Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

$449.7K Vol
2026年11月19日
Active
概率趋势
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 89.5%
Mattia Bellucci 10.5%

核心摘要

根据「Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Mattia Bellucci 以 5% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $449.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (9,995%):Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Mattia Bellucci (5%):作为最可行的替代选项,Mattia Bellucci 保持着 5% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Mattia Bellucci5.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg.

This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Mattia Bellucci.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 12:36 PM
    ALalois17
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 10:03 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.05

    Bought 15 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 05:49 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $442.26

    Sold 1053 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 05:40 AM
    50500kDollars
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.34

  • 05:38 AM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 04:45 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanestreet
    $334.99

    Bought 499.99 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 03:28 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $102.15

    Bought 227 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:28 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $122.40

    Bought 272 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:27 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $122.40

    Bought 272 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:27 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $126.90

    Bought 282 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 12:44 AM
    OLolivzer
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

Nov 10, 2026

  • 10:06 PM
    CHCharlieEcho71
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PA1
papillon1
事件盈亏
-$23.91
成交量
$2,927.54
持仓数
Mattia Bellucci
KK2
Kkunn
事件盈亏
+$41.07
成交量
$2,680.48
持仓数
Mattia Bellucci
GQ3
gq3g31egv1eq
事件盈亏
-$64.65
成交量
$2,586.00
持仓数
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
FL4
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
+$41.35
成交量
$1,653.94
持仓数
Mattia Bellucci
NE5
neutralwave23
事件盈亏
-$26.70
成交量
$1,544.90
持仓数
Mattia Bellucci
996
0x99F0…6382
事件盈亏
+$24.18
成交量
$1,291.17
持仓数
Sascha Gueymard-WayenburgMattia Bellucci
CL7
clownly
事件盈亏
+$54.00
成交量
$1,200.00
持仓数
Mattia BellucciSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
MO8
mouzsynapse
事件盈亏
+$5.35
成交量
$1,069.39
持仓数
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

常见问题

当前市场对「Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Mattia Bellucci(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $449.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

开始交易