
Illinois vs. UCLA
核心摘要
根据「Illinois vs. UCLA」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 8,100% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 7,650% 位居第二,O/U 37.5 以 7,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $106.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 35.5 (8,100%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -1.5 (7,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 7,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,650¢。
- O/U 37.5 (7,650%):以 7,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 37.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -2.5 (7,450%)、O/U 39.5 (7,200%),以及 UCLA O/U 23.5 (7,100%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 4Q O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 35.5 | 8100.0% | — | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 2 | Spread -1.5 | 7650.0% | — | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 3 | O/U 37.5 | 7650.0% | — | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 4 | Spread -2.5 | 7450.0% | $459 | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 5 | O/U 39.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 6 | UCLA O/U 23.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 7 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 6950.0% | — | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 8 | 2Q O/U 7.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 9 | Spread -3.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 10 | O/U 41.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 11 | Spread -4.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 12 | Spread -5.5 | 6500.0% | $10 | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 13 | Spread -6.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 14 | UCLA O/U 26.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 15 | O/U 43.5 | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 16 | 2Q O/U 10.5 | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 17 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 18 | Spread -7.5 | 5750.0% | $1.1K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 19 | O/U 45.5 | 5750.0% | $2 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 20 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 21 | Spread -8.5 | 5550.0% | $16.3K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 22 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 23 | 2Q O/U 13.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 24 | Spread -0.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 25 | Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 26 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 27 | O/U 47.5 | 5150.0% | $263 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 28 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 29 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 30 | Illinois O/U 32.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 31 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 32 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 33 | 1H O/U 33.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 34 | Illinois O/U 29.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 35 | Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 36 | Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 37 | Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 38 | Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 39 | Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 43 | UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 44 | Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 45 | Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 46 | Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 47 | UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 48 | UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 49 | UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 50 | Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 51 | Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 52 | Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 53 | UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 54 | UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 55 | UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 56 | Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 57 | Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 58 | UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 59 | Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 60 | UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 61 | Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 62 | Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 63 | UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 64 | UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 65 | UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 66 | Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 67 | Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 68 | Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 69 | UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 70 | UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 71 | Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 72 | UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 73 | Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 74 | Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 75 | UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 76 | UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 77 | UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 78 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | UCLA O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Illinois 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Illinois 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | UCLA 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | UCLA 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | UCLA 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Illinois 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Illinois 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Illinois 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | UCLA 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | UCLA 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | UCLA 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Illinois vs. UCLA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Spread -20.5 | 4950.0% | $154 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 117 | Spread -17.5 | 4950.0% | $1.3K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 118 | Spread -16.5 | 4950.0% | $756 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 119 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | Spread -10.5 | 4950.0% | $68.5K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 122 | Game Goes to Overtime | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 123 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 124 | O/U 49.5 | 4550.0% | $777 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 125 | Spread -13.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 126 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 127 | Illinois O/U 20.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 128 | O/U 51.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 129 | 2Q O/U 16.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 130 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 131 | Spread -14.5 | 3900.0% | $4.8K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 132 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 133 | UCLA O/U 32.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 134 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 135 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 136 | Spread -16.5 | 3550.0% | $756 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 137 | O/U 53.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 138 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 139 | Spread -17.5 | 3200.0% | $1.3K | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 140 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 141 | Illinois O/U 23.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 142 | 1Q Moneyline | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 143 | 1H O/U 30.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 144 | Illinois 1H O/U 13.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 145 | O/U 55.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 146 | 3Q O/U 19.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 147 | O/U 57.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 148 | UCLA O/U 35.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 149 | Spread -20.5 | 2550.0% | $154 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 150 | 1H Moneyline | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 151 | 2Q O/U 19.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 152 | Illinois O/U 26.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 153 | Illinois vs. UCLA | 2150.0% | $12.6K | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 154 | O/U 59.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 155 | Spread -1.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 156 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 157 | Spread -2.5 | 1950.0% | $459 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 158 | O/U 61.5 | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 159 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 160 | 1Q O/U 19.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 161 | Spread -3.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 162 | O/U 63.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 163 | Spread -4.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 164 | O/U 65.5 | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 165 | O/U 73.5 | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 166 | Spread -5.5 | 1350.0% | $10 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 167 | O/U 75.5 | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 168 | Spread -6.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 169 | O/U 67.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 170 | Spread -7.5 | 850.0% | $1.1K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 171 | Spread -8.5 | 750.0% | $16.3K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 172 | O/U 69.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 173 | O/U 71.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 174 | Spread -10.5 | 555.0% | $68.5K | 555¢ | -455¢ |
| 175 | Spread -13.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 176 | Spread -14.5 | 410.0% | $4.8K | 410¢ | -310¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and UCLA, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game.
This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 13, 2026
- 10:16 AMKOkoxma$1.29
Bought 1.65 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78
- 10:10 AMRErev28$30.00
Bought 38.461536 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78
- 10:04 AMKOkoxma$0.98
Bought 1.25 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78
- 07:56 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.28205 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78
- 07:32 AMROroberpkr$2.40
Bought 5 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.48
- 07:32 AMMOmooseborzoi$76.80
Bought 160 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.48
- 07:30 AMMOmooseborzoi$3.30
Bought 6 Under for Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 49.5 at 0.55
- 06:15 AMPRprized$12.00
Bought 22.64151 Illinois for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.53
- 06:09 AM0X0x7Bcd607c9C4f2650A11789F2bf28830D7C205D15-1775383776879$2.60
Sold 5 Illinois for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.52
- 05:33 AM——$2.85
Bought 3.75 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-2.5) at 0.76
- 05:33 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.315787 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-2.5) at 0.76
- 05:33 AMNInigiri99$336.75
Bought 449 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-2.5) at 0.75
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Illinois vs. UCLA」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 8,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(7,650%),以及 O/U 37.5(7,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $106.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
