255 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PMLIlightotunnel35$784.21
Bought 1537.67 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:21 PM——$2.48
Bought 4.862746 Under for Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 at 0.51
- 10:08 PMLILimousin$1.29
Bought 6.142858 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21
- 10:02 PM——$9.84
Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
- 10:02 PM——$9.80
Bought 19.6 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5
- 09:55 PM——$2.94
Bought 5.88 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.5
- 09:54 PM——$2.95
Bought 4.68254 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
- 09:51 PMLILimousin$10.60
Bought 50.476191 Louisville for Spread: Louisville (-16.5) at 0.21
- 09:51 PM——$9.84
Bought 15.619048 Louisville for Louisville vs. North Carolina at 0.63
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Louisville vs. North Carolina」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以 9,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 2Q O/U 7.5(8,900%),以及 Louisville O/U 20.5(8,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $124K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
