ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar

$320.5K Vol
2026年11月22日
Active
概率趋势
Alexander Zverev 72.5%
Rafael Jodar 27.5%

核心摘要

根据「ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 以压倒性的 7,500% 获胜概率主导市场;ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar 以 7,350% 位居第二,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner 以 6,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $320.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 (7,500%):ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,500¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $9.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar (7,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar 保持着 7,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,350¢。
  • ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner (6,850%):以 6,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner (6,150%)、ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%),以及 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.57500.0%$9.9K7500¢-7400¢
2ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar7350.0%$276.7K7350¢-7250¢
3ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner6850.0%$686850¢-6750¢
4ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner6150.0%$26.8K6150¢-6050¢
5ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.55000.0%$4565000¢-4900¢
6ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.55000.0%$1185000¢-4900¢
7ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.55000.0%$4515000¢-4900¢
8ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$5.1K4950¢-4850¢
9ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.54250.0%$1.0K4250¢-4150¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Rafael Jodar in the ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Rafael Jodar.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alexander Zverev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 15, 2026

  • 12:10 PM
    BAbaciouny
    $5.00

    Bought 6.944445 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:10 PM
    MIMigRodr
    $7,093.60

    Bought 23645.334334 Rafael Jodar for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.3

  • 12:10 PM
    ——
    $14.85

    Bought 20.625 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:10 PM
    0X0x8ee758dB003028735fbEDF89be7f48A3DAc28291-1794737202477
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388889 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.72

  • 12:06 PM
    TOtoninhotz
    $5.15

    Bought 11.444445 Alexander Zverev for Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Rafael Jodar (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 12:05 PM
    MAmainz
    $135.44

    Bought 190.756389 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:03 PM
    CHChungChung1
    $71.00

    Bought 100 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    EKEksantik
    $7.75

    Bought 10.915493 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    RERealTraderx
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    DADaigiadinhngocson
    $200.00

    Bought 281.690141 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

  • 12:00 PM
    0X0x0Ae0FCC13Eb698A01EE3D6431AA430057267c51e-1791505730076
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Rafael Jodar for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.3

  • 11:59 AM
    0X0x5666090A964238825D100B2B7e241B135976682a-1768874604029
    $140.61

    Bought 198.042251 Alexander Zverev for ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar at 0.71

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MI1
MigRodr
事件盈亏
-$344.50
成交量
$40,351.82
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$71.46
成交量
$14,217.35
持仓数
Alexander ZverevRafael JodarUnder 2.5
2C3
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$192.24
成交量
$12,816.07
持仓数
Alexander Zverev
FA4
faatchoi01
事件盈亏
-$30.00
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
Rafael Jodar
HE5
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$20.00
成交量
$3,999.99
持仓数
Alexander Zverev
FV6
fvckjumpjanestreet
事件盈亏
+$30.70
成交量
$2,496.16
持仓数
Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev
MA7
manvsrice42
事件盈亏
+$0.25
成交量
$2,000.00
持仓数
Alexander Zverev
848
0x84f6…9308
事件盈亏
+$12.68
成交量
$1,649.35
持仓数
Alexander Zverev

常见问题

当前市场对「ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-2.5 以 7,500% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar(7,350%),以及 ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner(6,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $320.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易