Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka

$249 Vol
2026年11月9日
Active
概率趋势
Jiri Lehecka 59.0%
Alex Michelsen 41.0%

核心摘要

根据「Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $249,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (5,550%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
15Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka4000.0%$2494000¢-3900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Jiri Lehecka in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Jiri Lehecka.

This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Alex Michelsen.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

5C1
0x5c54…f1d2
事件盈亏
+$32.23
成交量
$511.20
持仓数
Jiri Lehecka
0B2
0x0b14…3ca3
事件盈亏
+$6.36
成交量
$212.00
持仓数
Alex Michelsen
383
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$6.00
成交量
$200.00
持仓数
Jiri Lehecka
F94
0xf9da…2e2c
事件盈亏
-$7.33
成交量
$81.40
持仓数
Alex Michelsen
8F5
0x8f0d…7670
事件盈亏
-$3.14
成交量
$70.60
持仓数
Alex Michelsen
856
0x8564…09dc
事件盈亏
-$5.23
成交量
$58.14
持仓数
Alex Michelsen
1B7
0x1b59…3f88
事件盈亏
-$4.19
成交量
$46.51
持仓数
Alex Michelsen
8D8
0x8d79…6afc
事件盈亏
-$4.29
成交量
$42.93
持仓数
Alex Michelsen

常见问题

当前市场对「Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 1 Winner(5,000%),以及 Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $249,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易