Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen

$95.9K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
概率趋势
Navy Midshipmen 99.8%
Penn Quakers 0.2%

核心摘要

根据「Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 145.5 以压倒性的 9,960% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 146.5 以 9,960% 位居第二,O/U 148.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $95.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 145.5 (9,960%):O/U 145.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,960¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $20 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 146.5 (9,960%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 146.5 保持着 9,960% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,960¢。
  • O/U 148.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 148.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -9.5 (40%)、Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen (20%),以及 Spread -10.5 (5%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 145.59960.0%$209960¢-9860¢
2O/U 146.59960.0%$219960¢-9860¢
3O/U 148.59955.0%$3869955¢-9855¢
4Spread -9.540.0%$4.7K40¢60¢
5Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen20.0%$77.5K20¢80¢
6Spread -10.55.0%$1.9K5¢95¢
7Spread -8.55.0%$3.9K5¢95¢
8Spread -7.55.0%$7.5K5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming CBB game between Penn Quakers and Navy Midshipmen, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 12, 2026

  • 12:30 AM
    XBxba111222
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518519 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54

  • 12:30 AM
    EDedisonn
    $20.00

    Bought 37.037036 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54

  • 12:30 AM
    11111577
    $7.00

    Bought 12.96 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 148.5 at 0.54

  • 12:19 AM
    GOGooperask
    $4.84

    Bought 4.994841 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97

  • 12:19 AM
    FEferdinand2
    $4.85

    Bought 5 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97

  • 12:19 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $53.34

    Bought 54.989666 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.97

  • 12:17 AM
    COcoulee
    $9.86

    Sold 10.06 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-10.5) at 0.98

  • 12:11 AM
    ISisuckatsports
    $315.76

    Sold 343.22 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.92

  • 12:08 AM
    EDEdgePilot
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Under for Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 145.5 at 0.5

  • 12:06 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $32.20

    Bought 35 Navy Midshipmen for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.92

  • 12:04 AM
    GOGooperask
    $1.00

    Bought 7.142858 Penn Quakers for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.14

  • 12:04 AM
    FEferdinand2
    $1.20

    Bought 8.571429 Penn Quakers for Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5) at 0.14

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$326.56
成交量
$9,997.00
持仓数
Navy MidshipmenNavy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen+3
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$104.82
成交量
$6,176.37
持仓数
Penn QuakersPenn QuakersNavy Midshipmen+2
223
0x228B…4872
事件盈亏
-$259.68
成交量
$3,861.50
持仓数
Penn QuakersNavy MidshipmenPenn Quakers
FL4
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
+$201.06
成交量
$3,353.99
持仓数
Penn QuakersPenn QuakersPenn Quakers+3
SN5
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
+$1.25
成交量
$3,229.54
持仓数
Penn Quakers
GL6
glennyorkshire
事件盈亏
-$963.90
成交量
$1,947.84
持仓数
Penn Quakers
TA7
takeormake
事件盈亏
-$2,158.38
成交量
$1,645.15
持仓数
Penn Quakers
BO8
boneywt17
事件盈亏
+$581.56
成交量
$1,390.70
持仓数
Navy Midshipmen

常见问题

当前市场对「Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 145.5 以 9,960% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 146.5(9,960%),以及 O/U 148.5(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $95.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易