Cincinnati vs. Iowa State

$182.8K Vol
2026年11月14日
Active
概率趋势
Iowa State 96.5%
Cincinnati 3.5%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati vs. Iowa State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1H O/U 30.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;1Q O/U 16.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,1Q O/U 19.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $182.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1H O/U 30.5 (9,995%):1H O/U 30.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1Q O/U 16.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,1Q O/U 16.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • 1Q O/U 19.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1Q O/U 19.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Iowa State O/U 23.5 (9,995%)、Iowa State 1H O/U 12.5 (9,995%),以及 O/U 41.5 (9,955%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1H O/U 33.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11H O/U 30.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
21Q O/U 16.59995.0%$1459995¢-9895¢
31Q O/U 19.59995.0%$2209995¢-9895¢
4Iowa State O/U 23.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Iowa State 1H O/U 12.59995.0%$1969995¢-9895¢
6O/U 41.59955.0%$9819955¢-9855¢
71H O/U 33.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
8O/U 47.59755.0%$19755¢-9655¢
92Q O/U 7.59650.0%—9650¢-9550¢
10O/U 53.59635.0%$29635¢-9535¢
11Spread -1.59550.0%$5589550¢-9450¢
12Spread -2.59550.0%$1.5K9550¢-9450¢
13O/U 59.59350.0%$12.9K9350¢-9250¢
14Spread -4.59300.0%$2.5K9300¢-9200¢
15Spread -3.59250.0%$2.0K9250¢-9150¢
162Q O/U 10.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
17Spread -5.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
18Iowa State O/U 26.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
19Spread -6.59100.0%$4079100¢-9000¢
20O/U 61.59100.0%$6.0K9100¢-9000¢
21O/U 57.59050.0%$35.8K9050¢-8950¢
222Q O/U 13.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
23Spread -7.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
24O/U 63.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
25Spread -10.58500.0%$58500¢-8400¢
26O/U 51.58450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
27O/U 65.58450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
28O/U 55.58395.0%$1.2K8395¢-8295¢
29Spread -13.58150.0%$2.1K8150¢-8050¢
30Spread -14.57800.0%$2507800¢-7700¢
314Q O/U 7.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
32O/U 67.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
33Cincinnati O/U 20.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
34O/U 69.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
352Q O/U 16.57500.0%$57500¢-7400¢
36O/U 71.57350.0%$107350¢-7250¢
37Spread -16.57250.0%$6.2K7250¢-7150¢
383Q O/U 7.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
39O/U 73.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
40Spread -17.56950.0%$726950¢-6850¢
41Cincinnati O/U 23.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
424Q O/U 10.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
43Spread -20.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
442Q O/U 19.56350.0%$1216350¢-6250¢
453Q O/U 10.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
46O/U 75.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
474Q O/U 13.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
482H O/U 27.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
493Q O/U 13.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
50Spread -8.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
51Iowa State O/U 32.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
52O/U 35.55055.0%—5055¢-4955¢
53Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
54O/U 37.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
55O/U 39.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56O/U 43.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57O/U 45.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Cincinnati O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Cincinnati O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Iowa State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Iowa State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Cincinnati 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Cincinnati 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Cincinnati 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Cincinnati 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Cincinnati 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Cincinnati 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Iowa State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Iowa State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Iowa State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1403Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1414Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
143Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1441H Moneyline4900.0%$8.5K4900¢-4800¢
145Spread -8.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1462H O/U 30.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
147Spread -20.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1484Q O/U 16.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
149Cincinnati O/U 29.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1503Q O/U 16.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1514Q O/U 19.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1523Q O/U 19.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
153Cincinnati vs. Iowa State450.0%$99.5K450¢-350¢
154Spread -7.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
155Spread -4.5305.0%$2.5K305¢-205¢
156Spread -1.5290.0%$558290¢-190¢
157Spread -13.5250.0%$2.1K250¢-150¢
158Spread -3.5250.0%$2.0K250¢-150¢
159Spread -2.5250.0%$1.5K250¢-150¢
160Spread -17.5245.0%$72245¢-145¢
161Spread -5.5205.0%—205¢-105¢
162Spread -6.5145.0%$407145¢-45¢
163Spread -10.585.0%$585¢15¢
164Spread -16.545.0%$6.2K45¢55¢
165Spread -14.545.0%$25045¢55¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and Iowa State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game.

This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 09:32 AM
    WAWalkerfgb
    $31.74

    Bought 69 Over for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 at 0.46

  • 09:32 AM
    CYCynthiadfb
    $20.35

    Bought 37 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 at 0.55

  • 09:32 AM
    BEBerniceDFv
    $17.60

    Bought 32 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 at 0.55

  • 07:09 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $52.38

    Bought 95.23 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 at 0.55

  • 06:12 AM
    IMImaTakova
    $1.02

    Bought 1.7 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 61.5 at 0.6

  • 04:06 AM
    SYsystema
    $3.80

    Bought 6.551723 Iowa State for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State at 0.58

  • 12:46 AM
    GOGolftango
    $100.00

    Bought 188.679246 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa State (-2.5) at 0.53

Nov 13, 2026

  • 10:04 PM
    656512395314597884
    $4.15

    Bought 5 Iowa State for Spread: Cincinnati (-10.5) at 0.83

  • 09:03 PM
    SAsanten
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 61.5 at 0.59

  • 09:03 PM
    PRprimm
    $3.39

    Bought 5.85 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 61.5 at 0.58

  • 08:24 PM
    ISislander222
    $2.82

    Bought 5.127273 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 at 0.55

  • 08:24 PM
    TTTT888
    $2.90

    Bought 5 Under for Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 61.5 at 0.58

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LI1
LightParadox
事件盈亏
+$163.60
成交量
$32,713.94
持仓数
CincinnatiCincinnati
HE2
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
-$75.00
成交量
$14,999.97
持仓数
Iowa State
383
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$53.05
成交量
$14,741.65
持仓数
Iowa StateOverOver+1
VE4
Venusian
事件盈亏
-$61.56
成交量
$12,314.47
持仓数
CincinnatiUnder
655
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$43.57
成交量
$7,282.91
持仓数
Iowa State
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$119.12
成交量
$6,276.33
持仓数
UnderUnderIowa State+2
0A7
0x0A77exmm
事件盈亏
-$8.75
成交量
$5,391.00
持仓数
Iowa State
IM8
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
-$97.64
成交量
$4,882.23
持仓数
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati vs. Iowa State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1H O/U 30.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1Q O/U 16.5(9,995%),以及 1Q O/U 19.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $182.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易