
James Madison vs. UConn
核心摘要
根据「James Madison vs. UConn」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 以压倒性的 9,200% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 39.5 以 9,150% 位居第二,Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $132.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 (9,200%):Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,200¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 39.5 (9,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 39.5 保持着 9,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,150¢。
- Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,700%)、O/U 37.5 (8,250%),以及 O/U 45.5 (8,150%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 41.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 9200.0% | — | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 2 | O/U 39.5 | 9150.0% | $5 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | O/U 35.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 5 | O/U 37.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 6 | O/U 45.5 | 8150.0% | $1 | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 7 | O/U 41.5 | 8000.0% | — | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 8 | O/U 43.5 | 7650.0% | — | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 9 | UConn O/U 23.5 | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 10 | James Madison O/U 20.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 11 | O/U 47.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 12 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 13 | O/U 51.5 | 6450.0% | $58 | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 14 | O/U 49.5 | 6400.0% | $1 | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 15 | James Madison O/U 23.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 16 | Spread -0.5 | 6000.0% | $15 | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 17 | O/U 53.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 18 | James Madison O/U 26.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 19 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 20 | Spread -1.5 | 5450.0% | $419 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 21 | O/U 55.5 | 5350.0% | $38.9K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 22 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 5300.0% | $137 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 23 | Spread -2.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 24 | James Madison 1H O/U 15.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 25 | UConn O/U 29.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 26 | James Madison 1H O/U 11.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 27 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 28 | UConn 1H O/U 12.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 29 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | UConn O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | James Madison 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | UConn 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | James Madison 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | James Madison 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | James Madison 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | UConn 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | UConn 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | UConn 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | UConn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | UConn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | UConn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | UConn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | UConn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | UConn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | UConn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | UConn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | UConn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | UConn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | UConn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | UConn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | James Madison vs. UConn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | UConn 1H O/U 14.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 126 | UConn O/U 35.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 127 | UConn O/U 32.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 128 | O/U 57.5 | 4550.0% | $15.7K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 129 | Spread -3.5 | 4450.0% | $63 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 130 | James Madison O/U 29.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 131 | James Madison vs. UConn | 4350.0% | $24.5K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 132 | Spread -4.5 | 4250.0% | $23.7K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 133 | O/U 59.5 | 4150.0% | $2 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 134 | Spread -0.5 | 4100.0% | $15 | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 135 | Spread -1.5 | 4050.0% | $419 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 136 | Spread -5.5 | 3950.0% | $15.4K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 137 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 138 | Spread -2.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 139 | O/U 61.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 140 | James Madison O/U 32.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 141 | Spread -6.5 | 3650.0% | $6 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 142 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 143 | Spread -8.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 144 | Spread -7.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 145 | O/U 63.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 146 | O/U 65.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 147 | Spread -8.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 148 | Spread -20.5 | 2950.0% | $415 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 149 | O/U 67.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 150 | Spread -3.5 | 2850.0% | $63 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 151 | 1H Moneyline | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 152 | Spread -4.5 | 2550.0% | $23.7K | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 153 | Spread -5.5 | 2450.0% | $15.4K | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 154 | O/U 71.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 155 | Spread -10.5 | 2350.0% | $29 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 156 | O/U 73.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 157 | Spread -6.5 | 2250.0% | $6 | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 158 | Spread -13.5 | 1800.0% | $981 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 159 | O/U 69.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 160 | Spread -7.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 161 | Spread -14.5 | 1450.0% | $15 | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 162 | Spread -16.5 | 1300.0% | $169 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 163 | Spread -10.5 | 1200.0% | $29 | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 164 | Spread -17.5 | 1100.0% | $1.0K | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 165 | Spread -13.5 | 1000.0% | $981 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 166 | 1Q Moneyline | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 167 | Spread -14.5 | 950.0% | $15 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 168 | O/U 75.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 169 | Spread -16.5 | 650.0% | $169 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 170 | Spread -17.5 | 550.0% | $1.0K | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 171 | Spread -20.5 | 350.0% | $415 | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 172 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 173 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and UConn, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.
This market will resolve to "UConn" if UConn win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 09:16 AMSHShirleyF$33.47
Bought 68.3 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.49
- 09:16 AMCACamillaDF$19.76
Bought 38 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52
- 09:16 AMHAHaledsdf$16.12
Bought 31 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52
- 08:47 AMMAMarianax$1.00
Bought 1.724138 Over for James Madison vs. UConn: 1H O/U 27.5 at 0.58
- 04:56 AMMRMr.Kirk$714.00
Bought 1400 James Madison for Spread: James Madison (-4.5) at 0.51
- 04:56 AMFIFiestaIncommingPapa$2.85
Bought 5.69 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-4.5) at 0.5
- 01:13 AMLOlovefield$80.00
Bought 1000 UConn for Spread: UConn (-17.5) at 0.08
- 01:13 AM——$2.00
Bought 25 UConn for Spread: UConn (-17.5) at 0.08
- 12:47 AMGOGolftango$50.00
Bought 138.888889 UConn for James Madison vs. UConn at 0.36
- 12:46 AMGOGolftango$100.00
Bought 192.307693 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-5.5) at 0.52
Nov 13, 2026
- 11:37 PMEREryhazHunter13$1.10
Bought 2.115385 Under for James Madison vs. UConn: O/U 57.5 at 0.52
- 09:28 PMSMsmallniprick$5.49
Bought 9.98 UConn for Spread: James Madison (-6.5) at 0.55
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「James Madison vs. UConn」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 以 9,200% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,150%),以及 Both Teams to Score Points - Q1(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $132.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
