UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red
核心摘要
根据「UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，O/U 158.5 以压倒性的 7,250% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -7.5 以 5,000% 位居第二，UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red 以 4,600% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $124.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- O/U 158.5 (7,250%)：O/U 158.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,250¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $526 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Spread -7.5 (5,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -7.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red (4,600%)：以 4,600% 的概率位列第三，市场对 UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Spread -6.5 (3,050%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 158.5 | 7250.0% | $526 | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 2 | Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | $329 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 4600.0% | $123.4K | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 4 | Spread -6.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming CBB game between UNCG Spartans and Cornell Big Red, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 14, 2026
- 11:33 AM——$2.00
Bought 3.846154 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 11:33 AM0X0xcD06d8a6d5cBd5DA5408145474DdD883bC887b11-1790005567150$4.68
Bought 9 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 11:28 AMSMsmk-007$185.12
Bought 356 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 11:26 AMPRPrematchValue$25.50
Bought 50 UNCG Spartans for Spread: Cornell Big Red (-7.5) at 0.51
- 11:24 AMPMPM4UAI$329.06
Bought 632.81 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 11:24 AMPMPM4UAI$5.66
Bought 10.89 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 11:24 AMFUfunfacts$31.00
Bought 59.615385 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 10:59 AMARaresppgc$1.16
Bought 2.23077 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 10:56 AM0X0xBea6ae3ae609a26C1a1151FD65126CeCeF42f915-1779721345821$1.16
Bought 2.23077 Cornell Big Red for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.52
- 10:12 AMCHchimchim$56.74
Sold 118.2 UNCG Spartans for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.48
- 10:05 AMCHchimchim$57.92
Bought 118.2 UNCG Spartans for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.49
- 09:36 AMFRFranckXoli$1.00
Bought 2.040817 UNCG Spartans for UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red at 0.49
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，O/U 158.5 以 7,250% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -7.5（5,000%），以及 UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red（4,600%）。该市场总成交量已达 $124.3K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。