
Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
核心摘要
根据「Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -6.5 以 5% 位居第二,O/U 156.5 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $160.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (9,995%):Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $119.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -6.5 (5%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -6.5 保持着 5% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。
- O/U 156.5 (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 156.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 157.5 (5%)、Spread -7.5 (5%),以及 O/U 158.5 (5%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 9995.0% | $119.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -6.5 | 5.0% | $16.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 3 | O/U 156.5 | 5.0% | $1.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 4 | O/U 157.5 | 5.0% | $10.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 5 | Spread -7.5 | 5.0% | $2.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 6 | O/U 158.5 | 5.0% | $6.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 7 | Spread -8.5 | 5.0% | $3.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming CBB game between Portland Pilots and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 9, 2026
- 11:29 PMSPsportsnerdpt$2.48
Bought 5.16 Portland Pilots for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.48
- 10:28 PMJAJAMJAMJAM4$106.00
Bought 200 Under for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5 at 0.53
- 09:28 PMANAntiVaxxer$1.20
Bought 5 Portland Pilots for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at 0.24
- 07:27 PMMUMuqiang6215$4.86
Bought 9 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:26 PMMRMr.Kirk$23.21
Bought 42.98 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:25 PMMRMr.Kirk$38.42
Bought 71.14 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:25 PMMRMr.Kirk$88.02
Bought 163 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 07:25 PMMRMr.Kirk$325.73
Bought 603.2 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.54
- 06:31 PMSEsetls$3.87
Bought 5.025973 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at 0.77
- 06:31 PMHOHomeRunHazard$20.24
Bought 26.99 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at 0.75
- 06:14 PMSEsetls$2.62
Bought 5.038462 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.52
- 06:14 PMCOcoulee$2.62
Bought 5.038462 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors for Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5) at 0.52
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Portland Pilots vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -6.5(5%),以及 O/U 156.5(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $160.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
