Duke vs. Miami (FL)

$249K Vol
2026年11月14日
Active
概率趋势
Miami (FL) 77.5%
Duke 22.5%

核心摘要

根据「Duke vs. Miami (FL)」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,2Q O/U 7.5 以压倒性的 8,750% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -2.5 以 7,900% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 7,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $249K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (8,750%):2Q O/U 7.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -2.5 (7,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -2.5 保持着 7,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,900¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (7,800%):以 7,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 3Q O/U 7.5 (7,350%)、O/U 35.5 (7,200%),以及 Miami (FL) O/U 23.5 (7,200%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 2Q O/U 10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
12Q O/U 7.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
2Spread -2.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
3Spread -1.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
43Q O/U 7.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
5O/U 35.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
6Miami (FL) O/U 23.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
72Q O/U 10.57100.0%$57100¢-7000¢
8Spread -3.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
9Spread -4.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
10Spread -5.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
11O/U 37.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
12Spread -6.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
134Q O/U 10.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
142Q O/U 13.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
154Q O/U 19.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
16Spread -7.55650.0%$775650¢-5550¢
174Q O/U 7.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
18O/U 39.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
19O/U 41.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
204Q O/U 13.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
21Spread -8.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
22O/U 43.55100.0%$485100¢-5000¢
23Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
24Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
25Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
26Spread -17.55000.0%$2445000¢-4900¢
271H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Duke O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Duke O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Miami (FL) O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Duke 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Duke 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Duke 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Duke 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Miami (FL) 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Duke vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Duke vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Duke vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Duke Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Duke Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Duke Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Duke Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Duke Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Duke Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Duke vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Duke vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1042H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1051Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1062Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1073Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1084Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1093Q O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
110Miami (FL) O/U 26.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
111Duke 1H O/U 11.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
112Miami (FL) 1H O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
113Spread -10.54750.0%$3094750¢-4650¢
1142Q O/U 16.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1152H O/U 27.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
116Spread -0.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
117O/U 47.54300.0%$5084300¢-4200¢
1183Q O/U 13.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
119Spread -13.54150.0%$158.1K4150¢-4050¢
1201H O/U 33.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
121Duke 1H O/U 13.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
122O/U 49.53900.0%$23900¢-3800¢
123Spread -20.53850.0%$53850¢-3750¢
124O/U 45.53800.0%$4433800¢-3700¢
1252Q O/U 19.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
126Miami (FL) O/U 32.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
127Spread -14.53650.0%$10.5K3650¢-3550¢
1284Q O/U 16.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1292H O/U 30.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
130Duke vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1311H O/U 21.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
132Spread -16.53350.0%$10.7K3350¢-3250¢
133Spread -16.53350.0%$10.7K3350¢-3250¢
134Duke O/U 20.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
135Miami (FL) O/U 35.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
136Spread -17.53000.0%$2443000¢-2900¢
137Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1381H Moneyline2900.0%$1102900¢-2800¢
139O/U 61.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
140Duke O/U 23.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
141Spread -20.52450.0%$52450¢-2350¢
142O/U 51.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
143O/U 67.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
144O/U 65.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
145O/U 71.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
146Duke O/U 32.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
147Duke vs. Miami (FL)2050.0%$39.3K2050¢-1950¢
148O/U 53.52050.0%$10.9K2050¢-1950¢
1493Q O/U 16.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
150Spread -1.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
151Spread -2.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
152O/U 55.51550.0%$2.0K1550¢-1450¢
1533Q O/U 19.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
154Spread -3.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
155O/U 57.51300.0%$14.5K1300¢-1200¢
156Spread -8.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
157Spread -4.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
158O/U 73.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
159Spread -14.51000.0%$10.5K1000¢-900¢
160Spread -5.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
161O/U 59.5950.0%$30950¢-850¢
162Spread -13.5850.0%$158.1K850¢-750¢
163Spread -6.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
164O/U 63.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
1651H O/U 27.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
166Spread -7.5600.0%$77600¢-500¢
167O/U 69.5500.0%$112500¢-400¢
1681H O/U 30.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
169O/U 75.5350.0%—350¢-250¢
170Spread -10.5290.0%$309290¢-190¢
171Both Teams to Score Points - Q150.0%—50¢50¢
1721Q O/U 7.55.0%—5¢95¢
1731Q O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢
1741Q O/U 13.55.0%—5¢95¢
1751Q O/U 16.55.0%—5¢95¢
1761Q O/U 19.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Miami (FL), originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game.

This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:05 AM
    34346457536
    $20.00

    Bought 36.363637 Duke for Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) at 0.55

  • 09:22 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $1,952.50

    Bought 3550 Over for Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 53.5 at 0.55

  • 09:03 AM
    2626trpl
    $5.00

    Bought 6.024094 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.83

  • 09:02 AM
    0X0xD993e6e77D41ef5A05d7946C3706E7D89FE8844A-1722640718874
    $4.88

    Sold 5.95 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.82

  • 09:02 AM
    CACAcap
    $103.75

    Bought 125 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.83

  • 09:01 AM
    CACAcap
    $103.75

    Bought 125 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.83

  • 09:01 AM
    CACAcap
    $103.75

    Bought 125 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.83

  • 09:00 AM
    CACAcap
    $103.75

    Bought 125 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.83

  • 08:56 AM
    SESetasAlfa
    $1.00

    Bought 1.204817 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.83

  • 08:53 AM
    SASanago
    $5.00

    Bought 6.024094 Miami (FL) for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.83

  • 07:40 AM
    PRProvvy
    $1.25

    Bought 1.893938 Over for Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 49.5 at 0.66

  • 06:55 AM
    0X0x7532Df5c1F7ac376e8bd88C4f167F6C9D7374338-1764634193234
    $24.25

    Bought 134.722223 Duke for Duke vs. Miami (FL) at 0.18

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

JU1
justwins
事件盈亏
-$500.00
成交量
$99,999.99
持仓数
Miami (FL)
GM2
gmpm2
事件盈亏
+$310.84
成交量
$62,139.91
持仓数
Duke
SD3
SDTrading
事件盈亏
+$200.00
成交量
$40,000.00
持仓数
Duke
LI4
lightotunnel35
事件盈亏
+$0.69
成交量
$22,929.22
持仓数
DukeDuke
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$214.95
成交量
$22,602.46
持仓数
Miami (FL)UnderOver+1
MO6
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$174.14
成交量
$13,094.00
持仓数
OverDukeDuke+1
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$24.59
成交量
$4,636.13
持仓数
Miami (FL)Miami (FL)
388
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$30.08
成交量
$4,473.44
持仓数
Miami (FL)Miami (FL)Miami (FL)+2

常见问题

当前市场对「Duke vs. Miami (FL)」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,2Q O/U 7.5 以 8,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(7,900%),以及 Spread -1.5(7,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $249K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易