Kansas State vs. TCU

$103.4K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
TCU 81.5%
Kansas State 18.5%

核心摘要

根据「Kansas State vs. TCU」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -1.5 以压倒性的 9,800% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -2.5 以 9,550% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 9,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $103.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,800%):Spread -1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $442 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -2.5 (9,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -2.5 保持着 9,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,550¢。
  • Spread -3.5 (9,550%):以 9,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -5.5 (9,500%)、Spread -6.5 (9,400%),以及 Spread -4.5 (9,300%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.59800.0%$4429800¢-9700¢
2Spread -2.59550.0%—9550¢-9450¢
3Spread -3.59550.0%—9550¢-9450¢
4Spread -5.59500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
5Spread -6.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
6Spread -4.59300.0%—9300¢-9200¢
7Spread -7.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
8Spread -10.58400.0%$6.3K8400¢-8300¢
9Spread -13.58150.0%$41.9K8150¢-8050¢
10TCU O/U 23.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
11Spread -14.57400.0%$30.5K7400¢-7300¢
12Spread -16.57100.0%$2517100¢-7000¢
13Spread -8.57050.0%$3.6K7050¢-6950¢
143Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
15Spread -12.56750.0%$8666750¢-6650¢
164Q O/U 13.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
17Spread -17.56400.0%$3476400¢-6300¢
183Q O/U 13.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
19Spread -20.55300.0%$1.7K5300¢-5200¢
20TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
21Spread -20.55000.0%$1.7K5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -17.55000.0%$3475000¢-4900¢
23Spread -16.55000.0%$2515000¢-4900¢
24Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 57.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
26O/U 59.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27O/U 63.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 65.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 69.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Kansas State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Kansas State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Kansas State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38TCU O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39TCU O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40TCU O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41TCU O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Kansas State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Kansas State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Kansas State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45TCU 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46TCU 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47TCU 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66TCU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71TCU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77TCU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85TCU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86TCU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92TCU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96TCU Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97TCU Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100TCU Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101TCU Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102TCU Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Kansas State vs. TCU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Kansas State vs. TCU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1064Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
108TCU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
109TCU Total Receptions: O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
110Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
111Spread -8.54900.0%$3.6K4900¢-4800¢
112Spread -0.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1133Q O/U 10.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1144Q O/U 10.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
115O/U 35.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
116O/U 75.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1172H O/U 27.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
1184Q O/U 7.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
119Spread -3.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
120O/U 37.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1213Q O/U 16.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
122O/U 39.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1234Q O/U 16.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
124O/U 41.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
125O/U 53.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1264Q O/U 19.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
127O/U 51.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
128Kansas State O/U 23.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
1292H O/U 30.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
130O/U 43.51550.0%$561550¢-1450¢
1312H Moneyline1250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
1323Q O/U 19.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
133O/U 45.5950.0%$874950¢-850¢
134Kansas State O/U 20.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1353Q Moneyline850.0%—850¢-750¢
136O/U 47.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
137O/U 49.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
138O/U 55.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
139Spread -2.5370.0%—370¢-270¢
140Spread -7.5300.0%—300¢-200¢
141Spread -4.5300.0%—300¢-200¢
142Spread -1.5300.0%$442300¢-200¢
143Spread -6.5265.0%—265¢-165¢
144Kansas State vs. TCU250.0%$16.4K250¢-150¢
145Spread -13.5250.0%$41.9K250¢-150¢
146O/U 61.5245.0%—245¢-145¢
147Spread -14.5205.0%$30.5K205¢-105¢
148O/U 67.5165.0%—165¢-65¢
149Spread -10.5160.0%$6.3K160¢-60¢
150Spread -5.5145.0%—145¢-45¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Kansas State and TCU, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win the game.

This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:29 AM
    TRTR0GL0DIT
    $37.24

    Bought 45.414633 TCU for Kansas State vs. TCU at 0.82

  • 10:27 AM
    VEVenusian
    $6.48

    Bought 15.069768 TCU for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.43

  • 07:59 AM
    TETennysonfgb
    $22.00

    Bought 50 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-10.5) at 0.44

  • 07:59 AM
    DADanfgt
    $13.11

    Bought 23 TCU for Spread: TCU (-10.5) at 0.57

  • 07:59 AM
    RIRichardfgb
    $15.39

    Bought 27 TCU for Spread: TCU (-10.5) at 0.57

  • 04:32 AM
    GAGarmonbozia
    $3.78

    Bought 9 TCU for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.42

  • 04:32 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $7.14

    Bought 17 TCU for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.42

  • 12:47 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.51

    Bought 193.282116 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-13.5) at 0.52

  • 12:22 AM
    7777ebitda77
    $1.95

    Bought 3.305085 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.59

  • 12:21 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $575.75

    Bought 1010.08 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.57

  • 12:21 AM
    ——
    $4.52

    Bought 7.793104 Kansas State for Spread: TCU (-14.5) at 0.58

Nov 13, 2026

  • 11:56 PM
    VEVenusian
    $45.72

    Bought 147.483871 TCU for Spread: TCU (-20.5) at 0.31

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PU1
purplegatto
事件盈亏
+$97.68
成交量
$11,981.00
持仓数
TCUTCU
CI2
cigarettes
事件盈亏
-$39.47
成交量
$10,500.00
持仓数
TCU
HE3
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
-$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Kansas State
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
事件盈亏
+$31.67
成交量
$6,334.00
持仓数
Kansas State
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$364.41
成交量
$6,227.00
持仓数
TCUKansas State
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$66.18
成交量
$5,026.06
持仓数
Kansas StateKansas StateKansas State+1
FL7
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
-$75.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Kansas State
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$179.13
成交量
$3,842.08
持仓数
Kansas StateKansas StateUnder

常见问题

当前市场对「Kansas State vs. TCU」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 9,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(9,550%),以及 Spread -3.5(9,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $103.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易