Liberty vs. New Mexico State

$127K Vol
2026年11月8日
Active
概率趋势
Liberty 85.5%
New Mexico State 14.5%

核心摘要

根据「Liberty vs. New Mexico State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Liberty vs. New Mexico State 以压倒性的 8,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -0.5 以 8,550% 位居第二,O/U 35.5 以 8,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $127K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Liberty vs. New Mexico State (8,550%):Liberty vs. New Mexico State 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $3.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -0.5 (8,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -0.5 保持着 8,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,550¢。
  • O/U 35.5 (8,550%):以 8,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 35.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -1.5 (8,350%)、O/U 37.5 (8,350%),以及 Spread -2.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Liberty O/U 20.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Liberty vs. New Mexico State8550.0%$3.6K8550¢-8450¢
2Spread -0.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
3O/U 35.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
4Spread -1.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
5O/U 37.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
6Spread -2.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7Liberty O/U 20.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
8Spread -8.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
91H Moneyline7950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
10Spread -3.57800.0%$8707800¢-7700¢
11Spread -4.57550.0%$87550¢-7450¢
12Liberty O/U 23.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
13Spread -5.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
141Q Moneyline7450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
15Spread -6.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
16O/U 39.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
17Spread -7.56750.0%$56750¢-6650¢
18Liberty O/U 26.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
19Spread -9.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
20O/U 41.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
211H Spread -6.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
22Spread -10.55900.0%$185900¢-5800¢
23O/U 43.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
24Spread -12.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
25Spread -11.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
26O/U 45.55550.0%$4825550¢-5450¢
27Liberty O/U 29.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
28Spread -13.55350.0%$42.7K5350¢-5250¢
294Q Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
301H O/U 24.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
311H O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
32Spread -14.55050.0%$13.9K5050¢-4950¢
332H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
34Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
47Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
48New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
49New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
50New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
51Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
52Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
53Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
56New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
57Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
581H Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
592H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
631Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
641Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
651Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
661Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
671Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
682Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
733Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
743Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
753Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
763Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
773Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
794Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
804Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
814Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
824Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Liberty 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Liberty 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Liberty 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86New Mexico State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87New Mexico State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88New Mexico State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Liberty 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Liberty 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Liberty 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92New Mexico State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93New Mexico State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94New Mexico State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Liberty vs. New Mexico State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1422H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1431Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1451Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1461Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1471Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1482Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1492Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1502Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1512Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1533Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1543Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1553Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1563Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1573Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1583Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1594Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1604Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1614Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1624Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1634Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1642H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
165New Mexico State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
166Liberty O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1672Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1683Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1694Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
170Spread -14.54950.0%$13.9K4950¢-4850¢
171Spread -16.54950.0%$56.3K4950¢-4850¢
172Spread -17.54950.0%$7504950¢-4850¢
173Spread -20.54950.0%$1794950¢-4850¢
1741H O/U 33.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
175Spread -36.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1761H Spread -9.54950.0%$5664950¢-4850¢
1772Q Spread -4.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
178O/U 47.54850.0%$2.1K4850¢-4750¢
179Spread -15.54750.0%$5.0K4750¢-4650¢
180Spread -16.54550.0%$56.3K4550¢-4450¢
1811Q Spread -4.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
182O/U 49.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
183Liberty O/U 32.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
184Spread -17.54200.0%$7504200¢-4100¢
1851H Spread -10.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
186Spread -18.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
187Spread -19.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1881H Spread -11.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
189O/U 51.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
190Spread -20.53650.0%$1793650¢-3550¢
1911H O/U 27.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1921H Spread -13.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
193O/U 53.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
194Spread -21.53250.0%$1963250¢-3150¢
195Spread -22.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
196Spread -23.53000.0%$493000¢-2900¢
1971H O/U 30.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
198O/U 55.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
199Spread -24.52600.0%$2362600¢-2500¢
200O/U 57.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
201Spread -26.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
202New Mexico State O/U 23.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
203O/U 59.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
204New Mexico State O/U 35.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
205O/U 61.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
206Spread -29.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
207New Mexico State O/U 26.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
208Spread -30.51600.0%$181600¢-1500¢
209Spread -0.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
210Spread -1.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
211Spread -2.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
212O/U 63.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
213Spread -32.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
214New Mexico State O/U 29.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
215New Mexico State O/U 32.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
216Spread -3.51050.0%$8701050¢-950¢
217Spread -33.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
218Spread -4.5950.0%$8950¢-850¢
219O/U 65.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
220Spread -5.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
221Spread -6.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
222Spread -8.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
223O/U 67.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
224O/U 69.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
225O/U 75.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
226Spread -7.5560.0%$5560¢-460¢
227O/U 71.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
228O/U 73.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
229Spread -10.5415.0%$18415¢-315¢
230Spread -13.5345.0%$42.7K345¢-245¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and New Mexico State, scheduled for November 7 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game.

This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 7, 2026

  • 11:45 PM
    KIKissscb
    $300.00

    Bought 566.037736 New Mexico State for 1H Spread: Liberty (-9.5) at 0.53

  • 10:52 PM
    HUhunt111
    $7.00

    Bought 14 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    HAHaagiSports
    $18.36

    Bought 36 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.77

    Bought 9.352942 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    ——
    $28.38

    Bought 55.647059 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    ——
    $1.35

    Bought 2.647059 New Mexico State for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 10:51 PM
    FLFlipso007
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.5

  • 10:51 PM
    JUjustwins
    $4,658.22

    Bought 9506.57 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.49

  • 10:46 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.50

    Bought 10 New Mexico State for Liberty vs. New Mexico State at 0.15

  • 10:34 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.25

    Bought 15 New Mexico State for Liberty vs. New Mexico State at 0.15

  • 10:22 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Liberty vs. New Mexico State: O/U 47.5 at 0.53

  • 10:17 PM
    JCjcasino
    $150.00

    Bought 306.12 Liberty for Spread: Liberty (-14.5) at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
FeedTheBigBird
事件盈亏
-$59.04
成交量
$48,362.79
持仓数
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$324.18
成交量
$37,559.00
持仓数
New Mexico StateNew Mexico StateNew Mexico State+3
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$52.30
成交量
$22,458.27
持仓数
LibertyNew Mexico StateLiberty+3
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
事件盈亏
+$149.84
成交量
$20,996.75
持仓数
LibertyLiberty
HI5
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$55.23
成交量
$15,212.70
持仓数
LibertyLibertyLiberty
JU6
justwins
事件盈亏
+$56.89
成交量
$11,369.22
持仓数
Liberty
BA7
Bagwell306
事件盈亏
+$99.99
成交量
$9,999.00
持仓数
LibertyLiberty
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$16.84
成交量
$9,623.84
持仓数
LibertyUnderNew Mexico State+2

常见问题

当前市场对「Liberty vs. New Mexico State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Liberty vs. New Mexico State 以 8,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -0.5(8,550%),以及 O/U 35.5(8,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $127K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易