BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko

$251K Vol
2026年11月19日
Active
概率趋势
Thiago Agustin Tirante 53.5%
Alexander Shevchenko 47.5%

核心摘要

根据「BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set 1 Winner 以压倒性的 6,200% 获胜概率主导市场;BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 23.5 以 6,200% 位居第二,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko 以 5,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $251K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set 1 Winner (6,200%):BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,200¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $1.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 23.5 (6,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 23.5 保持着 6,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,200¢。
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko (5,850%):以 5,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set 2 Winner (5,350%)、BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 22.5 (4,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set 1 Winner6200.0%$1.1K6200¢-6100¢
2BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 23.56200.0%$7826200¢-6100¢
3BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko5850.0%$244.4K5850¢-5750¢
4BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set 2 Winner5350.0%$185350¢-5250¢
5BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 21.55000.0%$195000¢-4900¢
6BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 22.54900.0%$4.2K4900¢-4800¢
7BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Total Sets: O/U 2.54400.0%$164400¢-4300¢
8BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Game Spread +/-1.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
9BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set Handicap +/-1.52250.0%$3442250¢-2150¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Alexander Shevchenko in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Alexander Shevchenko.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Shevchenko' if Alexander Shevchenko advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 12, 2026

  • 01:09 PM
    0X0x356f12bb1a0fB8534dAA574C3A5A376937c9f1F3-1779313030858
    $3.85

    Bought 7.55 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.51

  • 01:08 PM
    0X0x9086ECc713bc35f307d7bA3c87D1c1c1C1514D46-1767707884278
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1960.784314 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.51

  • 01:06 PM
    QXQx12
    $51.00

    Bought 102 Thiago Agustin Tirante for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.5

  • 01:01 PM
    ERermygod
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.51

  • 01:01 PM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.88

    Bought 3.686275 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.51

  • 01:01 PM
    TEtestingwizard
    $8.00

    Bought 15.686275 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.51

  • 01:01 PM
    FIFiestaIncommingPapa
    $99.07

    Bought 194.26 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.51

  • 01:01 PM
    LULuzzzer
    $8,160.17

    Bought 16320.34 Thiago Agustin Tirante for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.5

  • 01:01 PM
    LULuzzzer
    $4,558.25

    Bought 8937.745097 Thiago Agustin Tirante for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.51

  • 01:01 PM
    FSfsfssds
    $1.25

    Sold 2.56 Thiago Agustin Tirante for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.49

  • 01:00 PM
    0X0x481d360A7fB328DEf316d399e4037CDc397C84dd-1768226499264
    $19.89

    Bought 39.78 Thiago Agustin Tirante for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.5

  • 12:59 PM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.88

    Bought 3.76 Thiago Agustin Tirante for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko at 0.5

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LU1
Luzzzer
事件盈亏
-$212.36
成交量
$25,258.09
持仓数
Thiago Agustin Tirante
VE2
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$5.12
成交量
$13,772.91
持仓数
Alexander ShevchenkoUnderUnder
BC3
0xBc43…7816
事件盈亏
+$48.02
成交量
$9,602.60
持仓数
Thiago Agustin Tirante
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
-$98.09
成交量
$6,539.99
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko
LI5
Limousin
事件盈亏
+$83.70
成交量
$5,579.60
持仓数
Thiago Agustin Tirante
006
0000.
事件盈亏
-$42.62
成交量
$4,204.16
持仓数
Over
RA7
rafaleaoo
事件盈亏
+$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko
DE8
0xde5d…9192
事件盈亏
-$20.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Thiago Agustin Tirante

常见问题

当前市场对「BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Set 1 Winner 以 6,200% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko Match O/U 23.5(6,200%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko(5,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $251K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易