Ball State vs. UMass

$134.2K Vol
2026年11月5日
Active
概率趋势
UMass 56.5%
Ball State 43.5%

核心摘要

根据「Ball State vs. UMass」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 7,900% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 37.5 以 7,700% 位居第二,O/U 39.5 以 7,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $134.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,900%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,900¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $95 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (7,700%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 37.5 保持着 7,700% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,700¢。
  • O/U 39.5 (7,350%):以 7,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 39.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 41.5 (6,800%)、O/U 43.5 (6,450%),以及 Ball State O/U 20.5 (6,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 45.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.57900.0%$957900¢-7800¢
2O/U 37.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
3O/U 39.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
4O/U 41.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
5O/U 43.56450.0%$966450¢-6350¢
6Ball State O/U 20.56250.0%$56250¢-6150¢
7O/U 45.55850.0%$3.7K5850¢-5750¢
8UMass O/U 23.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
9Spread -0.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
10O/U 47.55350.0%$1835350¢-5250¢
11Spread -1.55250.0%$2.9K5250¢-5150¢
12UMass 1H O/U 12.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
131H O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
14Ball State O/U 23.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
151H Spread -0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
16Spread -2.55050.0%$3.9K5050¢-4950¢
17Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
18Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
19UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
20UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
21Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
22Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
23Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
24UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
25UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
26UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
27Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
29Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
32UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
33Ball State vs. UMass: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
342H Moneyline5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
35Ball State O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36UMass O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
372H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
421Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
431Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
441Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
451Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
461Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
523Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
533Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
543Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
553Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Ball State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Ball State 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Ball State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Ball State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Ball State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Ball State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68UMass 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69UMass 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UMass 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Ball State vs. UMass: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Ball State vs. UMass: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Ball State vs. UMass: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Ball State vs. UMass: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Ball State vs. UMass: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1213Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1224Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1231H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1242H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1272H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1282H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1301Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1311Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1321Q Spread -0.55000.0%$955000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1352Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1413Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1504Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1531H O/U 33.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
154Ball State O/U 32.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
155UMass O/U 26.54700.0%$494700¢-4600¢
1561H Spread -1.54700.0%$2404700¢-4600¢
1571H Spread -2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
158O/U 49.54650.0%$49.3K4650¢-4550¢
159UMass 1H O/U 14.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
160UMass 1H O/U 16.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1611H Moneyline4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1621Q Moneyline4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1631H O/U 24.54500.0%$2.3K4500¢-4400¢
164Spread -0.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
165Ball State vs. UMass4350.0%$29.8K4350¢-4250¢
166Spread -1.54300.0%$2.9K4300¢-4200¢
167Spread -3.54250.0%$39.9K4250¢-4150¢
168O/U 51.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1691Q Spread -0.54200.0%$954200¢-4100¢
1701H Spread -1.54100.0%$2404100¢-4000¢
171Spread -2.54050.0%$3.9K4050¢-3950¢
172Ball State O/U 26.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1731H Spread -3.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
174Spread -4.53950.0%$2223950¢-3850¢
175O/U 53.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
176Spread -5.53750.0%$1603750¢-3650¢
1771H O/U 27.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
178UMass O/U 32.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
179Spread -6.53550.0%$53550¢-3450¢
180UMass O/U 29.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
181Spread -3.53350.0%$39.9K3350¢-3250¢
182O/U 55.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
183Spread -4.53050.0%$2223050¢-2950¢
184Spread -7.53050.0%$2143050¢-2950¢
185O/U 57.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1861H O/U 30.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
187Spread -5.52800.0%$1602800¢-2700¢
188Spread -8.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
189UMass O/U 35.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
190Ball State O/U 29.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
191Spread -6.52650.0%$52650¢-2550¢
192Spread -10.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
193O/U 59.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
194O/U 61.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
195Spread -7.52150.0%$2142150¢-2050¢
196Spread -8.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
197Spread -13.52050.0%$612050¢-1950¢
198O/U 63.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
199Spread -14.51750.0%$51750¢-1650¢
200Spread -10.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
201Spread -16.51550.0%$6031550¢-1450¢
202O/U 71.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
203Spread -13.51400.0%$611400¢-1300¢
204O/U 65.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
205Spread -20.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
206Spread -17.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
207O/U 75.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
208O/U 73.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
209O/U 67.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
210O/U 69.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
211Spread -14.51100.0%$51100¢-1000¢
212Spread -16.5950.0%$603950¢-850¢
213Spread -20.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
214Spread -17.5750.0%—750¢-650¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and UMass, scheduled for November 4 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 4, 2026

  • 11:00 AM
    VEVenelint
    $3.92

    Sold 8.16 Over for Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 49.5 at 0.48

  • 11:00 AM
    VEVenelint
    $3.92

    Sold 8.33 UMass for Spread: UMass (-3.5) at 0.47

  • 09:36 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $55.50

    Bought 111 Under for Ball State vs. UMass: 1H O/U 24.5 at 0.5

  • 09:13 AM
    VEVenelint
    $4.00

    Bought 8.163266 Over for Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 49.5 at 0.49

  • 09:13 AM
    VEVenelint
    $4.00

    Bought 8.333334 UMass for Spread: UMass (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 08:28 AM
    PEPerezNicholase
    $6.21

    Bought 10.180328 UMass for Ball State vs. UMass at 0.61

  • 07:28 AM
    PHPhineaswynd
    $6.00

    Bought 10 UMass for Ball State vs. UMass at 0.6

  • 07:07 AM
    MAMarianax
    $3.00

    Bought 4.477612 Over for Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 43.5 at 0.67

  • 06:23 AM
    JOjoshybravo96
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 UMass for Spread: UMass (-2.5) at 0.57

  • 05:55 AM
    34346457536
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 UMass for Spread: UMass (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 05:55 AM
    LIlightotunnel35
    $9,752.13

    Bought 20316.94 UMass for Spread: UMass (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 05:55 AM
    5P5ps
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083334 UMass for Spread: UMass (-3.5) at 0.48

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MU1
Multicoloured-Serf
事件盈亏
+$97.68
成交量
$68,409.31
持仓数
UnderBall State
FE2
FeedTheBigBird
事件盈亏
+$26.75
成交量
$48,153.84
持仓数
OverBall StateBall State
LI3
lightotunnel35
事件盈亏
-$144.73
成交量
$32,610.92
持仓数
UMassOver
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$106.86
成交量
$16,498.45
持仓数
Ball StateUMassBall State
385
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$86.79
成交量
$10,784.92
持仓数
UMassUMassBall State+5
FL6
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
-$129.99
成交量
$10,443.00
持仓数
UMassUMass
IC7
ic4cream
事件盈亏
+$44.67
成交量
$9,349.53
持仓数
Ball StateUMass
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$14.06
成交量
$2,749.87
持仓数
Ball StateBall StateBall State

常见问题

当前市场对「Ball State vs. UMass」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 7,900% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(7,700%),以及 O/U 39.5(7,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $134.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易