Anthropic opening share price on IPO day?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Anthropic opening share price on IPO day?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, $90 to $100 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. $110 to $120 follows in second place at 4,950%, while $70 to $80 sits in third with 4,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $472, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• $90 to $100 (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, $90 to $100 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• $110 to $120 (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, $110 to $120 maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
• $70 to $80 (4,900%): Sitting in third place with a 4,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward $70 to $80, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes $80 to $90 (4,900%), $100 to $110 (4,900%), and $120+ (4,900%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like <$70 are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve according to the official opening price of Anthropic's Class A common stock on its first day of trading on the secondary market on its primary exchange, as published by that exchange.

The official opening price is the price of the first trade of Anthropic's Class A common stock executed on its primary exchange, as set by that exchange's IPO opening cross or opening auction and published by the exchange as the official opening price. Only trading on the primary exchange counts. The IPO price at which shares are sold to investors in the offering, any indicative or expected opening price published before the first trade, and any trading before the exchange listing (such as on private-share platforms or in pre-IPO or "when-issued" markets) will not be considered.

If the opening price falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket (e.g., exactly $80.00 resolves to "$80 to $90").

Anthropic’s first day of trading refers to the first day Anthropic’s Class A common stock trades on the secondary market on its primary exchange.

For this market, an IPO means an underwritten, SEC-registered offering of newly issued shares of Anthropic’s Class A common stock sold to the public for cash under a registration statement on Form S-1 that the SEC has declared effective, where the shares have been approved for listing on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE American, the Nasdaq Stock Market, or Cboe BZX Exchange, and the offering has been priced, as shown by the first final prospectus filed with the SEC under Rule 424(b). Direct listings, mergers with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), reverse mergers, private placements, and listings outside the U.S. will not count. An IPO counts as completed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if the pricing date stated on the cover of that first final prospectus is on or before that time, even if the prospectus is filed afterwards; if Anthropic’s registration statement has been declared effective by then but the prospectus has not yet been filed, this market will wait until 11:59 PM ET on the second business day after December 31, 2027 for it. Because this market depends on trading in Anthropic’s shares, if the IPO is priced but the shares never begin trading on the listing exchange, this market will resolve to “No IPO by December 31, 2027”. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by then, or publicly announces a definitive agreement to be acquired by or merged into another company before completing one, this market will resolve to “No IPO by December 31, 2027”, regardless of whether that transaction is later completed or terminated. An IPO by a holding company formed to hold all or substantially all of Anthropic’s business for the purpose of the IPO counts as Anthropic’s IPO.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for Anthropic's first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.