BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo

$715.8K Vol
2026年11月18日
Active
概率趋势
Alejandro Tabilo 80.5%
Lorenzo Sonego 19.5%

核心摘要

根据「BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $715.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $348 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner (7,550%)、BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (7,500%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo (4,750%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.59995.0%$3489995¢-9895¢
2BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.59995.0%$2219995¢-9895¢
3BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.59995.0%$3.2K9995¢-9895¢
4BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner7550.0%$4.4K7550¢-7450¢
5BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
6BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo4750.0%$679.2K4750¢-4650¢
7BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-1.54100.0%$16.8K4100¢-4000¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Tabilo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Lorenzo Sonego.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 12:57 PM
    0X0x1B3b034fab738e9EB3e6b67F9cdA30b0b2F2c561-1774203382303
    $2.50

    Bought 5.813954 Lorenzo Sonego for Set Handicap: Lorenzo Sonego (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 12:56 PM
    MOMojahed
    $30.00

    Bought 53.571429 Lorenzo Sonego for Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.56

  • 12:54 PM
    PLPlayboiMayxence
    $20.00

    Bought 33.333332 Alejandro Tabilo for Game Spread: Lorenzo Sonego (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 12:54 PM
    QMQmtw00
    $10.00

    Bought 13.698629 Alejandro Tabilo for Set Handicap: Lorenzo Sonego (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 12:53 PM
    FAfauziii111
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Over for Sonego vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.63

  • 12:53 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.38

    Bought 4.25 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.56

  • 12:53 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $85.71

    Bought 190.466667 Alejandro Tabilo for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.45

  • 12:53 PM
    ——
    $1.40

    Bought 2.5 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.56

  • 12:53 PM
    FLflatbarrel
    $771.83

    Sold 1754.16 Alejandro Tabilo for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.44

  • 12:53 PM
    CACarlosEscobar
    $194.00

    Bought 431.111112 Alejandro Tabilo for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.45

  • 12:53 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $85.37

    Sold 164.18 Lorenzo Sonego for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.52

  • 12:53 PM
    PEpeterle1967
    $100.00

    Bought 212.765958 Alejandro Tabilo for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.47

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

991
999585
事件盈亏
+$22,792.44
成交量
$96,988.64
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
2C2
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
-$21,675.14
成交量
$89,748.23
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
WO3
Woaifacai
事件盈亏
-$22,298.51
成交量
$87,450.33
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
VE4
Venusian
事件盈亏
+$10,123.82
成交量
$37,513.18
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
KK5
kkookkoo
事件盈亏
+$7,781.57
成交量
$30,020.68
持仓数
Alejandro Tabilo
CH6
ch27er
事件盈亏
-$5,222.39
成交量
$21,094.44
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
KE7
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件盈亏
-$10,472.83
成交量
$19,305.79
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego
PO8
PonzioPeraltro
事件盈亏
-$4,344.25
成交量
$16,393.44
持仓数
Lorenzo Sonego

常见问题

当前市场对「BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5(9,995%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $715.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易