Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado

$36 Vol
2026年11月5日
Active
概率趋势
Juan Carlos Prado 72.5%
Nick Hardt 27.5%

核心摘要

根据「Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,250% 获胜概率主导市场;Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $36,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (5,250%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 Winner (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 Winner 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%),以及 Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
2Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 8.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
11Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 9.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
12Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
13Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 8.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
14Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 9.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
15Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 O/U 10.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
16Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado2750.0%$702750¢-2650¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Juan Carlos Prado in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Juan Carlos Prado.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Carlos Prado' if Juan Carlos Prado advances against Nick Hardt.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 29, 2026

  • 12:49 AM
    LILilybaeum
    $2.80

    Bought 10 Nick Hardt for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.28

Oct 28, 2026

  • 11:25 AM
    AMamonuss
    $3.90

    Bought 5.129869 Juan Carlos Prado for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.76

  • 10:06 AM
    SCScalit
    $3.87

    Bought 5.608696 Juan Carlos Prado for Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado at 0.69

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LI1
Lilybaeum
事件盈亏
+$0.45
成交量
$10.00
持仓数
Nick Hardt
HA2
hanabf
事件盈亏
-$0.45
成交量
$10.00
持仓数
Juan Carlos Prado
SC3
Scalit
事件盈亏
+$0.28
成交量
$5.61
持仓数
Juan Carlos Prado
MY4
mymilly
事件盈亏
-$0.28
成交量
$5.61
持仓数
Nick Hardt
AM5
amonuss
事件盈亏
-$0.10
成交量
$5.13
持仓数
Juan Carlos Prado
RA6
RadioFreeZerg
事件盈亏
+$0.50
成交量
$5.00
持仓数
Nick Hardt

常见问题

当前市场对「Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 1 Winner(5,000%),以及 Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Set 2 Winner(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $36,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易