What songs will be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What songs will be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Empire State of Mind is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. 99 Problems follows in second place at 5,000%, while Run This Town sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• Empire State of Mind (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Empire State of Mind is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• 99 Problems (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 99 Problems maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
• Run This Town (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Run This Town, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem) (5,000%), Big Pimpin' (5,000%), and Dirt Off Your Shoulder (5,000%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Izzo (H.O.V.A.) are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.