
Army vs. Memphis
核心摘要
根据「Army vs. Memphis」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 57.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 59.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 9,880% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $157K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 57.5 (9,995%):O/U 57.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $641 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 59.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 59.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- Spread -1.5 (9,880%):以 9,880% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,805%)、Spread -7.5 (9,800%),以及 Spread -2.5 (9,795%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 57.5 | 9995.0% | $641 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 59.5 | 9995.0% | $13.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 9880.0% | $278 | 9880¢ | -9780¢ |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 9805.0% | $847 | 9805¢ | -9705¢ |
| 5 | Spread -7.5 | 9800.0% | $1.0K | 9800¢ | -9700¢ |
| 6 | Spread -2.5 | 9795.0% | $175 | 9795¢ | -9695¢ |
| 7 | Spread -0.5 | 9750.0% | — | 9750¢ | -9650¢ |
| 8 | Spread -13.5 | 9750.0% | $1.9K | 9750¢ | -9650¢ |
| 9 | Spread -6.5 | 9745.0% | $61.5K | 9745¢ | -9645¢ |
| 10 | Spread -10.5 | 9735.0% | $149 | 9735¢ | -9635¢ |
| 11 | Spread -8.5 | 9700.0% | — | 9700¢ | -9600¢ |
| 12 | Spread -5.5 | 9685.0% | $13.6K | 9685¢ | -9585¢ |
| 13 | Spread -14.5 | 9600.0% | $1.5K | 9600¢ | -9500¢ |
| 14 | Spread -16.5 | 9500.0% | $384 | 9500¢ | -9400¢ |
| 15 | Spread -4.5 | 9415.0% | $361 | 9415¢ | -9315¢ |
| 16 | Spread -17.5 | 9250.0% | $1.5K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 17 | O/U 61.5 | 9150.0% | $435 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 18 | O/U 65.5 | 8050.0% | $46 | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 19 | Spread -20.5 | 6800.0% | $106 | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 20 | O/U 63.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 21 | O/U 69.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 22 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 23 | Memphis O/U 35.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 24 | Memphis 2H O/U 12.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 25 | O/U 67.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 26 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | $1.5K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | $384 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Army O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Army O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Army O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Army 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Army 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Army 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Memphis 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Memphis 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Army vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Army vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Army vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Army Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Army Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Army Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Army Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Army Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Army Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Army Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Army Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Army vs. Memphis: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Army vs. Memphis: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Army vs. Memphis: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Army O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Memphis O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | Army Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | Spread -0.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 122 | Spread -20.5 | 4845.0% | $106 | 4845¢ | -4745¢ |
| 123 | Army O/U 23.5 | 3550.0% | $591 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 124 | O/U 73.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 125 | O/U 71.5 | 2150.0% | $4.3K | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 126 | O/U 75.5 | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 127 | Spread -7.5 | 150.0% | $1.0K | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 128 | Spread -6.5 | 150.0% | $61.5K | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 129 | Spread -5.5 | 150.0% | $13.6K | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 130 | Spread -1.5 | 150.0% | $278 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 131 | Spread -3.5 | 145.0% | $847 | 145¢ | -45¢ |
| 132 | Spread -2.5 | 145.0% | $175 | 145¢ | -45¢ |
| 133 | Spread -13.5 | 140.0% | $1.9K | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 134 | Spread -4.5 | 140.0% | $361 | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 135 | Spread -10.5 | 135.0% | $149 | 135¢ | -35¢ |
| 136 | Spread -14.5 | 105.0% | $1.5K | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 137 | Army vs. Memphis | 25.0% | $48.5K | 25¢ | 75¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Army and Memphis, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game.
This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 31, 2026
- 11:51 PMHFhfv$447.48
Sold 932.24 Memphis for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.48
- 11:18 PMMOmooseborzoi$364.52
Bought 701 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.52
- 09:55 PM12123123..2$2.92
Bought 5.034483 Army for Spread: Memphis (-7.5) at 0.58
- 09:55 PMGPgpimente407$2.15
Bought 5 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-7.5) at 0.43
- 09:54 PMNANatoAlfista$34.40
Bought 80 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-7.5) at 0.43
- 09:51 PMIOionlyfade$2.70
Bought 5.09434 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.53
- 09:51 PM——$63.96
Bought 133.25 Memphis for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.48
- 09:46 PM0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872$12.00
Bought 25 Memphis for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.48
- 09:46 PMNInigiri99$66.70
Bought 145 Army for Spread: Memphis (-4.5) at 0.46
- 09:45 PMNInigiri99$387.60
Bought 760 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.51
- 09:45 PMISIstaroth$7.54
Sold 14.5 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.52
- 09:45 PMNInigiri99$367.12
Bought 706 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.52
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Army vs. Memphis」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 57.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 59.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -1.5(9,880%)。该市场总成交量已达 $157K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
