Last song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show?

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Feb 15, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
Apeshit 48.5%
Big Pimpin' 48.0%
Empire State of Mind 44.5%
Public Service Announcement 43.5%
99 Problems 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Last song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Can I Get A... is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,000% chance of winning. Umbrella follows in second place at 5,000%, while No Church in the Wild sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Can I Get A... (8,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Can I Get A... is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Umbrella (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Umbrella maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • No Church in the Wild (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward No Church in the Wild, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Empire State of Mind (4,950%), 99 Problems (4,950%), and Run This Town (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Can I Get A...8000.0%—8000¢-7900¢
2Umbrella5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3No Church in the Wild5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Empire State of Mind4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
599 Problems4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Run This Town4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Hard Knock Life (Ghetto Anthem)4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Big Pimpin'4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Dirt Off Your Shoulder4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Encore4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Drunk in Love4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12God Did4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
13Show Me What You Got4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
14Apeshit4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15Public Service Announcement4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16N****s in Paris4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
17Izzo (H.O.V.A.)3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
18Crazy in Love3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
19Holy Grail3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
20Heart of the City (Ain't No Love)3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
21Young Forever3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
22On to the Next One3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
23'03 Bonnie & Clyde3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
24Jigga What, Jigga Who3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
25I Just Wanna Love U (Give It 2 Me)3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to the last song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027.

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Last song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show?"?

As of the latest update, Can I Get A... leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,000% win probability, followed by Umbrella at 5,000% and No Church in the Wild at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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