Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko

$195.9K Vol
2026年11月16日
Active
概率趋势
Vitaliy Sachko 71.5%
Dalibor Svrcina 28.5%

核心摘要

根据「Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $195.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko (7,250%)、Completed Match (5,500%),以及 Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Game Spread +/-4.5 (55%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko7250.0%$219.3K7250¢-7150¢
5Completed Match5500.0%$4205500¢-5400¢
6Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Game Spread +/-4.555.0%$15655¢45¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Vitaliy Sachko in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Vitaliy Sachko.

This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Dalibor Svrcina.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 10, 2026

  • 11:59 AM
    LILightParadox
    $41.80

    Bought 73.333334 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.57

  • 11:58 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $21.38

    Bought 37.5 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.57

  • 11:58 AM
    0X0x2e95f2aFe7F16189cfdc1BbA0F79b732D74f2bB7-1763236457965
    $18.00

    Bought 31.578948 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.57

  • 11:58 AM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 35.08772 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.57

  • 11:58 AM
    GHGhostAlpha08
    $30.21

    Bought 53 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.57

  • 11:58 AM
    VEVenusian
    $766.59

    Bought 1344.894737 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.57

  • 11:58 AM
    BLBlays
    $10.00

    Bought 17.857143 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.56

  • 11:58 AM
    VEVenusian
    $536.73

    Bought 975.872728 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.55

  • 11:57 AM
    SCSchruteBucks
    $9.09

    Sold 18.94 Vitaliy Sachko for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.48

  • 11:57 AM
    MAMadridTime
    $69.16

    Bought 133 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.52

  • 11:57 AM
    TRtradecraft
    $205.70

    Bought 419.8 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.49

  • 11:57 AM
    0X0x4EE3f583A5Ba65a5e8694e3cce97Dc469AbF535b-1770239626657
    $100.05

    Bought 217.5 Dalibor Svrcina for Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.46

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

0E1
0x0eBB…3663
事件盈亏
-$23.44
成交量
$1,562.50
持仓数
Dalibor Svrcina
HE2
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$10.01
成交量
$720.42
持仓数
Vitaliy Sachko
CL3
clownly
事件盈亏
+$7.75
成交量
$599.99
持仓数
Vitaliy Sachko
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$5.32
成交量
$499.67
持仓数
Vitaliy Sachko
CR5
Crovax
事件盈亏
-$0.21
成交量
$161.00
持仓数
Dalibor Svrcina
EF6
eFMBS
事件盈亏
-$5.20
成交量
$154.46
持仓数
Dalibor Svrcina
HH7
hhhizli
事件盈亏
-$3.02
成交量
$128.72
持仓数
Vitaliy Sachko
BL8
Blackstar12
事件盈亏
-$0.51
成交量
$102.57
持仓数
Dalibor Svrcina

常见问题

当前市场对「Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.5(9,995%),以及 Orleans: Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $195.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易