James Madison vs. UConn

$132.1K Vol
2026年11月14日
Active
概率趋势
James Madison 64.5%
UConn 35.5%

核心摘要

根据「James Madison vs. UConn」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 以压倒性的 9,200% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 39.5 以 9,150% 位居第二,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $132.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 (9,200%):Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,200¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 39.5 保持着 9,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,150¢。
  • Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,700%)、O/U 37.5 (8,250%),以及 O/U 45.5 (8,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 41.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q19200.0%—9200¢-9100¢
2O/U 39.59150.0%$59150¢-9050¢
3Both Teams to Score Points - Q19000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4O/U 35.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
5O/U 37.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
6O/U 45.58150.0%$18150¢-8050¢
7O/U 41.58000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
8O/U 43.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
9UConn O/U 23.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
10James Madison O/U 20.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
11O/U 47.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
121H O/U 21.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
13O/U 51.56450.0%$586450¢-6350¢
14O/U 49.56400.0%$16400¢-6300¢
15James Madison O/U 23.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
16Spread -0.56000.0%$156000¢-5900¢
17O/U 53.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
18James Madison O/U 26.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
191H O/U 24.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
20Spread -1.55450.0%$4195450¢-5350¢
21O/U 55.55350.0%$38.9K5350¢-5250¢
221H O/U 27.55300.0%$1375300¢-5200¢
23Spread -2.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
24James Madison 1H O/U 15.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
25UConn O/U 29.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
26James Madison 1H O/U 11.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
274Q O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28UConn 1H O/U 12.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
292H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
352Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
372Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
393Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
403Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
413Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
423Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
433Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
454Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
464Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
474Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48UConn O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49James Madison 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50UConn 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51James Madison 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52James Madison 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53James Madison 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54UConn 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55UConn 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56UConn 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109UConn Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110UConn Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111UConn Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115UConn Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116UConn Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117UConn Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118James Madison vs. UConn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119James Madison vs. UConn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120James Madison vs. UConn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1212H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1244Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125UConn 1H O/U 14.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
126UConn O/U 35.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
127UConn O/U 32.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
128O/U 57.54550.0%$15.7K4550¢-4450¢
129Spread -3.54450.0%$634450¢-4350¢
130James Madison O/U 29.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
131James Madison vs. UConn4350.0%$24.5K4350¢-4250¢
132Spread -4.54250.0%$23.7K4250¢-4150¢
133O/U 59.54150.0%$24150¢-4050¢
134Spread -0.54100.0%$154100¢-4000¢
135Spread -1.54050.0%$4194050¢-3950¢
136Spread -5.53950.0%$15.4K3950¢-3850¢
1371H O/U 33.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
138Spread -2.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
139O/U 61.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
140James Madison O/U 32.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
141Spread -6.53650.0%$63650¢-3550¢
1421H O/U 30.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
143Spread -8.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
144Spread -7.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
145O/U 63.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
146O/U 65.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
147Spread -8.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
148Spread -20.52950.0%$4152950¢-2850¢
149O/U 67.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
150Spread -3.52850.0%$632850¢-2750¢
1511H Moneyline2750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
152Spread -4.52550.0%$23.7K2550¢-2450¢
153Spread -5.52450.0%$15.4K2450¢-2350¢
154O/U 71.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
155Spread -10.52350.0%$292350¢-2250¢
156O/U 73.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
157Spread -6.52250.0%$62250¢-2150¢
158Spread -13.51800.0%$9811800¢-1700¢
159O/U 69.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
160Spread -7.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
161Spread -14.51450.0%$151450¢-1350¢
162Spread -16.51300.0%$1691300¢-1200¢
163Spread -10.51200.0%$291200¢-1100¢
164Spread -17.51100.0%$1.0K1100¢-1000¢
165Spread -13.51000.0%$9811000¢-900¢
1661Q Moneyline1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
167Spread -14.5950.0%$15950¢-850¢
168O/U 75.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
169Spread -16.5650.0%$169650¢-550¢
170Spread -17.5550.0%$1.0K550¢-450¢
171Spread -20.5350.0%$415350¢-250¢
1721Q O/U 16.55.0%—5¢95¢
1731Q O/U 19.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and UConn, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.

This market will resolve to "UConn" if UConn win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 09:16 AM
    SHShirleyF
    $33.47

    Bought 68.3 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.49

  • 09:16 AM
    CACamillaDF
    $19.76

    Bought 38 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 09:16 AM
    HAHaledsdf
    $16.12

    Bought 31 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 08:47 AM
    MAMarianax
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Over for James Madison vs. UConn: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.58

  • 04:56 AM
    MRMr.Kirk
    $714.00

    Bought 1400 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-4.5) at 0.51

  • 04:56 AM
    FIFiestaIncommingPapa
    $2.85

    Bought 5.69 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 01:13 AM
    LOlovefield
    $80.00

    Bought 1000 UConn for Spread: UConn (-17.5) at 0.08

  • 01:13 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 25 UConn for Spread: UConn (-17.5) at 0.08

  • 12:47 AM
    GOGolftango
    $50.00

    Bought 138.888889 UConn for James Madison vs. UConn at 0.36

  • 12:46 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.00

    Bought 192.307693 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52

Nov 13, 2026

  • 11:37 PM
    EREryhazHunter13
    $1.10

    Bought 2.115385 Under for James Madison vs. UConn: O/U 57.5 at 0.52

  • 09:28 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $5.49

    Bought 9.98 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-6.5) at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$279.74
成交量
$31,284.00
持仓数
UnderJames MadisonJames Madison+2
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$149.26
成交量
$22,858.73
持仓数
OverUConnUConn+3
383
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$7.33
成交量
$4,716.71
持仓数
James MadisonUConnJames Madison+4
HE4
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
-$49.99
成交量
$3,999.98
持仓数
Over
PL5
pltrkr111
事件盈亏
-$35.99
成交量
$3,706.33
持仓数
OverUConn
NI6
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$14.10
成交量
$2,819.00
持仓数
James Madison
MA7
MadridTime
事件盈亏
+$11.04
成交量
$2,790.98
持仓数
UnderJames MadisonUConn+1
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$23.86
成交量
$2,552.78
持仓数
OverUConnUConn

常见问题

当前市场对「James Madison vs. UConn」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 以 9,200% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,150%),以及 Both Teams to Score Points - Q1(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $132.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易