
USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears
核心摘要
根据「USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -7.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -8.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $185.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears (9,995%):USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $149.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -7.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -7.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- Spread -8.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 160.5 (5%)、O/U 161.5 (5%),以及 O/U 159.5 (5%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 160.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears | 9995.0% | $149.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -7.5 | 9995.0% | $14.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Spread -8.5 | 9995.0% | $12.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | O/U 160.5 | 5.0% | $4.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 5 | O/U 161.5 | 5.0% | $3.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 6 | O/U 159.5 | 5.0% | $893 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming CBB game between USC Trojans and California Golden Bears, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 11, 2026
- 11:59 PMMOmooseborzoi$19.11
Bought 39 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 11:53 PMCEceteris-paribus$3.00
Bought 5.660378 California Golden Bears for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.53
- 10:35 PMROroberpkr$2.45
Bought 5 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 10:35 PMMOmooseborzoi$6.86
Bought 14 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 10:08 PMMOmooseborzoi$30.24
Bought 56 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-7.5) at 0.54
- 09:45 PMMOmooseborzoi$23.76
Bought 44 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-7.5) at 0.54
- 09:39 PMMOmooseborzoi$1.47
Bought 3 USC Trojans for Spread: USC Trojans (-8.5) at 0.49
- 09:24 PMCOcoulee$4.24
Bought 8 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.53
- 09:24 PMMOmooseborzoi$1.92
Bought 4 Over for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.48
- 09:23 PMCOcoulee$5.33
Bought 10.056604 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.53
- 09:23 PMHOHomeRunHazard$2.60
Bought 5 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.52
- 06:33 PMMOmooseborzoi$9.18
Bought 18 Under for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 at 0.51
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -7.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -8.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $185.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
