Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston

$401K Vol
2026年11月16日
Active
概率趋势
Matteo Martineau 100.0%
Hugo Gaston 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $401K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston (9,995%):Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $399.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston9995.0%$399.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$6809995¢-9895¢
3Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.55.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Hugo Gaston in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Hugo Gaston.

This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Matteo Martineau.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:43 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanestreet
    $7.40

    Bought 20 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 11:06 AM
    0X0xd2150fc422E8313Bdf2527c92FDB957fE42A757A-1782777074064
    $9.62

    Bought 26 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 10:21 AM
    RYRyancharran47
    $15.00

    Bought 23.4375 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:59 AM
    RORotnosaha
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:52 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.24

    Bought 16 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:19 AM
    EPepistemic
    $37.00

    Bought 100 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 09:16 AM
    ANAnon-2
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:16 AM
    0X0x6Db8C97Cb7eC5c512E051902d8077960517bf7D4-1768407294085
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $884.48

    Bought 1382 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $13.23

    Bought 21 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $377.37

    Bought 599 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 09:00 AM
    0X0x56f536a014f55cC6F611ead63D3ac3f29337AeE1-1778093511228
    $5.92

    Bought 16 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

RU1
rubykd
事件盈亏
-$241.92
成交量
$6,911.93
持仓数
Matteo Martineau
TH2
thirdt1me
事件盈亏
+$128.39
成交量
$3,668.29
持仓数
Hugo Gaston
A03
0xa0f2…1848
事件盈亏
+$1.59
成交量
$2,336.41
持仓数
Hugo Gaston
654
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
+$70.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持仓数
Hugo Gaston
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$6.91
成交量
$1,581.90
持仓数
Matteo Martineau
476
0x4738…0211
事件盈亏
-$6.58
成交量
$1,316.00
持仓数
Matteo Martineau
FL7
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
+$2.09
成交量
$1,277.87
持仓数
Hugo Gaston
N18
n1ck10s
事件盈亏
-$11.64
成交量
$776.32
持仓数
Matteo Martineau

常见问题

当前市场对「Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $401K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易