Florida vs. Kentucky

$177.8K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
Kentucky 59.5%
Florida 40.5%

核心摘要

根据「Florida vs. Kentucky」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -1.5 以压倒性的 7,100% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -2.5 以 6,550% 位居第二,4Q O/U 7.5 以 6,200% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $177.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (7,100%):Spread -1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -2.5 (6,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -2.5 保持着 6,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,550¢。
  • 4Q O/U 7.5 (6,200%):以 6,200% 的概率位列第三,市场对 4Q O/U 7.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (6,150%)、Spread -4.5 (5,750%),以及 Spread -5.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
2Spread -2.56550.0%$11.8K6550¢-6450¢
34Q O/U 7.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
4Spread -3.56150.0%$12.6K6150¢-6050¢
5Spread -4.55750.0%$4.6K5750¢-5650¢
6Spread -5.55100.0%$1.7K5100¢-5000¢
7Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
83Q O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 65.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14O/U 69.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
171H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
181H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
191H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
222H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
233Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
244Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
254Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Florida O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Florida O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Florida O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Kentucky O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Kentucky O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Kentucky O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Kentucky O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Florida 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Florida 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Kentucky 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Kentucky 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Florida 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Florida 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Florida 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Kentucky 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Kentucky 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Kentucky 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Florida vs. Kentucky: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Florida vs. Kentucky: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
982H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
991H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1002Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1013Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1024Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103O/U 35.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1042Q O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
105Florida O/U 20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
106Both Teams to Score a Touchdown4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
107Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
108Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
109Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
110Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
111Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
112Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
113Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
114Spread -6.54750.0%$6.7K4750¢-4650¢
1154Q O/U 13.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
116Kentucky 1H O/U 16.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
117Spread -7.54300.0%$3.5K4300¢-4200¢
118Kentucky O/U 23.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1194Q O/U 10.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
120Florida 1H O/U 15.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
121Spread -8.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1223Q O/U 10.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
123O/U 39.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
124O/U 37.53600.0%$603600¢-3500¢
1253Q O/U 13.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1262H O/U 27.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
127Spread -10.53350.0%$2.6K3350¢-3250¢
128O/U 41.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
1292Q O/U 13.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
1302H O/U 30.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1312Q O/U 16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
132O/U 45.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
133O/U 47.52750.0%$3162750¢-2650¢
134Florida vs. Kentucky2650.0%$125.6K2650¢-2550¢
135Spread -13.52450.0%$2.1K2450¢-2350¢
136O/U 57.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
137O/U 59.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
138O/U 63.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
139Spread -8.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
140Spread -1.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
141Spread -14.52250.0%$7652250¢-2150¢
1423Q O/U 16.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
143O/U 43.51950.0%$401950¢-1850¢
144Spread -2.51850.0%$11.8K1850¢-1750¢
145Florida O/U 23.51850.0%$7831850¢-1750¢
146Spread -16.51800.0%$1.7K1800¢-1700¢
147Spread -17.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
1482Q O/U 10.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
149Spread -3.51500.0%$12.6K1500¢-1400¢
150Spread -4.51350.0%$4.6K1350¢-1250¢
151Spread -5.51050.0%$1.7K1050¢-950¢
152Spread -20.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
153Spread -6.5900.0%$6.7K900¢-800¢
154O/U 49.5900.0%$115900¢-800¢
155Spread -7.5800.0%$3.5K800¢-700¢
156O/U 51.5750.0%$68750¢-650¢
1571H O/U 27.5750.0%$1.1K750¢-650¢
158O/U 53.5500.0%$1.1K500¢-400¢
159Spread -10.5425.0%$2.6K425¢-325¢
160Spread -13.5400.0%$2.1K400¢-300¢
161O/U 55.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
162O/U 61.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
1631H O/U 30.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
1642Q O/U 19.5250.0%—250¢-150¢
165Spread -14.5240.0%$765240¢-140¢
166O/U 67.5205.0%—205¢-105¢
167Spread -16.5180.0%$1.7K180¢-80¢
168Spread -17.5150.0%—150¢-50¢
169O/U 73.545.0%$10345¢55¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Kentucky, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $215.10

    Bought 478 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $347.40

    Bought 772 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:13 PM
    NInigiri99
    $19.35

    Bought 43 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:10 PM
    GRGroky2000
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.6

  • 10:08 PM
    NInigiri99
    $73.35

    Bought 163 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:07 PM
    KEKeF666
    $60.00

    Bought 100 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.6

  • 10:05 PM
    MAMartinDondukov
    $72.76

    Sold 123.33 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.59

  • 10:04 PM
    OLOleksandr9
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) at 0.53

  • 10:04 PM
    OLOleksandr9
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666667 Kentucky for Florida vs. Kentucky at 0.6

  • 10:03 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.90

    Bought 22 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $96.30

    Bought 214 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $187.20

    Bought 416 Kentucky for Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) at 0.45

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
+$54.35
成交量
$38,672.69
持仓数
Kentucky
362
3648393489047
事件盈亏
+$110.61
成交量
$36,815.26
持仓数
Kentucky
NI3
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$3,248.36
成交量
$21,528.00
持仓数
FloridaKentuckyFlorida+2
PR4
primm
事件盈亏
-$3,555.69
成交量
$19,104.74
持仓数
FloridaFloridaFlorida+2
RN5
RN1
事件盈亏
+$671.39
成交量
$16,896.04
持仓数
KentuckyFloridaKentucky+4
B46
0xb4F9…0186
事件盈亏
-$22.46
成交量
$12,480.58
持仓数
Florida
FL7
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
-$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Florida
KE8
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
-$842.10
成交量
$8,455.97
持仓数
KentuckyFloridaFlorida

常见问题

当前市场对「Florida vs. Kentucky」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 7,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(6,550%),以及 4Q O/U 7.5(6,200%)。该市场总成交量已达 $177.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易