Arizona State vs. UCF

$133.7K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
概率趋势
UCF 60.5%
Arizona State 39.5%

核心摘要

根据「Arizona State vs. UCF」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Arizona State vs. UCF 以压倒性的 7,900% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 35.5 以 7,800% 位居第二,O/U 37.5 以 7,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $133.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Arizona State vs. UCF (7,900%):Arizona State vs. UCF 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,900¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $65.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 35.5 保持着 7,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,800¢。
  • O/U 37.5 (7,100%):以 7,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 37.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 4Q O/U 7.5 (7,050%)、Spread -2.5 (7,000%),以及 Spread -1.5 (6,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Arizona State vs. UCF7900.0%$65.1K7900¢-7800¢
2O/U 35.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
3O/U 37.57100.0%$2.8K7100¢-7000¢
44Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
5Spread -2.57000.0%$6857000¢-6900¢
6Spread -1.56850.0%$1.5K6850¢-6750¢
7O/U 39.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
8Spread -3.56200.0%$1.7K6200¢-6100¢
9Spread -4.56150.0%$2.3K6150¢-6050¢
10O/U 41.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
11Spread -5.55150.0%$4.5K5150¢-5050¢
12O/U 45.55050.0%$27.9K5050¢-4950¢
13Arizona State O/U 20.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
14Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
16Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
224Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
234Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Arizona State O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Arizona State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Arizona State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Arizona State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28UCF O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29UCF O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30UCF O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31UCF O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Arizona State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Arizona State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34UCF 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35UCF 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36UCF 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56UCF Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67UCF Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73UCF Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83UCF Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87UCF Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88UCF Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89UCF Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93UCF Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94UCF Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95UCF Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Arizona State vs. UCF: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Arizona State vs. UCF: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
982H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
991Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1003Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1014Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
103O/U 71.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
104UCF O/U 26.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
105Arizona State 2H O/U 13.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
106Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
107Spread -17.54945.0%$3.2K4945¢-4845¢
1083Q O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1093Q O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
110Spread -13.54895.0%$2504895¢-4795¢
111Spread -8.54850.0%$54850¢-4750¢
112Spread -10.54845.0%$1.2K4845¢-4745¢
113Spread -16.54840.0%$1.3K4840¢-4740¢
114Spread -7.54750.0%$104750¢-4650¢
115Spread -8.54700.0%$54700¢-4600¢
116O/U 43.54550.0%$1.4K4550¢-4450¢
117Spread -6.54450.0%$744450¢-4350¢
1184Q O/U 13.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
119Spread -10.54200.0%$1.2K4200¢-4100¢
1202H O/U 24.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
121Spread -20.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
122Spread -13.53400.0%$2503400¢-3300¢
123Spread -16.53000.0%$1.3K3000¢-2900¢
124Spread -14.53000.0%$2453000¢-2900¢
125O/U 51.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1263Q O/U 7.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1274Q O/U 16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
128O/U 47.52850.0%$9.6K2850¢-2750¢
1293Q O/U 10.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
130O/U 53.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
131Spread -17.52600.0%$3.2K2600¢-2500¢
132O/U 57.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
133O/U 59.52500.0%$52500¢-2400¢
134Spread -20.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
135Spread -5.52450.0%$4.5K2450¢-2350¢
136Spread -6.52400.0%$742400¢-2300¢
137O/U 49.52400.0%$972400¢-2300¢
138O/U 63.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
139O/U 65.52400.0%$52400¢-2300¢
140O/U 69.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
141O/U 55.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
1422H O/U 27.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1433Q O/U 13.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
144Spread -1.51650.0%$1.5K1650¢-1550¢
145O/U 61.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
146Spread -2.51350.0%$6851350¢-1250¢
147Spread -3.51150.0%$1.7K1150¢-1050¢
148Spread -4.5900.0%$2.3K900¢-800¢
149Spread -7.5900.0%$10900¢-800¢
150O/U 67.5530.0%$5.6K530¢-430¢
151Spread -14.5400.0%$245400¢-300¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and UCF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 14, 2026

  • 10:27 PM
    0X0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $11.60

    Bought 20 UCF for Spread: UCF (-2.5) at 0.58

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $2.90

    Bought 5 UCF for Spread: UCF (-2.5) at 0.58

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Over for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.5

  • 10:25 PM
    VIviking501
    $1.60

    Bought 4 Arizona State for Arizona State vs. UCF at 0.4

  • 10:24 PM
    DOdontcallmegambler
    $23.63

    Bought 45.45 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:24 PM
    GLglennyorkshire
    $472.73

    Bought 909.09 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:24 PM
    IUIulii
    $24.09

    Bought 45.45 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 10:19 PM
    ILilqar330
    $2.90

    Bought 5.576922 Arizona State for Spread: UCF (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 10:02 PM
    ——
    $1.03

    Bought 2.06 Over for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.5

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $302.94

    Bought 594 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.51

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $687.48

    Bought 1348 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.51

  • 10:02 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1,374.36

    Bought 2643 Under for Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$94.59
成交量
$31,850.00
持仓数
UnderUnderUCF
PR2
primm
事件盈亏
+$2,576.36
成交量
$18,853.58
持仓数
Arizona StateOverArizona State+6
RN3
RN1
事件盈亏
-$1,875.22
成交量
$13,196.64
持仓数
UCFUCFUCF+7
384
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$511.64
成交量
$10,700.92
持仓数
UnderUCFArizona State+10
BB5
bbcvvcbv
事件盈亏
-$48.30
成交量
$9,675.55
持仓数
Arizona State
656
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$618.97
成交量
$8,612.05
持仓数
UCFUCFUCF+10
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$164.55
成交量
$8,320.93
持仓数
OverOverUCF+1
SA8
SaylorMoon
事件盈亏
-$135.22
成交量
$6,520.89
持仓数
OverUCF

常见问题

当前市场对「Arizona State vs. UCF」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Arizona State vs. UCF 以 7,900% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 35.5(7,800%),以及 O/U 37.5(7,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $133.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易