Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
核心摘要
根据「Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，O/U 147.5 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 143.5 以 5,000% 位居第二，O/U 145.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $94.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- O/U 147.5 (5,000%)：O/U 147.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.8K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- O/U 143.5 (5,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 143.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- O/U 145.5 (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 145.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Spread -4.5 (4,950%)、Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (3,850%)，以及 Spread -5.5 (3,650%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 144.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 147.5 | 5000.0% | $1.8K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | O/U 143.5 | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | O/U 145.5 | 5000.0% | $15.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Spread -4.5 | 4950.0% | $32.9K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 5 | Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 3850.0% | $16.2K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 6 | Spread -5.5 | 3650.0% | $14.8K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 7 | O/U 144.5 | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 8 | O/U 146.5 | 800.0% | $13.7K | 800¢ | -700¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming CBB game between Campbell Fighting Camels and East Tennessee State Buccaneers, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Nov 12, 2026
- 12:47 AM——$1.30
Sold 4.65 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.28
- 12:43 AM——$1.07
Sold 4.44 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.24
- 12:43 AM——$1.11
Sold 4.44 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.25
- 12:43 AM——$1.14
Sold 4.54 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.25
- 12:43 AM——$1.14
Sold 4.54 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.25
- 12:10 AMEDEdgePilot$4.86
Bought 11.853659 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.41
- 12:08 AMV4v4test$1.38
Bought 3.066667 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.45
- 12:03 AM——$2.90
Bought 5 Campbell Fighting Camels for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.58
- 12:01 AM——$2.00
Bought 4.444445 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.45
- 12:01 AM0X0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794$2.95
Bought 5 Campbell Fighting Camels for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.59
- 12:01 AM——$2.00
Bought 4.444445 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5) at 0.45
- 12:01 AMKZKzyuf11$0.21
Bought 0.78 East Tennessee State Buccaneers for Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-4.5) at 0.27
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，O/U 147.5 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 143.5（5,000%），以及 O/U 145.5（5,000%）。该市场总成交量已达 $94.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。