Fresno State vs. Texas State

$185.7K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
Texas State 76.5%
Fresno State 23.5%

核心摘要

根据「Fresno State vs. Texas State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 9,400% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 39.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,O/U 41.5 以 8,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $185.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (9,400%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,400¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 39.5 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
  • O/U 41.5 (8,800%):以 8,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 41.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 43.5 (8,600%)、Texas State O/U 23.5 (8,600%),以及 O/U 45.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 47.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
2O/U 39.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3O/U 41.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
4O/U 43.58600.0%—8600¢-8500¢
5Texas State O/U 23.58600.0%—8600¢-8500¢
6O/U 45.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7O/U 47.57950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
8Texas State O/U 26.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
9O/U 49.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
10Spread -1.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
11O/U 37.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
12Spread -2.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
133Q O/U 7.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
14Texas State O/U 29.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
15O/U 51.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
163Q O/U 10.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
171Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
18Spread -3.56850.0%$16850¢-6750¢
19O/U 53.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
20Spread -4.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
21Spread -5.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
22O/U 55.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
23Spread -6.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
24Texas State O/U 32.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
251Q O/U 10.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
261H O/U 27.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
27O/U 57.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
28Spread -7.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
291H O/U 24.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
30Spread -8.55550.0%$1255550¢-5450¢
311H O/U 21.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
321Q O/U 13.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
33Fresno State O/U 23.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
34Spread -9.55350.0%$127.2K5350¢-5250¢
351H O/U 30.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
363Q O/U 13.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
37O/U 59.55150.0%$53.1K5150¢-5050¢
38Fresno State O/U 20.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
39Spread -0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
40Spread -0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
41Fresno State 1H O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
42Fresno State 1H O/U 15.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
43Texas State 1H O/U 12.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
44Texas State 2H O/U 16.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
452H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
472H O/U 27.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
482H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
492H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
50Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
51Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
52Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
53Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
56Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
57Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
58Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
59Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
60Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
61Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
62Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
63Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
64Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
65Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
66Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
67Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
68Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
69Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
70Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
71Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
72Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
73Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
74Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
75Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
76Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
77Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
78Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
79Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
80Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
81Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
82Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
83Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
84Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
85Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
86Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
87Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
88Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
89Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
90Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
91Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
922Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
932Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
942Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
952Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
962Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
974Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
984Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
994Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1004Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1014Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Fresno State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Texas State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Texas State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Fresno State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Fresno State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Fresno State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Texas State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Texas State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Fresno State vs. Texas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
136Both Teams to Score Points - Q14950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
137Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138Spread -20.54900.0%$5894900¢-4800¢
139Spread -17.54900.0%$664900¢-4800¢
140Spread -8.54900.0%$1254900¢-4800¢
141Texas State O/U 35.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
142Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q44900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
143Spread -10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1441H O/U 33.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
145O/U 61.54550.0%$2.3K4550¢-4450¢
146Spread -13.54300.0%$9034300¢-4200¢
147O/U 63.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
148Spread -14.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
149O/U 65.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
150Spread -16.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1511Q O/U 16.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
152O/U 67.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
153Spread -17.53200.0%$663200¢-3100¢
1541Q Moneyline3200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
1553Q O/U 16.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1563Q O/U 19.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
157Fresno State O/U 29.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
158Spread -20.52700.0%$5892700¢-2600¢
159O/U 69.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
1601H Moneyline2700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
161Fresno State O/U 32.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
162Fresno State O/U 26.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
163Fresno State vs. Texas State2350.0%$1.5K2350¢-2250¢
164O/U 71.52350.0%$262350¢-2250¢
1651Q O/U 19.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
166Spread -1.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
167Spread -2.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
168O/U 73.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
169Spread -3.51650.0%$11650¢-1550¢
170Spread -4.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
171Spread -5.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
172O/U 75.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
173Spread -6.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
174Spread -7.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
175Spread -10.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
176Spread -13.5540.0%$903540¢-440¢
177Spread -14.5350.0%—350¢-250¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and Texas State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 04:05 AM
    CLclownfishbets
    $32.64

    Bought 68 Fresno State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 03:51 AM
    0X0x4D5BbBEe74D185bE8fA1cD955081884F9b36aCDC-1768296371678
    $5.30

    Bought 10 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.53

  • 03:51 AM
    PWPwaddler
    $814.42

    Bought 1566.2 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.52

Nov 13, 2026

  • 09:28 PM
    SMsmallniprick
    $6.25

    Bought 12.76 Fresno State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.49

  • 07:51 PM
    0X0x44Aa5F441221043c351aFC029c8CA90032D9EB45-1776520943631
    $4.99

    Bought 20.791667 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

  • 05:06 PM
    FIFiestaIncommingPapa
    $4.72

    Bought 19.66 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

  • 05:06 PM
    WEWearyWanderer
    $781.55

    Bought 1015 Texas State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.77

  • 01:33 PM
    ——
    $3.85

    Bought 5 Texas State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.77

  • 11:22 AM
    PAPassssssssskai
    $500.00

    Bought 980.4 Under for Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 at 0.51

  • 06:05 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.04

    Bought 27 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 06:04 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.88

    Bought 12 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

  • 03:40 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.64

    Bought 11 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Texas State at 0.24

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

JU1
justwins
事件盈亏
+$81.89
成交量
$109,999.93
持仓数
Fresno State
KE2
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
+$207.13
成交量
$41,418.02
持仓数
Texas State
PW3
Pwaddler
事件盈亏
+$73.38
成交量
$29,485.88
持仓数
Texas State
B44
0xb4F9…0186
事件盈亏
+$140.39
成交量
$28,071.81
持仓数
Texas State
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$0.23
成交量
$18,766.69
持仓数
Texas State
HI6
hi774c
事件盈亏
-$26.54
成交量
$7,274.97
持仓数
Fresno StateFresno State
387
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$2.59
成交量
$1,275.72
持仓数
Texas StateOver
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$7.48
成交量
$1,140.52
持仓数
Fresno StateOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Fresno State vs. Texas State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 9,400% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,000%),以及 O/U 41.5(8,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $185.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易