BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud

$274.8K Vol
2026年11月18日
Active
概率趋势
Casper Ruud 80.5%
Alexander Shevchenko 19.5%

核心摘要

根据「BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 以压倒性的 8,750% 获胜概率主导市场;BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5 以 6,850% 位居第二,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.5 以 6,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $274.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 (8,750%):BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $7.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5 (6,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5 保持着 6,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,850¢。
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.5 (6,550%):以 6,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.5 (6,400%)、BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (4,150%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.58750.0%$7.1K8750¢-8650¢
2BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.56850.0%$716850¢-6750¢
3BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.56550.0%$6516550¢-6450¢
4BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 23.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
5BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 2.54150.0%$2974150¢-4050¢
6BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.54100.0%$24.8K4100¢-4000¢
7BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner3800.0%$9.6K3800¢-3700¢
8BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner2700.0%$52700¢-2600¢
9BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud2400.0%$287.4K2400¢-2300¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Casper Ruud in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alexander Shevchenko' if Alexander Shevchenko advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Alexander Shevchenko.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 12:47 PM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 52.631579 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.19

  • 12:41 PM
    ——
    $2.24

    Sold 4.14 Casper Ruud for Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Alexander Shevchenko (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 12:36 PM
    SASanago
    $5.00

    Bought 6.097561 Casper Ruud for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.82

  • 12:33 PM
    ETEthinLin
    $1.04

    Sold 1.28 Casper Ruud for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.81

  • 12:28 PM
    K2K2899743
    $1.00

    Bought 5.263158 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.19

  • 12:25 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $199.64

    Sold 246.47 Casper Ruud for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.81

  • 12:18 PM
    KRKryptoRadioPL
    $10.00

    Bought 12.195122 Casper Ruud for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.82

  • 12:14 PM
    ——
    $2.36

    Bought 4.140351 Casper Ruud for Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Alexander Shevchenko (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 12:10 PM
    0X0xBea6ae3ae609a26C1a1151FD65126CeCeF42f915-1779721345821
    $10.32

    Bought 54.31579 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.19

  • 12:09 PM
    0X0x8a3aB8120807bD64a3De48695110e390fa2ceB9a-1771005965025
    $4.54

    Bought 23.894737 Alexander Shevchenko for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.19

  • 11:52 AM
    HAHasan888
    $10.00

    Bought 12.195122 Casper Ruud for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.82

  • 11:49 AM
    0X0xxj
    $301.94

    Bought 368.219511 Casper Ruud for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud at 0.82

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

ST1
stuttig
事件盈亏
+$113.29
成交量
$50,000.37
持仓数
Casper Ruud
HI2
hi774c
事件盈亏
-$7.21
成交量
$10,412.46
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko
VE3
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$175.06
成交量
$8,341.55
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko
LU4
LuckyLoo
事件盈亏
-$20.56
成交量
$8,173.08
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko
MI5
misterblobby
事件盈亏
+$99.03
成交量
$6,601.75
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko
996
0x99F0…6382
事件盈亏
-$11.38
成交量
$6,238.29
持仓数
Alexander ShevchenkoAlexander Shevchenko
NI7
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$4.94
成交量
$5,627.98
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko
FL8
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
-$38.40
成交量
$5,324.59
持仓数
Alexander Shevchenko

常见问题

当前市场对「BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 21.5 以 8,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-1.5(6,850%),以及 BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 22.5(6,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $274.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易