Illinois vs. UCLA

$106.4K Vol
2026年11月14日
Active
概率趋势
UCLA 77.5%
Illinois 22.5%

核心摘要

根据「Illinois vs. UCLA」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 8,100% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 7,650% 位居第二,O/U 37.5 以 7,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $106.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (8,100%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (7,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 7,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,650¢。
  • O/U 37.5 (7,650%):以 7,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 37.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -2.5 (7,450%)、O/U 39.5 (7,200%),以及 UCLA O/U 23.5 (7,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 4Q O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
2Spread -1.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
3O/U 37.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
4Spread -2.57450.0%$4597450¢-7350¢
5O/U 39.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
6UCLA O/U 23.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
74Q O/U 7.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
82Q O/U 7.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
9Spread -3.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
10O/U 41.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
11Spread -4.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
12Spread -5.56500.0%$106500¢-6400¢
13Spread -6.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
14UCLA O/U 26.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
15O/U 43.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
162Q O/U 10.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
174Q O/U 10.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
18Spread -7.55750.0%$1.1K5750¢-5650¢
19O/U 45.55750.0%$25750¢-5650¢
201Q O/U 7.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
21Spread -8.55550.0%$16.3K5550¢-5450¢
223Q O/U 7.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
232Q O/U 13.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
24Spread -0.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
25Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
262H O/U 24.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
27O/U 47.55150.0%$2635150¢-5050¢
282H O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
292H O/U 30.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
30Illinois O/U 32.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
311H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
321H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
331H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
34Illinois O/U 29.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
37Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
47UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
48UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
49UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
50Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
51Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
52Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
53UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
56Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
57Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
58UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
59Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
60UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
61Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
62Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
63UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
64UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
65UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
66Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
67Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
68Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
69UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
70UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
71Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
72UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
73Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
74Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
75UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
76UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
77UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
782H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79UCLA O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Illinois 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Illinois 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82UCLA 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83UCLA 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84UCLA 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Illinois 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Illinois 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Illinois 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88UCLA 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89UCLA 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90UCLA 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Illinois vs. UCLA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Illinois vs. UCLA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1122H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1143Q Moneyline5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
1154Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Spread -20.54950.0%$1544950¢-4850¢
117Spread -17.54950.0%$1.3K4950¢-4850¢
118Spread -16.54950.0%$7564950¢-4850¢
119Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
120Spread -10.54950.0%$68.5K4950¢-4850¢
1212H O/U 27.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
122Game Goes to Overtime4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1234Q O/U 13.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
124O/U 49.54550.0%$7774550¢-4450¢
125Spread -13.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1261Q O/U 10.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
127Illinois O/U 20.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
128O/U 51.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1292Q O/U 16.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1303Q O/U 10.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
131Spread -14.53900.0%$4.8K3900¢-3800¢
1321Q O/U 13.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
133UCLA O/U 32.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
1341H O/U 27.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1353Q O/U 13.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
136Spread -16.53550.0%$7563550¢-3450¢
137O/U 53.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
1384Q O/U 16.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
139Spread -17.53200.0%$1.3K3200¢-3100¢
1404Q O/U 19.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
141Illinois O/U 23.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1421Q Moneyline3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1431H O/U 30.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
144Illinois 1H O/U 13.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
145O/U 55.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1463Q O/U 19.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
147O/U 57.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
148UCLA O/U 35.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
149Spread -20.52550.0%$1542550¢-2450¢
1501H Moneyline2450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
1512Q O/U 19.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
152Illinois O/U 26.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
153Illinois vs. UCLA2150.0%$12.6K2150¢-2050¢
154O/U 59.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
155Spread -1.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1563Q O/U 16.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
157Spread -2.51950.0%$4591950¢-1850¢
158O/U 61.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
1591Q O/U 16.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
1601Q O/U 19.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
161Spread -3.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
162O/U 63.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
163Spread -4.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
164O/U 65.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
165O/U 73.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
166Spread -5.51350.0%$101350¢-1250¢
167O/U 75.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
168Spread -6.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
169O/U 67.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
170Spread -7.5850.0%$1.1K850¢-750¢
171Spread -8.5750.0%$16.3K750¢-650¢
172O/U 69.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
173O/U 71.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
174Spread -10.5555.0%$68.5K555¢-455¢
175Spread -13.5500.0%—500¢-400¢
176Spread -14.5410.0%$4.8K410¢-310¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and UCLA, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game.

This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 13, 2026

  • 10:16 AM
    KOkoxma
    $1.29

    Bought 1.65 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78

  • 10:10 AM
    RErev28
    $30.00

    Bought 38.461536 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78

  • 10:04 AM
    KOkoxma
    $0.98

    Bought 1.25 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78

  • 07:56 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 UCLA for Illinois vs. UCLA at 0.78

  • 07:32 AM
    ROroberpkr
    $2.40

    Bought 5 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.48

  • 07:32 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $76.80

    Bought 160 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.48

  • 07:30 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $3.30

    Bought 6 Under for Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 49.5 at 0.55

  • 06:15 AM
    PRprized
    $12.00

    Bought 22.64151 Illinois for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 06:09 AM
    0X0x7Bcd607c9C4f2650A11789F2bf28830D7C205D15-1775383776879
    $2.60

    Sold 5 Illinois for Spread: UCLA (-10.5) at 0.52

  • 05:33 AM
    ——
    $2.85

    Bought 3.75 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-2.5) at 0.76

  • 05:33 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.315787 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-2.5) at 0.76

  • 05:33 AM
    NInigiri99
    $336.75

    Bought 449 UCLA for Spread: UCLA (-2.5) at 0.75

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BA1
bands1
事件盈亏
+$151.10
成交量
$50,000.00
持仓数
Illinois
PW2
Pwaddler
事件盈亏
-$149.35
成交量
$29,876.79
持仓数
UCLA
FE3
FeedTheBigBird
事件盈亏
-$104.15
成交量
$23,664.15
持仓数
UCLA
384
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$44.14
成交量
$5,224.27
持仓数
IllinoisIllinoisIllinois+3
AT5
attempt-most
事件盈亏
+$5.30
成交量
$3,024.86
持仓数
IllinoisIllinois
VE6
Venusian
事件盈亏
-$26.81
成交量
$2,419.04
持仓数
UCLAUCLAUCLA
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$19.75
成交量
$1,619.00
持仓数
IllinoisUCLAUCLA+1
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$20.53
成交量
$1,467.33
持仓数
UCLAIllinois

常见问题

当前市场对「Illinois vs. UCLA」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 8,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(7,650%),以及 O/U 37.5(7,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $106.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易