Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, No meeting by December 31, 2027 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. Turkey follows in second place at 700%, while Italy sits in third with 490%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $70.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• No meeting by December 31, 2027 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, No meeting by December 31, 2027 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $7.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Turkey (700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Turkey maintains a 700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 700¢.
• Italy (490%): Sitting in third place with a 490% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Italy, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes Germany (445%), Switzerland (430%), and Russia (430%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Other - Europe are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Zelenskyy are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. A meeting held in Vatican City will resolve to "Vatican City," not "Italy."

If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to "Other."

For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department's regional classifications in the "Countries and Areas List" (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of "Europe and Eurasia" will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of "Near East (Middle East and North Africa)" will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.