
Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen
核心摘要
根据「Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 145.5 以压倒性的 9,960% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 146.5 以 9,960% 位居第二,O/U 148.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $95.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 145.5 (9,960%):O/U 145.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,960¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $20 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 146.5 (9,960%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 146.5 保持着 9,960% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,960¢。
- O/U 148.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 148.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -9.5 (40%)、Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen (20%),以及 Spread -10.5 (5%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 145.5 | 9960.0% | $20 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 2 | O/U 146.5 | 9960.0% | $21 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 3 | O/U 148.5 | 9955.0% | $386 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 4 | Spread -9.5 | 40.0% | $4.7K | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 5 | Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen | 20.0% | $77.5K | 20¢ | 80¢ |
| 6 | Spread -10.5 | 5.0% | $1.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 7 | Spread -8.5 | 5.0% | $3.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 8 | Spread -7.5 | 5.0% | $7.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming CBB game between Penn Quakers and Navy Midshipmen, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 12, 2026
- 12:30 AMXBxba111222$10.00
Bought 18.518519 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54
- 12:30 AMEDedisonn$20.00
Bought 37.037036 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54
- 12:30 AM11111577$7.00
Bought 12.96 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54
- 12:19 AMGOGooperask$4.84
Bought 4.994841 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97
- 12:19 AMFEferdinand2$4.85
Bought 5 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97
- 12:19 AMFLFlaznorp$53.34
Bought 54.989666 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97
- 12:17 AMCOcoulee$9.86
Sold 10.06 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-10.5) at 0.98
- 12:11 AMISisuckatsports$315.76
Sold 343.22 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.92
- 12:08 AMEDEdgePilot$10.00
Bought 20 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 145.5 at 0.5
- 12:06 AMFLFlaznorp$32.20
Bought 35 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.92
- 12:04 AMGOGooperask$1.00
Bought 7.142858 Penn Quakers for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.14
- 12:04 AMFEferdinand2$1.20
Bought 8.571429 Penn Quakers for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.14
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 145.5 以 9,960% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 146.5(9,960%),以及 O/U 148.5(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $95.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
