Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov

$3.8K Vol
2026年11月7日
Active
概率趋势
Grigor Dimitrov 52.0%
Adolfo Vallejo 48.0%

核心摘要

根据「Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 以压倒性的 6,700% 获胜概率主导市场;Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 以 5,800% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,200% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $3.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 (6,700%):Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $28 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 (5,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 保持着 5,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,800¢。
  • Completed Match (5,200%):以 5,200% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner (4,900%)、Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.5 (4,900%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 (4,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.56700.0%$286700¢-6600¢
2Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
3Completed Match5200.0%$1.2K5200¢-5100¢
4Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
5Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
6Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov4850.0%$2.1K4850¢-4750¢
10Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 Winner4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
11Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 22.54850.0%$2884850¢-4750¢
12Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
13Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 23.54100.0%$54100¢-4000¢
14Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 2.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
15Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.53300.0%$1313300¢-3200¢
16Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 10.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
17Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.53000.0%$1313000¢-2900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Grigor Dimitrov in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Grigor Dimitrov.

This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Adolfo Vallejo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

JA1
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
+$3.62
成交量
$1,374.11
持仓数
Grigor Dimitrov
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$4.46
成交量
$893.00
持仓数
Adolfo Vallejo
843
0x84e0…9041
事件盈亏
-$2.40
成交量
$480.77
持仓数
Grigor Dimitrov
WA4
wapol-E
事件盈亏
-$2.09
成交量
$480.03
持仓数
Adolfo VallejoOver
AS5
asdsadfsdfr5
事件盈亏
-$159.60
成交量
$380.00
持仓数
Yes
DF6
dfsdfsdfB2
事件盈亏
+$159.60
成交量
$380.00
持仓数
No
8A7
0x8adc…ceaf
事件盈亏
-$1.17
成交量
$234.76
持仓数
Adolfo Vallejo
UN8
UNEB3154s4f251
事件盈亏
+$3.44
成交量
$229.65
持仓数
Under

常见问题

当前市场对「Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-1.5 以 6,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5(5,800%),以及 Completed Match(5,200%)。该市场总成交量已达 $3.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易