Army vs. Memphis

$157K Vol
2026年11月1日
Active
概率趋势
Memphis 66.5%
Army 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「Army vs. Memphis」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 57.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 59.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 9,880% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $157K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 57.5 (9,995%):O/U 57.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $641 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 59.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 59.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (9,880%):以 9,880% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (9,805%)、Spread -7.5 (9,800%),以及 Spread -2.5 (9,795%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 57.59995.0%$6419995¢-9895¢
2O/U 59.59995.0%$13.1K9995¢-9895¢
3Spread -1.59880.0%$2789880¢-9780¢
4Spread -3.59805.0%$8479805¢-9705¢
5Spread -7.59800.0%$1.0K9800¢-9700¢
6Spread -2.59795.0%$1759795¢-9695¢
7Spread -0.59750.0%—9750¢-9650¢
8Spread -13.59750.0%$1.9K9750¢-9650¢
9Spread -6.59745.0%$61.5K9745¢-9645¢
10Spread -10.59735.0%$1499735¢-9635¢
11Spread -8.59700.0%—9700¢-9600¢
12Spread -5.59685.0%$13.6K9685¢-9585¢
13Spread -14.59600.0%$1.5K9600¢-9500¢
14Spread -16.59500.0%$3849500¢-9400¢
15Spread -4.59415.0%$3619415¢-9315¢
16Spread -17.59250.0%$1.5K9250¢-9150¢
17O/U 61.59150.0%$4359150¢-9050¢
18O/U 65.58050.0%$468050¢-7950¢
19Spread -20.56800.0%$1066800¢-6700¢
20O/U 63.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
21O/U 69.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
222H O/U 21.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
23Memphis O/U 35.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
24Memphis 2H O/U 12.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
25O/U 67.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
26Spread -17.55000.0%$1.5K5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -16.55000.0%$3845000¢-4900¢
28Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
334Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
344Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
354Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
364Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
374Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Army O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Army O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Army O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Army 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Army 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Army 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Memphis 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Memphis 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Army vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Army vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Army vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Army Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Army Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Army Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Army Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Army Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Army Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Army Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Army Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Army vs. Memphis: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Army vs. Memphis: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Army vs. Memphis: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1032H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1042H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1052H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1062H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1072H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1082H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1094Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1104Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1114Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1124Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1134Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1144Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1164Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Army O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Memphis O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
120Army Total Receptions: O/U 24.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
121Spread -0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
122Spread -20.54845.0%$1064845¢-4745¢
123Army O/U 23.53550.0%$5913550¢-3450¢
124O/U 73.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
125O/U 71.52150.0%$4.3K2150¢-2050¢
126O/U 75.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
127Spread -7.5150.0%$1.0K150¢-50¢
128Spread -6.5150.0%$61.5K150¢-50¢
129Spread -5.5150.0%$13.6K150¢-50¢
130Spread -1.5150.0%$278150¢-50¢
131Spread -3.5145.0%$847145¢-45¢
132Spread -2.5145.0%$175145¢-45¢
133Spread -13.5140.0%$1.9K140¢-40¢
134Spread -4.5140.0%$361140¢-40¢
135Spread -10.5135.0%$149135¢-35¢
136Spread -14.5105.0%$1.5K105¢-5¢
137Army vs. Memphis25.0%$48.5K25¢75¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Army and Memphis, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game.

This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 31, 2026

  • 11:51 PM
    HFhfv
    $447.48

    Sold 932.24 Memphis for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 11:18 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $364.52

    Bought 701 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 09:55 PM
    12123123..2
    $2.92

    Bought 5.034483 Army for Spread: Memphis (-7.5) at 0.58

  • 09:55 PM
    GPgpimente407
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-7.5) at 0.43

  • 09:54 PM
    NANatoAlfista
    $34.40

    Bought 80 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-7.5) at 0.43

  • 09:51 PM
    IOionlyfade
    $2.70

    Bought 5.09434 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 09:51 PM
    ——
    $63.96

    Bought 133.25 Memphis for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 09:46 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $12.00

    Bought 25 Memphis for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.48

  • 09:46 PM
    NInigiri99
    $66.70

    Bought 145 Army for Spread: Memphis (-4.5) at 0.46

  • 09:45 PM
    NInigiri99
    $387.60

    Bought 760 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.51

  • 09:45 PM
    ISIstaroth
    $7.54

    Sold 14.5 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.52

  • 09:45 PM
    NInigiri99
    $367.12

    Bought 706 Army for 1H Spread: Memphis (-3.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
-$493.98
成交量
$33,000.00
持仓数
Army
GM2
gmpm2
事件盈亏
+$100.01
成交量
$21,900.00
持仓数
MemphisMemphis
MU3
Multicoloured-Serf
事件盈亏
+$248.60
成交量
$15,385.09
持仓数
MemphisUnder
BR4
Bryan1316
事件盈亏
-$71.36
成交量
$14,274.97
持仓数
Army
HE5
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$60.00
成交量
$12,000.00
持仓数
Memphis
MO6
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$1,111.89
成交量
$10,045.00
持仓数
OverArmyArmy+1
387
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$368.14
成交量
$9,786.21
持仓数
OverArmyMemphis+11
RN8
RN1
事件盈亏
-$311.34
成交量
$8,988.38
持仓数
UnderArmyUnder

常见问题

当前市场对「Army vs. Memphis」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 57.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 59.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -1.5(9,880%)。该市场总成交量已达 $157K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易