BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego

$152.1K Vol
2026年11月14日
Active
概率趋势
Lorenzo Sonego 100.0%
Olle Wallin 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $152.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $400 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner (5%)、BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 (5%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-5.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9995.0%$4009995¢-9895¢
2BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$199995¢-9895¢
3BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego5.0%$150.5K5¢95¢
4BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner5.0%$1.1K5¢95¢
5BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%—5¢95¢
6BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.55.0%—5¢95¢
7BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-5.55.0%$85¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Olle Wallin and Lorenzo Sonego in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Olle Wallin' if Olle Wallin advances against Lorenzo Sonego.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Olle Wallin.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 7, 2026

  • 01:51 PM
    0X0x10BC2154e36D78D2477798d713466968c14A0b14-1765790221214
    $80.00

    Sold 80 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:45 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $2.19

    Sold 2.19 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:45 PM
    WZwzyzj
    $400.00

    Sold 400 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:33 PM
    GLglennyorkshire
    $1,550.80

    Sold 1550.8 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:32 PM
    WAWaterL
    $393.45

    Sold 393.45 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:31 PM
    0X0x848763d8DdAE107f132bFC10524fFb85C4577f21-1778415814813
    $3.40

    Sold 3.4 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:30 PM
    RURuimmr77
    $206.30

    Sold 206.3 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:30 PM
    0X0x79328E12389C608ee7dE1492c2cA7d86D6815B38-1775214693190
    $520.83

    Sold 520.83 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:29 PM
    SASacrod
    $685.52

    Sold 685.52 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:29 PM
    LELeandro27
    $5.20

    Sold 5.2 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:29 PM
    GOGodzilla.999
    $129.42

    Sold 129.42 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

  • 01:29 PM
    PRprabam
    $3,603.47

    Sold 3603.47 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LU1
Luzzzer
事件盈亏
-$700.32
成交量
$45,435.75
持仓数
Olle Wallin
MA2
MadridTime
事件盈亏
-$270.45
成交量
$19,223.40
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
2C3
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$439.46
成交量
$17,578.27
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
9E4
0x9e3e…9396
事件盈亏
-$141.08
成交量
$8,580.56
持仓数
Olle Wallin
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
-$176.33
成交量
$6,666.43
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
K56
k56
事件盈亏
-$175.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
FL7
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
-$153.51
成交量
$4,446.47
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
BE8
bestevertodoit
事件盈亏
+$145.55
成交量
$4,158.50
持仓数
Olle Wallin

常见问题

当前市场对「BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5(9,995%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $152.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易