Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika

$1K Vol
2026年11月7日
Active
概率趋势
Coleman Wong 82.5%
Omar Jasika 17.5%

核心摘要

根据「Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika 以压倒性的 8,250% 获胜概率主导市场;Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 Winner 以 7,550% 位居第二,Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika (8,250%):Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $168 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 Winner (7,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 Winner 保持着 7,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,550¢。
  • Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,950%):以 6,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,150%)、Completed Match (5,800%),以及 Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Game Spread +/-4.5 (5,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 2 Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika8250.0%$1688250¢-8150¢
2Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 Winner7550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
3Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 8.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
4Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set Handicap +/-1.56150.0%$36150¢-6050¢
5Completed Match5800.0%$7645800¢-5700¢
6Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Game Spread +/-4.55150.0%$695150¢-5050¢
7Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 2 Winner5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
8Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Match O/U 21.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
15Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Total Sets: O/U 2.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
16Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 10.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Omar Jasika in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 12:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Omar Jasika.

This market will resolve to 'Omar Jasika' if Omar Jasika advances against Coleman Wong.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

EF1
eFMBS
事件盈亏
+$0.51
成交量
$102.73
持仓数
Coleman Wong
PO2
poshposh
事件盈亏
-$0.28
成交量
$55.76
持仓数
Omar Jasika
JM3
jmp123
事件盈亏
-$0.23
成交量
$45.86
持仓数
Omar Jasika
TE4
tennisgeek
事件盈亏
+$0.15
成交量
$5.95
持仓数
Coleman Wong
6B5
0x6b25…7a69
事件盈亏
-$0.15
成交量
$5.95
持仓数
Omar Jasika
1X6
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9
事件盈亏
+$0.03
成交量
$5.67
持仓数
Omar Jasika
FF7
0xff96…6f24
事件盈亏
-$0.03
成交量
$5.67
持仓数
Coleman Wong
8C8
0x8cc6…2aa4
事件盈亏
-$0.03
成交量
$5.56
持仓数
Omar Jasika

常见问题

当前市场对「Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika 以 8,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 Winner(7,550%),以及 Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika Set 1 O/U 8.5(6,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易