Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien

$306 Vol
2026年11月6日
Active
概率趋势
Hugo Dellien 83.5%
Carlos Maria Zarate 16.5%

核心摘要

根据「Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 6,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 6,150% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $306,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,650%):Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5 保持着 6,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,150¢。
  • Completed Match (5,250%):以 5,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 2 Winner (4,900%)、Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 9.5 (4,900%),以及 Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 2 O/U 8.5 (4,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 8.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
2Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
3Completed Match5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
4Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 2 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
5Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
6Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Match O/U 22.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
10Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Match O/U 23.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
11Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Game Spread +/-5.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
12Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Match O/U 21.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
13Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Total Sets: O/U 2.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
14Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 Winner2400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
15Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 10.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
16Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien1650.0%$3061650¢-1550¢
17Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5900.0%—900¢-800¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Hugo Dellien in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Hugo Dellien.

This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Carlos Maria Zarate.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 30, 2026

  • 10:56 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.03

    Bought 59 Carlos Maria Zarate for Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien at 0.17

  • 07:59 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 Hugo Dellien for Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien at 0.84

  • 06:10 AM
    HHhhhizli
    $135.00

    Bought 160.714281 Hugo Dellien for Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien at 0.84

  • 02:03 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $4.46

    Bought 5.44 Hugo Dellien for Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien at 0.82

  • 02:03 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $8.74

    Bought 48.555556 Carlos Maria Zarate for Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien at 0.18

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HH1
hhhizli
事件盈亏
-$0.80
成交量
$160.71
持仓数
Hugo Dellien
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$1.10
成交量
$138.64
持仓数
Hugo Dellien
633
0x6318…2041
事件盈亏
+$0.63
成交量
$125.00
持仓数
Carlos Maria Zarate
BE4
betfun...
事件盈亏
-$0.29
成交量
$59.00
持仓数
Carlos Maria Zarate
EF5
eFMBS
事件盈亏
-$0.73
成交量
$48.56
持仓数
Carlos Maria Zarate
1X6
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9
事件盈亏
+$0.18
成交量
$36.90
持仓数
Carlos Maria Zarate
7U7
7u49tDTM9i7xiY
事件盈亏
-$0.12
成交量
$24.76
持仓数
Carlos Maria Zarate
K28
K2899743
事件盈亏
-$0.03
成交量
$5.88
持仓数
Carlos Maria Zarate

常见问题

当前市场对「Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien Set Handicap +/-1.5(6,150%),以及 Completed Match(5,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $306,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易